#2321  
Old 01-29-2010, 09:07 AM
Avatar $29
Edge of Darkness $23
When In Rome $15
Book of Eli $9
Legion $8
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  #2322  
Old 01-29-2010, 09:37 AM
I really hope Edge of Darkness is the top contender this weekend, not because I don't agree with Avatar's constant success, but because Edge of Darkness looks good as hell.
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  #2323  
Old 01-31-2010, 02:31 PM
Predictions for the Weekend of February 5th-7th

1. Avatar- $25 million
2. Dear John- $17 million
3. From Paris with Love- $15 million
4. Edge of Darkness- $11 million
5. The Tooth Fairy- $7.25 million
6. When in Rome- $7 million
7. The Book of Eli- $5.25 million
8. Crazy Heart- $4 million
9. Sherlock Holmes- $3.25 million
10. Legion- $3 million

Avatar should take the top spot again. Dear John looks like it might do well (though I'm not sure how well). From Paris with Love is a tricky one. I'd say low-mid teens. Edge of Darkness should have a decent hold. Crazy Heart is expanding to 500+ theatres, and has been doing well in limited release, so look for it to hit the top 10 next weekend.
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  #2324  
Old 01-31-2010, 02:51 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Bourne101 View Post
Predictions for the Weekend of February 5th-7th

1. Avatar- $25 million


Avatar should take the top spot again. Dear John looks like it might do well (though I'm not sure how well). From Paris with Love is a tricky one. I'd say low-mid teens. Edge of Darkness should have a decent hold. Crazy Heart is expanding to 500+ theatres, and has been doing well in limited release, so look for it to hit the top 10 next weekend.
I know it is almost impossible to predict what Avatar will end up at.....but what is your estimate? I had said a long time ago $645, but it looks like it will blow past that. I have seen $700 or more.

I have not done the math yet. I know you usually do, so what do you think?
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  #2325  
Old 01-31-2010, 03:00 PM
I just did a rough estimation based on its current box-office patterns, and the total ended up being $810 million.
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  #2326  
Old 02-04-2010, 09:15 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Bourne101 View Post
I just did a rough estimation based on its current box-office patterns, and the total ended up being $810 million.
Jesus on a bicycle. After the first few weekends I had a feeling that Avatar would SCRAPE past $2 billion worldwide, but it just coasted past that landmark. Who knows how much more steam it has in it, but it still has more to go. Just mind-boggling, really.
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  #2327  
Old 02-05-2010, 06:32 PM
Avatar is barely dropping at all this weekend, I bet. Oscar nominations are going to help it out even more.

I'm thinking...

1. Avatar - $29 million
2. Dear John - $18 million
3. From Paris with Love - $14 million
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  #2328  
Old 02-11-2010, 11:55 AM
Box Office Mojo has this weekend at:
1. Valentine's Day 35.6
2. The Wolfman 26.6
3. Percy Jackson 24.5
4. Avatar 19.0
5. Dear John 17.6


I guess these numbers seem ok. I know after dealing with all this fucking snow, I want to see a movie or two. I believe others feel the same way.

I have no interest in The Wolfman and I don't see any true buzz either. I think Percy will do better as the kiddies have not had much to watch recently.

1. Percy Jackson $40 plus
2. Valentine's Day $38 about 1 mil for every star in this thing
3. The Wolfman $35
4. Avatar $18
5. Dear John $17.5
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  #2329  
Old 02-11-2010, 03:58 PM
Predictions for the 3-Day Weekend of February 12th-14th

1. Valentine's Day- $40 million
2. The Wolfman- $26 million
3. Percy Jackson & the Olympians: The Lightning Thief- $21 million
4. Avatar- $18 million
5. Dear John- $16 million
6. From Paris with Love- $4 million
7. Edge of Darkness- $3.75 million
8. Tooth Fairy- $3.5 million
9. Crazy Heart- $3.25 million
10. When in Rome- $3 million

Predictions for the 4-Day Weekend of February 12th-15th

1. Valentine's Day- $50 million
2. The Wolfman- $32.5 million
3. Percy Jackson & the Olympians: The Lightning Thief- $26 million
4. Avatar- $22 million
5. Dear John- $19 million
6. From Paris with Love- $5 million
7. Edge of Darkness- $4.75 million
8. Tooth Fairy- $4.25 million
9. Crazy Heart- $4 million
10. When in Rome- $3.5 million

