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View Full Version : Predict the opening/finish of the movies opening in May!


Mike
05-04-2003, 03:18 PM
Since X2 and Lizzie McGuire already opened, I'm just going to predict how much I think they will finish with...

X2 - 250 Million
Lizzie McGuire - 51 Million


Daddy Day Care - Opening: 29 Million/Finish: 101-112 Million

The Matrix: Reloaded - Opening: 101 Million/Finish: 300-320 Million

Down With Love - Opening: 13 Million/Finish: 50 Million

Bruce Almighty - Opening: 30 Million/Finish: 99 Million

The In-Laws - Opening: 5 Million/Finish: 15-17 Million

The Italian Job - Opening: 15 Million/Finish: 45 Million

Wrong Turn - Opening: 9 Million/Finish: 27 Million

Finding Nemo - Opening: 70 Million/Finish: 300 Million


What does everyone else think?

Tom Samborski
05-04-2003, 03:32 PM
Daddy Day Care
Opening- $15 million
Finish- $50 million

The Matrix Reloaded
Opening- $92 million
Finish- $340 million

Down With Love
Opening- $10 million
Finish- $35 million

Bruce Almighty
Opening- $35 million
Finish- $122 million

The In Laws
Opening- $8 million
Finish- $25 million

The Italian Job
Opening- $18 million
Finish- $62 million

Wrong Turn
Opening- $4 million
Finish- $11 million

Finding Nemo
Opening- $56 million
Finish- $223 million

Sad man
05-04-2003, 04:25 PM
I agree with most of Mikeīs numbers.But I donīt think that Finding Nemo is gonna make that much.

XCoRyX
05-04-2003, 04:45 PM
Daddy Day Care - Opening: $16 Million/Finish: $43 Million

The Matrix: Reloaded - Opening: $90 Million/Finish: $280 Million

Down With Love - Opening: $8 Million/Finish: $29 Million

Bruce Almighty - Opening: $21 Million/Finish: $64 Million

The In-Laws - Opening: $7.4 Million/Finish: $21 Million

The Italian Job - Opening: $14 Million/Finish: $41 Million

Wrong Turn - Opening: $7.7 Million/Finish: $23 Million

Finding Nemo - Opening: $26 Million/Finish: $73 Million

MartinGPB
05-04-2003, 05:40 PM
Daddy Day Care (will be crap, but kids love crap)
- Opening: $22 million/Finish: $87 million

The Matrix Reloaded (will be huge)
- Opening: $105 million/Finish: $325 million

Down with Love (will be a surprise modest hit- crowd pleaser)
- Opening: $17 million/Finish: $52 million

Bruce Almighty (oddly enough, the nothing-special trailer is getting many people looking forward to seeing this)
- Opening: $50 million/ Finish: $125 million

The In Laws (will be better than expected and a modest old-people hit)
- Opening: $12 million / Finish: $44 million

The Italian Job (diverse marketing will get many demographics excited for this)
- Opening: $19 million/ Finish: $68 million

Wrong Turn (will flop- no trailer? what the hell?)
- Opening: $5 million / Finish: $16 million

Finding Nemo (as with all Disney/Pixar movies, will do very well, but I just don't see this having the adult crossover appeal of Monsters Inc and Toy Story)
- Opening: $44 million/ Finish: $195 million

bob
05-04-2003, 06:24 PM
I'm agreeing with most of you when I say that Finding Nemo will probably be a really modest hit. The previews look really lame, and don't have any whimsy or whatever that the past Pixar movies had. Plus, that animation style is getting kind of tired.

sleekproductions
05-04-2003, 08:12 PM
X2
Finish - 280

Lizzie McGuire
Finish - 55

Daddy Day Care
Opening- $18million
Finish- $ 59million

The Matrix Reloaded
Opening- $80million
Finish- $300million

Down With Love
Opening- $17million
Finish- $60million

Bruce Almighty
Opening- $40million
Finish- $150million

The In Laws
Opening- $10million
Finish- $33million

The Italian Job
Opening- $21million
Finish- $70million

Wrong Turn
Opening- $2million
Finish- $9million

Finding Nemo
Opening- $41million
Finish- $125million

dh1989
05-04-2003, 08:31 PM
X2: X-Men United - 243 million
The Lizzie McGuire Movies - 49 million

The rest.....

