Top 10 for Lord of the Rings Weekend?

[totemrepublic]

What do you think will be the top 10 films at the box office this following weekend?

1. Lord of the Rings
2. The Majestic
3. Ocean's 11
4. Kate and Leopold
5. Jimmy Neutron
6. Vanilla Sky
7. Harry Potter
8. Joe Somebody
9. Not Another Teen Movie
10. How High

[Mike]

Here's my choices for top 10 but I don't know how many screens each movie will be playing on so I'll probably end up changing them later:

1. LORD OF THE RINGS/ 50 Million
2. THE MAJESTIC/ 13 Million
3. OCEAN'S ELEVEN/ 12.5 Million
4. JIMMY NEUTRON/ 12 Million
5. VANILLA SKY/ 11.5 Million
6. HOW HIGH/ 8 Million
7. JOE SOMEBODY/ 7 Million
8. HARRY POTTER/ 7 Million
9. NOT ANOTHER TEEN MOVIE/ 6 Million
10. MONSTERS INC./ 4 Million



[This message has been edited by Mike (edited 12-18-2001).]

[Nate6]

I don't want to guess figures, because I'm usually off on those

1. LOTR:FOTR
2. The Majestic
3. Jimmy Neutron
4. Ocean's 11
5. Kate and Leopold
6. Harry Potter
7. Joe Somebody
8. Vanilla Sky
9. How High
10. Not Another Teen Movie

A Beautiful Mind is only opening in 11 theaters this week, it goes wider January 4th. With only 11 screens, there's no chance in hell of it making the top 10.

[Mike]

A Beautiful Mind is only playing in 11 theaters, wow, I guess I better take it out of the top 10 then...

[idealdiscountdude]

My Predictions:

1.Lord Of The Rings
-$ 65.0 million opening/$ 122.0 million 5Day total

2.The Majestic
-$ 17.5 million/ NEW

3.Oceans 11
-$ 16.7 million/$ 99.5 million total

4.Jimmy Neutron
-$ 14.3 million/ NEW

5.Vanilla Sky
-$ 12.3 million/$ 45.8 million total

6.How High
-$ 9.5 million/ NEW

7.Kate & Leopold
-$ 8.6 million/NEW

8.Harry Potter And The Philosophers Stone
-$ 7.5 million/$264.1 million total

9.Not Another Teen Movie
-$ 6.5 million/$ 24.0 million total

10.Joe Somebody
-$ 5.5 million/ NEW

[thompsoncory]

1) Lord Of The Rings - $70 million
2) Jimmy Neutron - $25 million
3) The Majestic - $22 million
4) Ocean's Eleven - $19 million
5) Kate & Leopold - $16 million
6) Vanilla Sky - $14 million
7) Not Another Teen Movie - $9 million
8) Harry Potter - $7 million
9) Monsters, Inc. - $5.5 million
10) Joe Somebody - $3 million

LOTR will without a doubt take the #1 spot, but will not beat Harry Potter's record. Jimmy Neutron has been getting extensive advertising so it will be second. The Majestic and Kate & Leopold will make decent amounts, Joe Somebody will finish up the top ten, and How High will open outside of the 10.

[Horror whore]

1. LOTR- 53 Million weekend, 80 Million Five day...
2. The Majestic- 15 Million
3. Oceans 11- 12 Million
4. Jimmy Neutron- 11 Million
5. Harry Potter- 7 Million
6. How High- 6 Million
7. Kate And Leopold- 6 Million
8. Joe Somebody- 5 Million

[Muha]

1. LOTR:FOTR - 75 weekend, 130 5-day weekend
2. The Majestic - 20 million
3. Ocean's 11 - 15 million
4. Vanilla Sky - 12 million
5. Harry Potter - 10 million
6. NATM - 9 million
7. Joe Somebody - 6 million
8. How High - 5 million
9 and 10 who cares

found out a report that K&L was delayed until Christmas

[Mike]

Yep, KATE & LEOPOLD has been delayed until Christmas day.

