Originally Posted by Tkeyjw
I agree with almost all of your picks, except I think Les Miserables will win Best Picture (Comedy/Musical). The Golden Globes have always been much more friendly to musicals than the Academy, even when there were actual alternatives in the comedy category to choose from. For instance, Sweeney Todd beat out Juno in 2007, and Dreamgirls beat out Little Miss Sunshine the year before that. I mean, they even nominated the much maligned movie adaptations of The Phantom of the Opera and The Producers.
And going back even farther than that, they picked Evita over Fargo.
Again, to the people upset with the DiCaprio snub, I do think the Waltz category business hurt him. Harvey said last year he would get DiCaprio the nomination, but he screwed him over. Missing SAG also hurt him a lot.
It's apparent to me now that Harvey's real pony in this race was always Silver Linings Playbook. He's going to do whatever it takes to get Best Picture.