Daddy Day Care-

Opening: 16 million ; Finish: 63 million

The Matrix Reloaded-

Opening (4 day): 104 million ; Finish: 302 million

Down With Love-

Opening: 9 million ; Finish: 42 million

Bruce Almighty-

Opening: 42 million ; Finish: 160 million

The In-Laws-

Opening: 7 million ; Finish: 19 million

The Italian Job-

Opening: 17 million ; Finish: 54 million

Wrong Turn-

Opening: 2 million ; Finish: 7 million

Finding Nemo-

Opening: 37 million ; Finish: 139 million

Negrotigre
05-04-2003, 09:42 PM
x2- finish with 225, would be much larger but the Matrix 2 will cut into it, x2 has less than two weeks of free reign.
Matrix 2- openeing weekend will break 100 million, end up shattering 300 million, mark my words!
Daddy Daycare- I see this movie in the red, especially after that Pluto Nash debacle.

Negro

The Other
05-05-2003, 12:21 AM
You've got to be kidding me?! X2 made about $88 million. I think it will have no problem passing $300 million.

We'll just have to see how much it declines next weekend.

arto_j
05-05-2003, 05:14 AM
Daddy Day Care
Opening- $22 million
Finish- $70 million

The Matrix Reloaded
Opening- $90 million (3-day)
Finish- $388 million

Down With Love
Opening- $14 million
Finish- $50 million

Bruce Almighty
Opening- $55 million
Finish- $220 million

The In Laws
Opening- $9 million
Finish- $30 million

The Italian Job
Opening- $21 million
Finish- $64 million

Wrong Turn
Opening- $2 million
Finish- $8 million

Finding Nemo
Opening- $66 million
Finish- $240 million

Thanks to Tom Samborski for providing the format that I ripped off. :)

Edie0027
05-05-2003, 11:43 AM
Daddy Day Care
Opening- $15 million
Finish- $55 million

The Matrix Reloaded
Opening- $90 million (3-day)
Finish- $340 million

Down With Love
Opening- $13 million
Finish- $60 million

Bruce Almighty
Opening- $58 million
Finish- $130 million

The In Laws
Opening- $12 million
Finish- $32 million

The Italian Job
Opening- $18 million
Finish- $58 million

Wrong Turn
Opening- $3 million
Finish- $11 million

Finding Nemo
Opening- $70 million
Finish- $250 million

NuclearMisfit
05-05-2003, 12:46 PM
I think Freddy Vs. Jason will suprise us all and come out on top in this summers box office.

Mike
05-06-2003, 01:01 AM
Originally posted by NuclearMisfit
I think Freddy Vs. Jason will suprise us all and come out on top in this summers box office.

I'm a horror fan, but even I know there's no way it will be one of the top grossers of the summer. I think it might do decent with a gross of around 35 Million. There's no doubt it should stay within this range (30-50 Million), definitely no more, but possibly less.

ilovemovies
05-06-2003, 01:09 AM
Originally posted by Mike
Since X2 and Lizzie McGuire already opened, I'm just going to predict how much I think they will finish with...

X2 - 250 Million
Lizzie McGuire - 51 Million


Daddy Day Care - Opening: 29 Million/Finish: 101-112 Million

The Matrix: Reloaded - Opening: 101 Million/Finish: 300-320 Million

Down With Love - Opening: 13 Million/Finish: 50 Million

Bruce Almighty - Opening: 30 Million/Finish: 99 Million

The In-Laws - Opening: 5 Million/Finish: 15-17 Million

The Italian Job - Opening: 15 Million/Finish: 45 Million

Wrong Turn - Opening: 9 Million/Finish: 27 Million

Finding Nemo - Opening: 70 Million/Finish: 300 Million


What does everyone else think?

I hope your wrong about The In Laws because it looks hilarious and I love Michael Douglas and Albert Brooks. But with some many movies coming out some of them will have to flop and that might be a casualty.

I think Wrong Turn will flop and be out of theaters in an instant. I haven't even seen a trailer for it.

Even though Daddy Day Care doesn't look that good I hope your right about it because I love Eddie Murphy and he's in badly need of a hit.

I think Bruce Almighty will make a little more than that.

I think you are overestimating Finding Nemo's numbers. It will be big but not THAT big. It won't make more than $200 million if that much.

I actually think The Italian Job will do better. It's actually being advertised a lot now and the trailers are cool and that cast is great. It should do decent, not great but decent business.

Lizzy Maguire will drop and do so-so at best.

Finally I think your numbers on The Matrix Reloaded are actually rather low. I honestly think this movie could get close to doing Titanic numbers.

