Friday's Numbers (7/9)

[MadsenOMC]

1) SPIDER-MAN 2 - $14 million
2) ANCHORMAN - $11 million
3) KING ARTHUR - $5 million
4) FAHRENHEIT 9/11 - $3.48 million
5) THE NOTEBOOK - $2.17 million
6) WHITE CHICKS - $2.07 million
7) DODGEBALL: A TRUE UNDERDOG STORY - $1.74 million
8) SLEEPOVER - $1.72 million
9) TERMINAL - $1.54 million
10 SHREK 2 - $1.34 million

[Jon Lyrik]

Great for Anchorman.

Poor Disney, they got yet another $100m bomb on their hands. How long will it last?

Not a very steady hold for Spidey, but I think it has a fairly good shot at dropping under 50% this weekend. If it does, I will be very happy. It should stablize in drops fairly quickly.

[MadsenOMC]

Does Spider-man 2 have a chance of grossing as much as the first domestically? I expected a large drop. Everyone had six days to see it over the long weekend and that's been the way things go in summer these days. Even if people like the movie. I did think Anchorman would do a little better, but it's still a strong number. King Arthur is getting what it deserves.

[Jon Lyrik]

Originally posted by MadsenOMC
Does Spider-man 2 have a chance of grossing as much as the first domestically?

If it stabilizes quick enough and it drops under 50% this weekend, I think it has a pretty good chance. The main advantage it has over the first is that it has much stronger weekdays because it's in the heart of summer rather than May.

I am going to go make some projections from now until it (might) beat Spidey.

[Moviefan1234]

Jeez, after their year of 2003 you'd think Disney would've been able to carry over a little success. Eisner can't have much time left, can he?

[optimus1]

I cant believe that F 9/11 is still in the top 5..man I guess there really are a lot of people who don't trust Bush out there and felt like they needed to see this.

[FerrellFan911]

Yay for Anchorman!

I was afraid it was going to flop after seeing it Friday. It wasn't that good.

[MadsenOMC]

Wait, so you didn't like it, but you're glad it's a hit? Because you love Ferrell or what?

[Jon Lyrik]

I think Spidey is able to pass the original still. If it drops less than 50% this weekend and stabilizes very well, it's very possible:

Day 1 (Wed): $40,442,604
Day 2 (Thu): $23,812,920; -41.1%; $64,255,524

Day 3 (Fri): $32,452,342; +36.3%; $96,707,866
Day 4 (Sat): $33,748,257; +4%; $130,456,123
Day 5 (Sun): $21,955,628; -34.9%; $152,411,751

WEEKEND 1: $88,156,227; $21,232

Day 6 (Mon): $27,661,137; +26%; $180,072,888
Day 7 (Tue): $12,012,472; -56.6%; $192,085,360
Day 8 (Wed): $10,034,713; -16.5%; -75.2%; $202,120,073
Day 9 (Thu): $9,137,510; -61.6%; $211,257,583

Day 10 (Fri): $14,330,000; +56.8%; -55.8%; $225,588,000
Day 11 (Sat): $18,190,311; +26.9%; -46.1%; $243,778,311
Day 12 (Sun): $13,963,779; -30.2%; -36.4%; $257,742,090

WEEKEND 2: $46,484,090; -47.3%; $11,158

Day 13 (Mon): $6,060,280; -56.6%; -78.1%; $263,802,370
Day 14 (Tue): $5,638,788; -7%; -53.1%; $269,441,158
Day 15 (Wed): $5,155,261; -8.6%; -48.6%; $274,596,419
Day 16 (Thu): $4,779,442; -7.3%; -47.7%; $279,375,861

Day 17 (Fri): $8,361,634; +75%; -41.6%; $287,737,495
Day 18 (Sat): $12,132,731; +45.1%; -33.3%; $299,870,226
Day 19 (Sun): $8,468,646; -30.2%; -39.4%; $308,338,872

WEEKEND 3: $28,967,011; -37.7%

Day 20 (Mon): $3,675,293; -56.6%; -39.4%; $312,014,165
Day 21 (Tue): $3,418,022; -7%; -39.4%; $315,432,187
Day 22 (Wed): $3,124,072; -8.6%; -39.4%; $318,556,259
Day 23 (Thu): $2,896,015; -7.3%; -39.4%; $321,452,274

Day 24 (Fri): $5,329,392; +84%; -36.3%; $326,781,666
Day 25 (Sat): $8,212,593; +54.1%; -32.3%; $334,994,259
Day 26 (Sun): $5,732,390; -30.2%; -32.3%; $340,726,649

