Friday's Estimates (10/14)

[MadsenOMC]

From showbizdata:

1) THE FOG - $4.1 million
2) ELIZABETHTOWN - $3.8 million
3) WALLACE & GROMIT MOVIE - $3.1 million
4) IN HER SHOES - $1.9 million
5) FLIGHTPLAN - $1.9 million
6) DOMINO - $1.6 million
7) TWO FOR THE MONEY - $1.5 million
8) HISTORY OF VIOLENCE - $1.1 million
9) WAITING - $1 million
10) CORPSE BRIDE - $1 million

[MadsenOMC]

Another weak weekend at the box office. Elizabethtown should pass The Fog by the end of the weekend for the number one spot. $13 million seems about right. The Fog will be lucky to hit $12 million if it performs like a typical horror movie. It was cheap, but still not a very good opening weekend. And holy shit did Domino bomb. $60 million production budget and it's going to have a $5 million opening if it's lucky. It looked bad and it is bad and people smelled it.

[daddiefatsacks]

jeez, domino bombed

and the fog? people actually saw it??

[Bourne101]

I'm afraid the box-office will be like this for a while. Doom and Saw 2 will top in the next few weeks but either would be lucky to get 20 million opening. Chicken Little may be the next 30-40 million. Jarhead comes out the same week but I don't expect it to make more than 15 million on opening. And the Get Rich or Die Tryin' will top, but I'm not sure how much. It will be either very high #1 or very low #1. It might be Harry Potter before we see a hit.

[Tuukka]

W&G dropped only 22% from last friday. Might have a sub-20% weekend drop. It's showing some great legs.

[Lazy Boy]

Poor, poor pitiful weekend.

Elizabethtown could very well take the top spot when the weekend is over. A shitload of people were exiting the theater where it was playing.

I have a penchant for trashy films that bomb; Domino was mindlessly entertaining, so I feel like an odd protector of it.

I'm just astonished that Serenity managed to tumble out of the top ten so quickly. Wait, maybe I'm not...

[Moviefan02000]

The first weekend of November we get CHICKEN LITTLE and JARHEAD. Both films should do great at the boxoffice.

The second weekend we get THE FAMILY STONE, which should top the weekend if it gets a high enough theater count and GET RICH OR DIE TRYIN' which as of yet only has 1000+ theaters under it's belt.

[MadsenOMC]

The Family Stone isn't opening until December 16th.

[optimus1]

This is serenitys 3rd weekend in the theaters and its in 11th place with a take of 800,000. Im just astonished you didn't start a Serenity isn't in the top 10 thread Lazyboy as I know you play close attention to these things :rolleyes:

[Moviefan02000]

Originally posted by MadsenOMC
The Family Stone isn't opening until December 16th.

I saw a TV spot for it last night and it say November 11th.

[MadsenOMC]

Do a little research. Its release date was pushed back. Trust me. It opens on December 16th.

From hollywood-elsewhere:

10/14/2005 9:43 AM
20th Century Fox is pushing back the release date of The Family Stone from early November to December 16th.

[Moviefan02000]

Considering the couple TV spots I saw today also said November 11th, I'm sticking with that date until the date on the spots change.

[Moviefan1234]

Originally posted by Moviefan02000
Considering the couple TV spots I saw today also said November 11th, I'm sticking with that date until the date on the spots change.

http://www.comingsoon.net/films.php?id=8615

[Lazy Boy]

Originally posted by Moviefan02000
Considering the couple TV spots I saw today also said November 11th, I'm sticking with that date until the date on the spots change.

It's been posted on other sites like Oscarwatch, etc. Trust me, the date has been changed to December. You're too trusting of TV spots. :)

[MadsenOMC]

Originally posted by Moviefan02000
Considering the couple TV spots I saw today also said November 11th, I'm sticking with that date until the date on the spots change.

Well go ahead and be wrong then. Why in the fuck would you trust TV spots? Stubborn are we? Not that it matters, since you are wrong.

[Criminal Rock]

I hate it when people argue about lame shit like this. Who cares? There are plenty of websites that display both dates, there’s no need to argue who’s right.

[The Heart Collector]

Originally posted by MadsenOMC
Well go ahead and be wrong then. Why in the fuck would you trust TV spots? Stubborn are we? Not that it matters, since you are wrong.

JESUS CHRIST, ITS A FUCKING DATE.

[XCoRyX]

wow...such a low weekend (again ey?).

Can't believe how miserable Domino did...looked the best out of all new releases to me personally.

[Backstabba]

Originally posted by MadsenOMC
Well go ahead and be wrong then. Why in the fuck would you trust TV spots? Stubborn are we? Not that it matters, since you are wrong.