Jedi
05-07-2003, 10:39 AM
Daddy Day Care
Opening: $20M
Finish: $74M

The Matrix Reloaded
Opening: $85M (3 days) $120M (4 days)
Finish: $315 M

Down With Love
Opening: $16M
Finish: $85M

Bruce Almighty
Opening: $45M
Finish: $165M

The In-Laws
Opening: $7M
Finish: $21M

The Italian Job
Opening: $15M
Finish: $55M

Wrong Turn
Opening: $6M
Finish: $15M

Finding Nemo
Opening: $70M
Finish: $285M

X2 has laready opened with a massive $85.5M, and I predict a $230M total.
Lizzie Maguire has opened with $17M and will finish with around $50M.

Mike
05-12-2003, 07:57 PM
Originally posted by The Other
You've got to be kidding me?! X2 made about $88 million. I think it will have no problem passing $300 million.

We'll just have to see how much it declines next weekend.

There's no way it will make 300 Million. It should finish with around 220 Million, but absolutely no more than 247 Million...

idealdiscountdude
05-12-2003, 08:41 PM
Already Released:

X2 - Finish $222 million
Lizzie McGuire - Finish $43 million
Daddy Day Care - Finish $116 million

Upcoming:

Matrix Reloaded - $100 million 4 Day/ $285 million Finish
Down With Love - $18.5 million/ $78 million Finish (I think it will do quite well)
Bruce Almighty - $55 million 5 Day Opening/ $140 million Finish
The InLaws - $11 million/ $30 million Finish
Wrong Turn - $3 million/ $ 6 million Finish
Finding Nemo - $55 million/ $235 million Finish
The Italian Job - $20 million/ $60 million Finish

ilovemovies
05-12-2003, 08:45 PM
I'm not very good at this kind of stuff but I will predict that X2 will should have no problem making the $250 - 300 million range. And the Matrix Reloaded should make atleast $300 million+ range. Actually I think that is kind of low. I actually think it will do atleast $400 million+. It won't out do Titanic but it will out do Spider-Man.

thompsoncory
05-13-2003, 09:53 PM
May 2nd
X2: X-Men United - $85 million/$275 million
The Lizzie McGuire Movie - $17.5 million/$55 million

May 9th
Daddy Day Care - $27.5 million/$106 million

May 16th
The Matrix Reloaded - $87 million/$301 million
Down With Love - $14.5 million/$75 million

May 23rd
Bruce Almighty - $54 million/$160 million
The In-Laws - $11 million/$37 million

May 30th
Finding Nemo - $68 million/$250 million
Wrong Turn - $7 million/$21 million
The Italian Job - $22 million/$87 million

Mike
06-05-2003, 08:46 AM
Originally posted by Mike
Since X2 and Lizzie McGuire already opened, I'm just going to predict how much I think they will finish with...

X2 - 250 Million
Lizzie McGuire - 51 Million


Daddy Day Care - Opening: 29 Million/Finish: 101-112 Million

The Matrix: Reloaded - Opening: 101 Million/Finish: 300-320 Million

Down With Love - Opening: 13 Million/Finish: 50 Million

Bruce Almighty - Opening: 30 Million/Finish: 99 Million

The In-Laws - Opening: 5 Million/Finish: 15-17 Million

The Italian Job - Opening: 15 Million/Finish: 45 Million

Wrong Turn - Opening: 9 Million/Finish: 27 Million

Finding Nemo - Opening: 70 Million/Finish: 300 Million


What does everyone else think?


Pretty much everyone thought I was overestimating Finding Nemo's numbers, but my opening prediction turned out to be pretty much right on target. It looks like it could easily be the highest grossing film of the summer. It should have excellent legs.

X2 doesn't even look like it will make it to my total prediction of 250 Million. Matrix Reloaded won't make it to my 300-301 Million total prediction either. I was pretty much right about Daddy Day Care though, and it should have just enough strength to cross the 100 Million mark.

Mike
06-05-2003, 08:47 AM
Originally posted by ilovemovies
I think you are overestimating Finding Nemo's numbers. It will be big but not THAT big. It won't make more than $200 million if that much.

Finally I think your numbers on The Matrix Reloaded are actually rather low. I honestly think this movie could get close to doing Titanic numbers.

Do you still think that now?

Jedi
06-05-2003, 08:51 AM
Originally posted by Jedi
Down With Love
Opening: $16M
Finish: $85M

The In-Laws
Opening: $7M
Finish: $21M

Wrong Turn
Opening: $6M
Finish: $15M

Finding Nemo
Opening: $70M
Finish: $285M



I guess I was right about Finding Nemo's opening (I swear I didn't steal that from you, Mike :D ). Also with Wrong Turn and The Imn-Laws.
But I sucked big time when I thought Down With Love is gonna be a hit! Silly me!!!! :(