Friday's Numbers (6/18)

[MadsenOMC]

1 DODGEBALL: A TRUE UNDERDOG STORY - $11,600,000
2 THE TERMINAL - $6,200,000
3 HARRY POTTER AND THE PRISONER OF AZKABAN - $5,248,000
4 SHREK 2 - $4,158,000
5 GARFIELD: THE MOVIE - $3,362,000
6 THE STEPFORD WIVES - $3,210,000
7 THE CHRONICLES OF RIDDICK - $2,762,000
8 THE DAY AFTER TOMORROW - $2,316,000
9 AROUND THE WORLD IN 80 DAYS - $2,135,000
10 TROY - $520,000

[MadsenOMC]

Interesting weekend. Dodgeball did better than I expected. I never thought it would make more than low-20s opening weekend. Didn't detect that strong of an interest in it. On the other hand, The Terminal is exactly where I expected. It seemed to be flying low on the radar. No one I know had plans to see it or was even all that interested in it. It doesn't scream "must-see" at all, unless you're a rabid Hanks or Spielberg fan. 80 Days kind of bombed a little it appears. Disney is grateful that Walden Media payed for it and not them, though it still reflects poorly on the company. And how about Riddick? A 72% drop from last Friday. Think Universal is planning on a sequel right now?

[Fisting Ackbar]

I had the feeling that DODGEBALL would be #1 after seeing many people talk about it on various message boards.

[EDsoulsurvive*]

Dodgeball really kicked up the advertisements this week on MTV/VH1/E! so I'm not at all surprised its opening so well. Im not even kidding, I couldnt watch TV without seeing a special on one of those channels or a commercial on another.

As for The Terminal, I was right with my prediction of a sub 20 million openning. I wanna see what legs this will have next week.

Harry Potter is dropping more than I'd like, though.

[MadsenOMC]

Sounds like Dodgeball was marketed extremely well. That combined with overall positive reviews seem to have helped. The Terminal surely will hold up better than Riddick and Van Helsing, but that means a 40-45% drop these days. It appears that its final tally will be a little disappointing.

[MartinGPB]

i didnt detect a huge interest in dodgeball either until i went to the movies last night and they announced the 930, 1000 and 1030 showings were sold out-- to give an idea of the general audience and why it did so well, it was mostly guys with backward baseball caps, gold chains, and sleeveless shirts on line

[sharkstank]

wow, dodgeball is gonna surprise alot of people. i thought terminal would make 25 mil, so it may make that, but it looks less.
riddick rreally dropped, shrek is still up there, and 80 days bombed

WWWWWWWWOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOO

[optimus1]

I am shocked to see Dodgeball doing so well , it looked horrible to me but Terminal looks boring , Chronicles is weak , Garfield is not a big franchise and everyone has already seen Harry Potter so I guess Dodgeball is the best choice unless you feel like seeing Shrek 2 again :)

[Damned Martian]

It seems like The Alamo has a serious contender for biggest bomb of the year, eh Jackie?:D

I'm surprised by Dodgeball's and Terminal's numbers. I expected it to be just the reversal, though I was sure Dodgeball was going to be a hit. It looks damn funny!

Anyway, I hope Terminal has some kind of legs.

[slasherfan]

OUCH!!! Loooks like Riddick is gonna F-L-O-P! Poor Universal arn't having a good Summer.

[Jon Lyrik]

Originally posted by MadsenOMC
The Terminal surely will hold up better than Riddick and Van Helsing, but that means a 40-45% drop these days. It appears that its final tally will be a little disappointing.

I don't think so. The WOM appears to be pretty good, and it's very rare to see a film like this drop 40% or over. I see a total of about $80 million at this point and about a 30-35% drop next weekend.

Around the World...hah, poor Disney. Poor Walden Media.

[MadsenOMC]

I highly doubt a drop of 30-35%. It would be very rare, even for a movie that aims for older audiences. There were less than 20 people at the theater I saw it at, and it's the most popular movie theater in a fairly big city. I see it having good but not great WOM, and not good enough to give it an uncharacteristically strong hold. Plus, next weekend you have two movies aiming for an older audience, The Notebook and Fahrenheit 9/11. Nothing less than 40%.

[Jon Lyrik]

Originally posted by MadsenOMC
I highly doubt a drop of 30-35%. It would be very rare, even for a movie that aims for older audiences. There were less than 20 people at the theater I saw it at, and it's the most popular movie theater in a fairly big city. I see it having good but not great WOM, and not good enough to give it an uncharacteristically strong hold. Plus, next weekend you have two movies aiming for an older audience, The Notebook and Fahrenheit 9/11. Nothing less than 40%.

I haven't heard much buzz for The Notebook, what's it about again?

Fahrenheit 9/11 has tons of buzz, but can it really have an opening big enough to harm Terminal? It's only going to be in 700 screens (maybe more, but not much more).

[MadsenOMC]

Fahrenheit 9/11 may not have much of an impact at all. Or it might. That remains to be seen. I just meant that it's targeting pretty much the same audience, and it's possible it will impact The Terminal's second weekend box office. The Notebook was a massive bestseller, and apparently it did pretty well in sneak previews. Older audiences, especially women, will be interested in seeing it. And that may have an impact on The Terminal's B.O. as well. Nothing is certain of course, just possible. It will have its work cut out to only drop 30-35%, they way summer has been going. I don't see it happening.

[Kidsilk]

Around the World in 80 Days really bombed. I didn't think it would do much, but I thought it would do better than that.

[Adornado]

Weekend Estimates:

1 Dodgeball 30.000 NEW 2694 11,136 30.00
2 The Terminal 18.700 NEW 2811 6,652 18.70
3 Prisoner of Azkaban 17.410 -50% 3805 4,576 190.31
4 Shrek 2 13.600 -42% 3306 4,114 378.30
5 Garfield 11.000 -49% 3150 3,492 42.02
6 Stepford Wives 9.200 -57% 3057 3,009 39.45
7 Chronicles of Riddick 8.300 -66% 2757 3,011 41.40
8 Day After Tomorrow 7.550 -48% 2667 2,831 166.76
9 Around...80 Days 6.833 - 2801 2,439 9.62
10 Troy 1.710 -50% 1303 1,312 128.96
11 Raising Helen 1.308 -65% 1261 1,037 34.63
12 Saved! 1.300 -49% 592 2,196 6.58

[Moviefan1234]

Quick question, how much of Around The World In 80 Days did Disney fund? Didn't Walden Media have to finance a large portion of the budget?

[MadsenOMC]

Walden Media paid for the entire production, roughly $110 million. Disney paid the acquisition fee and then for advertising. What would that combined total be? $40-$50 million?

[Jon Lyrik]

Originally posted by MadsenOMC
Walden Media paid for the entire production, roughly $110 million. Disney paid the acquisition fee and then for advertising. What would that combined total be? $40-$50 million?

I have no idea what an aquisition fee would cost, but the marketing was about $30 million.