WEEKEND 4: $19,274,375; -33.5%

Day 27 (Mon): $2,487,857; -56.6%; -32.3%; $343,214,506
Day 28 (Tue): $2,313,707; -7%; -32.3%; $345,528,213
Day 29 (Wed): $2,114,728; -8.6%; -32.3%; $347,642,941
Day 30 (Thu): $1,960,353; -7.3%; -32.3%; $349,603,294

Day 31 (Fri): $3,607,050; +84%; -36.3%; $353,210,344
Day 32 (Sat): $5,558,464; +54.1%; -32.3%; $358,768,808
Day 33 (Sun): $3,879,808; -30.2%; -32.3%; $362,648,616

WEEKEND 5: $13,045,322; -33.5%

Day 34 (Mon): $1,683,837; -56.6%; -32.3%; $364,332,453
Day 35 (Tue): $1,565,968; -7%; -32.3%; $365,898,421
Day 36 (Wed): $1,431,295; -8.6%; -32.3%; $367,329,716
Day 37 (Thu): $1,326,811; -7.3%; -32.3%; $368,656,526

Day 38 (Fri): $2,441,332; +84%; -36.3%; $371,097,858
Day 39 (Sat): $3,762,093; +54.1%; -32.3%; $374,859,951
Day 40 (Sun): $2,625,941; -30.2%; -32.3%; $377,485,892

WEEKEND 6: $8,829,366; -33.5%

Day 41 (Mon): $1,139,658; -56.6%; -32.3%; $378,625,550
Day 42 (Tue): $1,059,882; -7%; -32.3%; $379,685,432
Day 43 (Wed): $968,732; -8.6%; -32.3%; $380,654,464
Day 44 (Thu): $898,015; -7.3%; -32.3%; $381,552,479

Day 45 (Fri): $1,652,348; +84%; -36.3%; $383,204,827
Day 46 (Sat): $2,546,268; +54.1%; -32.3%; $385,751,095
Day 47 (Sun): $1,777,295; -30.2%; -32.3%; $387,528,390

WEEKEND 7: $5,975,911; -33.5%

Day 48 (Mon): $771,346; -56.6%; -32.3%; $388,299,736
Day 49 (Tue): $717,355; -7%; -32.3%; $389,017,091
Day 50 (Wed): $655,662; -8.6%; -32.3%; $389,672,753
Day 51 (Thu): $607,799; -7.3%; -32.3%; $390,280,552

Day 52 (Fri): $1,118,350; +84%; -36.3%; $391,398,902
Day 53 (Sat): $1,723,377; +54.1%; -32.3%; $393,122,279
Day 54 (Sun): $1,202,917; -30.2%; -32.3%; $394,325,196

WEEKEND 8: $4,044,644; -33.5%

Day 55 (Mon): $522,066; -56.6%; -32.3%; $394,847,262
Day 56 (Tue): $485,521; -7%; -32.3%; $395,332,783
Day 57 (Wed): $443,766; -8.6%; -32.3%; $395,776,549
Day 58 (Thu): $411,371; -7.3%; -32.3%; $396,187,920

Day 59 (Fri): $756,923; +84%; -36.3%; $396,944,843
Day 60 (Sat): $1,166,418; +54.1%; -32.3%; $398,111,261
Day 61 (Sun): $814,160; -30.2%; -32.3%; $398,925,451

WEEKEND 9: $2,737,501; -33.5%

Day 62 (Mon): $353,345; -56.6%; -32.3%; $399,278,796
Day 63 (Tue): $328,611; -7%; -32.3%; $399,607,407
Day 64 (Wed): $300,350; -8.6%; -32.3%; $399,907,757
Day 65 (Thu): $278,424; -7.3%; -32.3%; $400,186,181

Day 66 (Fri): $720,840; +158.9%; -4.8%; $400,907,021
Day 67 (Sat): $1,222,545; +69.6%; +4.8%; $402,129,566
Day 68 (Sun): $1,255,554; +2.7%; +54.2%; $403,385,120

WEEKEND 10: $3,198,939; +16.9%

Day 69 (Mon): $1,191,521; -5.1%; +237.2%; $404,576,641
Day 70 (Tue): $247,836; -79.2%; -24.6%; $404,824,477
Day 71 (Wed): $205,208; -17.2%; -31.7%; $405,029,685
Day 72 (Thu): $191,254; -6.8%; -31.3%; $405,220,939

Day 73 (Fri): $495,348; +159%; -31.3%; $405,716,287
Day 74 (Sat): $851,008; +71.8%; -30.4%; $406,567,295
Day 75 (Sun): $482,567; -43.3%; -61.6%; $407,049,862

WEEKEND 11: $1,828,923; -42.8%

[MadsenOMC]

You really think it will drop less than 50% this weekend? Its Friday to Friday drop is like 57%, and there won't be much of a jump today, if any. It's likely to drop at least 55%. And I think it will be hard to stabalize this summer. Each weekend is so crowded, with I, Robot, The Bourne Supremacy, The Village and Harold & Kumar (teen boys will flock) all coming up soon.

