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Old 11-02-2012, 07:58 PM
The national polls are starting to reflect the state polls now, Obama's starting to take the lead.

As Nate Silver puts it on his site, the argument for Obama is simple: he's leading in Ohio with a margin that all but guarantees a victory (his lead in polls is about 2 points, and usually anyone with a lead that big in OH ends up winning the state). Going by the polls the question now might be by how much will Romney lose.