I am a little late on the predictions this week. Been a little busy. Valentine's Day is taking the crown for sure. The Wolfman should take the #2 spot. Percy Jackson should do pretty well. Avatar should continue its insane run. Dear John has some big competition in Valentine's Day, but shouldn't suffer much more than a 50% drop over the 3-Day weekend.
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  #2330  
Old 02-14-2010, 12:54 PM
Predictions for the Weekend of February 19th-21st

1. Shutter Island- $30 million
2. Avatar- $18 million
3. Valentine's Day- $18 million
4. Percy Jackson & The Olympians: The Lightning Thief- $17 million
5. The Wolfman- $13 million
6. Dear John- $9 million
7. Tooth Fairy- $4.5 million
8. Crazy Heart- $3.75 million
9. Edge of Darkness- $3 million
10. From Paris with Love- $2.75 million

Shutter Island has the #1 spot locked up. Avatar may take the #2 spot back. Percy Jackson should fall in the 40-50% range. Valentine's Day is going to crash and burn after this weekend. It's Friday the 13th all over again. The Wolfman is going to have a pretty hard drop, considering Shutter Island is opening.

Last edited by Bourne101; 02-21-2010 at 03:47 PM..
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  #2331  
Old 02-16-2010, 03:26 PM
Those are some pretty big drops for the 3 new ones from last week.

I have to think given the strong Monday that Valentine's Day will pull in at least $20. Percy and Wolfman seem a bitright, but I would like to add 1-2 for each.

Very hard to predict Shutter Island. Leo is kinda hit or miss. He does not have big openings. $30 might be a bit high. I am going with $25.
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  #2332  
Old 02-16-2010, 08:18 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Bourne101 View Post
Shutter Island has the #1 spot locked up.
I hope so. I also hope it opens BIG. Some people are expecting it to make the type of money The Departed made but that had Jack Nicholsan and Matt Damon (who are both huge stars).

I am rooting for Shutter Island to kick ass at the box office thats for sure.
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  #2333  
Old 02-21-2010, 04:01 PM
Predictions for the Weekend of February 26th-28th

1. Shutter Island- $22 million
2. Cop Out- $16 million
3. Avatar- $12.5 million
4. The Crazies- $10 million
5. Percy Jackson & The Olympians: The Lightning Thief- $9.25 million
6. Valentine's Day- $8 million
7. The Wolfman- $5 million
8. Dear John- $3.75 million
9. Crazy Heart- $2.5 million
10. Tooth Fairy- $3.25 million

Shutter Island should take the top spot again, pending Cop Out breaks out (which is entirely possible, though I don't think so). Cop Out should take the #2 spot and be Smith's biggest opening ever. Somewhere in the teens sounds about right. Avatar will probably be #3, with another small drop. The Crazies might do better than I expect, but I just can't see it. There hasn't been a big enough push marketing wise, and those looking for something in the horror/thriller genre will probably pick Shutter Island.
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  #2334  
Old 02-21-2010, 04:23 PM
Ah, I should participate more often!

Here's my predictions:

1. The Crazies - $28
2. Shutter Island - $20
3. Cop Out - $15
4. Avatar - $10
5. Valentine's Day - $6-7
6. Percy Jackson - $5-6
7. The Wolfman - $5
8. Dear John - $3

Yeah, I'm with you on Cop Out Bourne. We may be underestimating, but I haven't heard from many people I know if they'll see Cop Out. However, we haven't seen a R-rated comedy in awhile so maybe after Shutter Island audiences will want to attend a laugh. I can either see The Crazies doing really well and taking the weekend or not doing well at all. Like you said, audiences may still be satisfied from Shutter Island. BUT, I have overheard some casual moviegoers saying they wanted to see it. It might do Dawn of the Dead business or it might just pass under the B.O. radar.
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  #2335  
Old 02-24-2010, 01:49 PM
No way is Crazies only making 10 mil for the weekend, it will probably make that in it's first day.

I'm also thinking Dawn 04 numbers, should attract the same audience that one did.

Not sure about Cop Out, looks mediocre but that doesn't mean it can't do well, there's a chance it can come in first.