Guys! Guys! Guys!....What are we turning into, IMDB? ( :D )

Isn't this the "Friday estimates" page?....Isn't that what matters?....Not the date for "The family stone"...(Besides, is anyone looking forward to "The family Stone"?.....Ok...im sorry....that was a dick move)

What really matters is....This is my 1000th POST.....

....
.....
Too bad for domino....

[MadsenOMC]

Originally posted by The Heart Collector
JESUS CHRIST, ITS A FUCKING DATE.

JESUS CHRIST, I am not the one with the problem here. I just wanted to point out that the movie had a date change. Just a little FYI since it was a recent change and it appeared that he didn't know.

[MadsenOMC]

Don't feel bad for Domino. Some movies get exactly what they deserve.

[slasherfan]

Originally posted by MadsenOMC
Don't feel bad for Domino. Some movies get exactly what they deserve.
I don't feel bad for Domino, I feel bad for New Line, I think they are a good company but have been wasting way to much money latley on turds, Son Of The Mask, Dumb And Dumberer anyone? It's like they made way to much money on Lord Of The Rings trilogy and green lit anything pushed their way while high.
Oh well, they still have a good horror track record.

Oh and PS, LADIES, CALM DOWN AND STOP FIGHTING!!!!! SHEEH!!!

[Edie0027]

Originally posted by Bourne101
I'm afraid the box-office will be like this for a while. Doom and Saw 2 will top in the next few weeks but either would be lucky to get 20 million opening. Chicken Little may be the next 30-40 million.

Well I wouldn't say a while since Chicken Little is only 2 weeks away. Like you said, it should be a killer weekend-- they are expecting huge numbers for the film overall...

I don't mind waiting 2 weeks for a nice box office weekend..

[MadsenOMC]

Weekend Estimates:


1) The Fog - 12.2m - 12.2m
2) Wallace & Gromit - 11.7m - 27% - 33.3m
3) Elizabethtown - 11m - 11m
4) Flightplan - 6.5m - 39.8% - 70.8m
5) In Her Shoes - 6.1m - 39.1% - 20.1m
6) Domino - 4.7m - 4.7m
7) Two for the Money - 4.6m - 47% - 16.5m
8) A History of Violence - 3.6m - 29% - 22.4m
9) The Corpse Bride - 3.5m - 46.9% - 47.7m
10) The Gospel - 3.2m - 57.5% - 12.2m

[NightStalkerGtx]

well i saw waiting thursday and i really enjoyed it 8/10 and im glad it only had a 51 drop (sure its half but it allready made profit and i expected a bigger drop and it will prob a 48 drop since last weekend they have under estimate on it and prob did the same this weekend)

[Moviefan02000]

Originally posted by MadsenOMC
Well go ahead and be wrong then. Why in the fuck would you trust TV spots? Stubborn are we? Not that it matters, since you are wrong.

:rolleyes: :rolleyes: :rolleyes: :rolleyes: :rolleyes: :rolleyes: :rolleyes: :rolleyes: :rolleyes:

Really good for IN HER SHOES, disappointing for WAITING.... It has had some good buzz and it didn't have a very good hold.

[MadsenOMC]

Did Waiting really have good buzz? I don't think I know anyone who saw it. Hard to know what the buzz is sometimes. In Her Shoes is a good flick and I too am glad it held up fairly well.

[Moviefan02000]

Everyone I know loved WAITING.... Whether it be from the net or my friends. General audiences really enjoy it.

[MadsenOMC]

But I think the same can be said for Serenity. Certain movies have a really hard time expanding beyond their target audience. In both cases, moviegoers outside of the target audience just didn't care, regardless of what people who saw them said.

[NightStalkerGtx]

^ true, but waiting was smart and went with a 3 million dollar budget, not with a 39 million dollar budget cough serenity cough

[MadsenOMC]

Oh I know Waiting was cheap and therefore has already guaranteed itself a profit. I just meant that for whatever reason, despite being liked by most people who saw them, both movies never appealed to a wide audience.

[NightStalkerGtx]

i know^ i just wanted to piont out that at least waiting made profit is all i agree that they didnt appeal to wide audiences, but im just gald waiting has profit.

[MadsenOMC]

Weekend Actuals:

1) THE FOG - $11.75 million
2) WALLACE & GROMIT MOVIE - $11.5 million (-28.1%)
3) ELIZABETHTOWN - $10.6 million
4) FLIGHTPLAN - $6.4 million (-39.7%)
5) IN HER SHOES - $6.1 million (-39%)
6) TWO FOR THE MONEY - $4.68 million (-46.2%)
7) DOMINO - $4.67 million
8) HISTORY OF VIOLENCE - $3.6 million (-28.9%)
9) CORPSE BRIDE - $3.5 million (-45.1%)
10) THE GOSPEL - $3.1 million

[Lazy Boy]

Damn, that was a close race between Fog and Wallace and Gromit (which had a very good hold, yay)