[Jon Lyrik]

Originally posted by MadsenOMC
You really think it will drop less than 50% this weekend? Its Friday to Friday drop is like 57%, and there won't be much of a jump today, if any. It's likely to drop at least 55%. And I think it will be hard to stabalize this summer. Each weekend is so crowded, with I, Robot, The Bourne Supremacy, The Village and Harold & Kumar (teen boys will flock) all coming up soon.

It's only an if it can stabilize like that. The Friday-to-Friday drop is 55% according to BOM, and I'm fairly sure there will be a good boost today and a decent drop from Sunday-to-Sunday.

Right now I'm unsure of what the total will be. Not until the estimates come in will be I certain.

[MadsenOMC]

It's 57% according to boxofficeguru. But who cares about 2%? Cripes.

[Jon Lyrik]

Originally posted by MadsenOMC
It's 57% according to boxofficeguru. But who cares about 2%? Cripes.

I didn't even relize it had 57%, sorry. Haven't slept in a day and my mind is overheating.

T3, last year's ID4 openers, dropped pretty much the same on it's second Friday as Spidey, and it had a fairly weighty increase from on it's second Friday-Saturday, though the drops from the previous Friday-Saturdays were the same. The difference: Spidey only jumped 4% on it's first Saturday while T3 had a much weightier increase on it's first Friday-Saturday. If Spidey can jump near 30% on Saturday, it in most probablity won't drop over 50%.

And the first Sunday-second Sunday drop will be fairly good.

[ilovemovies]

White Chicks is still #6 yet my theater already got rid of it? :confused:

[FerrellFan911]

Originally posted by MadsenOMC
Wait, so you didn't like it, but you're glad it's a hit? Because you love Ferrell or what?

Exactly, it means Will will get more movie offers and stay in the spotlight. I just think he's sagging a bit right now.

[Fisting Ackbar]

Originally posted by ilovemovies
White Chicks is still #6 yet my theater already got rid of it? :confused:

Be glad ;)

[sharkstank]

this seems odd to me, but i have 4 thetres around me that i go to. three century and one amc. the three centuries ARENT PLAYING ANCHORMAN?! WHAT THE HELL

guess i'll see it tomorrow at amc

WWWWWWWWWWWWOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOO

[Horror whore]

Here are some of Saturday's numbers:

Spiderman 2 - $17.9m (+25%)
Anchorman - $9.7m (-9.4%)
King Arthur - $5.8m (+15.8%)
Fahrenheit 9/11 - $4.5m (+40.6%)

Spidey had a pretty nice increase on Saturday. I really hope it will make more than the original and possibly beat Shrek 2. But I know I'm being too optimistic....

[Nachokoolaid]

Originally posted by FerrellFan911
Yay for Anchorman!

I was afraid it was going to flop after seeing it Friday. It wasn't that good.

REALLY? I loved ANCHORMAN. I think it's the best comedy of the year, and of Ferrell's career. Go see it if you haven't.

[FerrellFan911]

I thought Anchorman was okay, but it just wasn't that funny to me. I mean, nothing is going to stop me from loving Will Ferrell. He's a comedic god.

[dellamorte dellamore]

Hope SM 2 falls short of the first , mainly because it's pretty much the same damn film with a little more action , maybe some people will catch on to that and the mania will die faster than the first , which was underserved in my opinion .

KA jumped a bit , yayyyy , it's still going to be a bomb .

The anchor dude , guess 30 mil is in line , them be Dodgeball numbers , the exact same audience is seeing this one .

F 22 - the film blows but i guess some people are still interested in it . If i want a psuedo doc , i'll watch Last Broadcast again .


Sleepover - man , i really wanted this film to do good , what happened to it . Now we're not getting a sequel and that's sad .

[MadsenOMC]

dd, why do you insist on doing that, throwing in your personal commentary on F9/11? We have been through this before, and people really don't want it. I don't understand why you keep doing it. What is the point? Post in the F9/11 thread if you want to talk about it. And have you even seen it? Jesus.

