I'm picking the Bears to come out of the NFC. Cutler carried the Broncos last year. The reason the team lost their hold on the AFC West was due to the one dimensionality of the team. Everyone knew that Denver had no defense and couldn't run the ball, so they just guarded heavily against the pass.
Chicago nearly made the playoffs this year with Kyle Orton behind center and you're still not sure that Cutler can suceed in their system? Matt Forte was incredible last year and the defense is always impecable. I think the NFC North this year is going to look like the NFC East last year. The Packers, Vikes, and Bears are all solid contenders this year and could lead to be the most competitive division in the league.