[Mike]

Here's the number of theaters each new movie will be playing at this weekend:

THE LORD OF THE RINGS - 3,359
JIMMY NEUTRON: BOY GENIOUS - 3,139
JOE SOMEBODY - 2,503
THE MAJESTIC - 2,361
HOW HIGH - 1,200

And here's my FINAL WEEKEND PREDICTIONS:

1. LORD OF THE RINGS/ 50 Million
2. JIMMY NEUTRON/ 16 Million
3. OCEAN'S ELEVEN/ 14 Million
4. THE MAJESTIC/ 13 Million
5. VANILLA SKY/ 11.5 Million
6. HOW HIGH/ 8 Million
7. JOE SOMEBODY/ 7 Million
8. HARRY POTTER/ 7 Million
9. NOT ANOTHER TEEN MOVIE/ 6.5 Million
10. MONSTERS INC./ 4 Million

Here's a quote from www.boxofficeguru.com (http://www.boxofficeguru.com) about Vanilla Sky:


Vanilla Sky has generated some of the worst word-of-mouth since Freddy Got Fingered so a steep sophomore decline should be expected. Look for the Cruise-Cruz vehicle to take in about $14M this weekend giving the Paramount drama $48M in ten days.

-How about that, it's getting compared to Freddy Got Fingered, that's interesting.
Anyway, VANILLA SKY will drop, but I expect it to drop even more, I'd say it will probably drop to about 11.5 Million.

[This message has been edited by Mike (edited 12-20-2001).]

[Mike]

Here's Entertainment Weekly's Box Office predictions:

Five new wide releases in one weekend? Yep, it's Christmastime.

After weeks with just one or maybe two national movie debuts, the super-busy holiday season goes into full swing with the arrival of the ridiculously anticipated epic ''The Lord of the Rings: The Fellowship of the Ring,'' along with four other premieres. In fact, the weekend is so crowded that Miramax delayed its Meg Ryan romantic comedy ''Kate & Leopold'' from its original Dec. 21 date to Dec. 25.

Obviously, ''Lord of the Rings'' will be far and away the top film. After hundreds of millions of website hits and about as many magazine covers, the J.R.R. Tolkien adaptation finally hit theaters on Wednesday, bringing in an amazing $18.2 million, about the same that ''Jurassic Park III'' grossed on its debut Wednesday before bringing in $50.8 million over the Friday-to-Sunday period. ''LOTR'''s strong advance buzz (it scored four Golden Globe nominations, including Best Drama, and a certain movie critic -- EW's Lisa Schwarzbaum -- called it the movie of the year) will propel the Hobbits past the dinosaurs. Look for ''Lord'' to gross about $60 million this weekend and about $85-90 million in its first five days.

The rest of the top six will be a bit tighter. The animated flick ''Jimmy Neutron: Boy Genius'' will bring the family audience in droves. Any pop culture-savvy 8-year-old has been talking this one up for weeks. Following on the heels of the ''Rugrats'' movies, each of which earned in the mid-20 millions in their first weekends, ''Jimmy'' should also serve up about $20 million for second place.

Comedians Tim Allen and Jim Carrey may battle it out for the No. 3 slot. Allen has the lighthearted comedy ''Joe Somebody,'' about a wimpy white-collar worker seeking revenge on his bullying colleague, while Carrey returns with the Capra-esque feelgood drama ''The Majestic,'' which was meant to be an Oscar film but has seen horrible reviews and not a single critic's award or Golden Globe nod. Both films should debut with about $12 million.

Another word of mouth casualty is bound to be Tom Cruise's audience-dividing ''Vanilla Sky.'' Although the trippy drama certainly has its ardent fans (myself included), its CinemaScore grade of D- presages a big second-weekend drop. A decline of 55 percent would mean only $11 million, good enough for fifth place.

The week's last new entry is the Method Man/Redman college comedy ''How High.'' Only playing in 1,200 theaters, the stoner flick won't break the top five, but should certainly outgross the movie debuts of fellow musicians Mariah Carey (''Glitter'') and 'N Sync's Lance and Joey (''On the Line''), which only managed about $4 million each. Rather, the rappers will gross about $7 million, leaving those other pop stars desperately planning their next albums.