[MadsenOMC]

Back on topic, I was really wrong about Anchorman. I can't believe Dodgeball opened stronger. I never expected that. When you're wrong, you're wrong.

[Moviefan1234]

I'm ecstatic for The Notebook's numbers. It's nice to it getting great holds, it deserves every cent. I feel bad for those involved in King Arthur, some talented individuals who don't deserve a tanker. And I'm glad for Spider-Man 2, a real fun flick. I hope it outgrosses the original.

[MadsenOMC]

King Arthur sucks, regardless of the talent involved. It got exactly what it deserves.

[Moviefan1234]

Originally posted by MadsenOMC
King Arthur sucks, regardless of the talent involved. It got exactly what it deserves.

I didn't phrase it the way I should've. I guess I should've said that Clive Owen, Antoine Fuqua, Keira Knightley, and Jerry Bruckheimer all deserve better box office results.

[MadsenOMC]

Well, I like Owen, but not the rest of those people, so I'm not too upset by the failure. I'm just judging the movie itself, and I thought it was terrible. So the box office failure makes me smile a little.

[optimus1]

Madsen although I think DD is wrong about the movie how can you bitch about him knocking and making a personal comment about F 9/11 in this thread and then you make a personal observation opinion post about KA sucking? Just wondering as maybe I am missing something here :)

[Damned Martian]

Originally posted by optimus1
Madsen although I think DD is wrong about the movie how can you bitch about him knocking and making a personal comment about F 9/11 in this thread and then you make a personal observation opinion post about KA sucking? Just wondering as maybe I am missing something here :) OWNED!;)

With these numbers, it's highly doubtful Spiderman 2 will get to $400 million. Of course, outgross Shrek 2 has become impossible.

Why is it that no movie this year has matched expectations (every single movie has overgrossed or undergrossed what experts though they would do)? Spidey falls quicker than expected, HP3 can't match any of its prequels, Shrek 2 makes a shitload more than everybody thought it would do, Riddick doesn't even get to $60 million while Garfield grosses a healthy $70 million... I wonder what Catwoman's numbers are going to be...

[Damned Martian]

BTW, here are the estimates for teh weekend (source: boxofficeprophets):

1. Spider-Man 2 /// -48% /// $46.0 /// $257.3
2. Anchorman /// New /// $28.0 /// $28.0
3. King Arthur /// New /// $15.2 /// $23.6
4. Fahrenheit 9/11 /// -32% /// $11.0 /// $80.1
5. The Notebook /// -12% /// $6.5 /// $43.1
6. White Chicks /// -25% /// $6.5 /// $57.2
7. Dodgeball /// -34% /// $5.4 /// $97.6
8. The Terminal /// -37% /// $5.0 /// $65.3
9. Shrek 2 /// -23% /// $4.5 /// $418.6
10. Sleepover /// New /// $4.2 /// $4.2


I still can't believe WC legs!!:eek: I think that deserves to bomb way harder than KA, hands down!

[MadsenOMC]

Owned what? Please. I have actually seen King Arthur. Good enough for you? Plus, he has done it about 20 times. Every single time he posts here, he takes an opportunity to knock a movie he hasn't even seen. Brings it up over and over again. I have not done that. Good enough for you?

[Adornado]

Originally posted by Damned Martian
BTW, here are the estimates for teh weekend (source: boxofficeprophets):

1. Spider-Man 2 /// -48% /// $46.0 /// $257.3
2. Anchorman /// New /// $28.0 /// $28.0
3. King Arthur /// New /// $15.2 /// $23.6
4. Fahrenheit 9/11 /// -32% /// $11.0 /// $80.1
5. The Notebook /// -12% /// $6.5 /// $43.1
6. White Chicks /// -25% /// $6.5 /// $57.2
7. Dodgeball /// -34% /// $5.4 /// $97.6
8. The Terminal /// -37% /// $5.0 /// $65.3
9. Shrek 2 /// -23% /// $4.5 /// $418.6
10. Sleepover /// New /// $4.2 /// $4.2

Well, King Arthur more or less bombed...will probably end up with 45 million or so.

The Terminal and Fahrenheit 9/11 are set to cross the century mark...

White Chicks :eek:

Pretty interesting summer in terms of box office, with many high profile bombs (Riddick) and many surprises (White Chicks, Fahrenheit 9/11.

I'm really interested in how Alexander is going to do and I wonder if Catwoman will bomb as bad as everyone thinks.

[MadsenOMC]

Don't mean to beat a dead horse, but King Arthur is an even bigger bomb that I thought. According to boxofficemojo, it cost $130 million to make and another $40 million to market. It won't make half of that domestically. Ouch.

[MadsenOMC]

Final weekend numbers:

1) SPIDER-MAN 2 - $45.1 million (-49%)
2) ANCHORMAN - $28.4 million
3) KING ARTHUR - $15.2 million
4) FAHRENHEIT 9/11 - $11 million (-32%)
5) THE NOTEBOOK - $6.5 million (-12%)
6) WHITE CHICKS - $6.2 million (-28%)
7) DODGEBALL: A TRUE UNDERDOG STORY - $5.7 million (-30%)
8) THE TERMINAL - $5 million (-37%)
9) SHREK 2 - $4.5 million (-24%)
10 SLEEPOVER - $4.2 million

[dellamorte dellamore]

Wonder if there is any chance KA can hang around and eventually make a profit once the international BO comes into play . I remember when Last Sam was released , it looked like a total bomb , but it hung around , and ultimately crossed the 450 mil mark worldwide . The one thing hurting KA's chances of doing something like that is the time it's being released , no Oscar buzz , and no Tom Cruise . Still never really know how the film will be received over there ( Europe , Asia ) , so there is still a chance it can be profitable , we'll see .

[Jon Lyrik]

I called on Spidey 2 dropping under 50%. Too bad I didn't place any bets on it. :(

That Notebook drop is stunning. :eek: $100m?

White Chicks dropped 25% on it's third weekend. God is preparing armageddon now.

[MadsenOMC]

Would you like a cookie or a biscuit? Do I get anything for being closer than you with my prediction for Spider-Man 2?

[Arathon]

Originally posted by dellamorte dellamore
Wonder if there is any chance KA can hang around and eventually make a profit once the international BO comes into play . I remember when Last Sam was released , it looked like a total bomb , but it hung around , and ultimately crossed the 450 mil mark worldwide . The one thing hurting KA's chances of doing something like that is the time it's being released , no Oscar buzz , and no Tom Cruise . Still never really know how the film will be received over there ( Europe , Asia ) , so there is still a chance it can be profitable , we'll see .

I think KA will do well in Europe, since it's a european based story and film. I'm predicting KA will end up with 60 million domestically and worldwide total of 200 million. But yes we'll have to wait and see.

[MadsenOMC]

When does it open internationally? And even a $200 million worldwide total means it only breaks even.

[dellamorte dellamore]

I don't know , sometimes the release dates are so random , but i'm thinking it will do way better overseas , Clive Owen has been very popular over there for awhile now ( Especially in Europe ) , and this is his first B Buster , so i expect big numbers . And the rest of the cast can only enhance it's appeal , mainly Keira Knightly .


Now that i think of it , yes , this will be a profitable film , because of the international gross , i'm convinced .

[Moviefan1234]

Originally posted by dellamorte dellamore
Now that i think of it , yes , this will be a profitable film , because of the international gross , i'm convinced .

I agree with you on that one. It's a failure over here, but it should do very well overseas and I see it doing fairly well in the DVD market. In the end it should make a profit, thankfully for Disney.

[MadsenOMC]

It's going to have to have a very healthy overseas gross to become profitable. Far from a sure thing.

[gyro_44]

Frankly, it's good to see a Bruckheimer film bomb now and again. KA was poor and deserves no better.

[MadsenOMC]

Originally posted by gyro_44
Frankly, it's good to see a Bruckheimer film bomb now and again. KA was poor and deserves no better.

Amen to that. Sometimes, movies get exactly what they deserve. No more true than here.

[ilovemovies]

Troy was a disappointment domestically, but I read somewhere that it's made like over $400 million world wide. That really surprised me.

Maybe it was $300, I can't remember. But it was surprisingly high.

[Jon Lyrik]

Originally posted by ilovemovies
Troy was a disappointment domestically, but I read somewhere that it's made like over $400 million world wide. That really surprised me.

Maybe it was $300, I can't remember. But it was surprisingly high.

It made about $350m internationally. That really shouldn't come as a surprise, as a story like this would obviously explode in Europe, the CIS, and Japan.

[Damned Martian]

Originally posted by Jon Lyrik
It made about $350m internationally. The current worldwide figure, including the US, is $476.5 million.


BTW, Madsen, don't be so sensitive. The icon should have told you I was only joking. When have you seen me involved in one of those discussions? I'm not even registered in the politics forum!