The Crazies-26.5 mil
Shutter-23 mil
Cop Out- 20 mil
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  #2336  
Old 02-24-2010, 02:04 PM
No way The Crazies is going that high. There's a chance for mid teens and an outside chance at high teens, but no way it makes high 20s.
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  #2337  
Old 02-24-2010, 05:27 PM
We'll see. I know Quarantine snagged about 15 mil opening weekend, but they have been pumping Crazies like mad and i think it has a broader appeal than QT.

Someone i know that normally doesn't go for this stuff unless bribed is excited about it, that tells me 25 mil plus. They've done an excellent job with the marketing.
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  #2338  
Old 02-24-2010, 11:41 PM
I am mostly wrong or at least I was recently, but what the hell.

I am betting after yet another fucking snowstorm that will keep many in the northeast at home on thursday into friday morning or afternoon, sat and sun will be huge.

Cop Out $24-25
Shutter $23-$24 color me surprised it opened so well. maybe smith will have decent opening too
The Crazies (AKA the last movie ever) $15
Avatar $13
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  #2339  
Old 02-25-2010, 06:56 PM
The Crazies - $28 mil
Shutter Island - $18 mil
Cop Out - $16 mil
Avatar - $13 mil

"The Crazies" will be the big surprise hit this weekend - I've been calling it a sleeper for a while now. Rotten Tomatoes just put up their Tomatometer for it, and it's garnering an incredible 88% Fresh rating from the critics right now, which puts it past just about every other straight horror film that's come out recently (and even puts it well ahead of the "Dawn of the Dead" remake). It's got great buzz behind it, and they've been giving it a strong marketing push in recent weeks, even giving it an ad in the Super Bowl. It'll do VERY well.

"Cop Out" on the other hand will be a disaster - which is a shame, because I love Kevin Smith's work.
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  #2340  
Old 02-25-2010, 07:02 PM
I would be very surprised if The Crazies topped Shutter Island this weekend.
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  #2341  
Old 02-25-2010, 09:51 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Bourne101 View Post
I would be very surprised if The Crazies topped Shutter Island this weekend.
I expect Shutter Island to keep first this weekend. It just has the word of mouth.


oh and also a quick question, was Cop Out called by industry insiders "one of the worst scripts ever written" or something like that?

Last edited by ericdraven; 02-25-2010 at 09:54 PM..
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  #2342  
Old 02-25-2010, 10:34 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by ericdraven View Post
oh and also a quick question, was Cop Out called by industry insiders "one of the worst scripts ever written" or something like that?
Not sure exactly what you're referring to, but ironically I believe it was voted best unproduced script of 2009 by some group.
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  #2343  
Old 02-25-2010, 11:18 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Bourne101 View Post
Not sure exactly what you're referring to, but ironically I believe it was voted best unproduced script of 2009 by some group.
Actually that was what I was wondering I heard ssomeone called it something and couldn't figure it out. Thanks for clearing it up.
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  #2344  
Old 03-02-2010, 02:24 PM
Predictions for the Weekend of March 5th-7th

1. Alice in Wonderland- $85 million
2. Shutter Island- $13.75 million
3. Cop Out- $8.5 million
4. Brooklyn's Finest- $8 million
5. The Crazies- $7.75 million
6. Avatar- $7.5 million
7. Percy Jackson and the Olympians: The Lightning Thief- $5 million
8. Valentine's Day- $4.5 million
9. Dear John- $2.75 million
10. Crazy Heart- $2.25 million

Last edited by Bourne101; 03-05-2010 at 08:35 PM..
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  #2345  
Old 03-02-2010, 04:46 PM
I thought The Ghost Writer opens wide this weekend? Am I wrong?
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  #2346  
Old 03-02-2010, 05:20 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by ilovemovies View Post
I thought The Ghost Writer opens wide this weekend? Am I wrong?
There is no indication that it is according to BOM.
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  #2347  
Old 03-10-2010, 10:29 PM
Predictions for the Weekend of March 12th-14th

1. Alice in Wonderland- $45 million
2. Green Zone- $22 million
3. She's Out of My League- $12 million
4. Shutter Island- $8 million
5. Remember Me- $7.5 million
6. Our Family Wedding- $7.25 million
7. Brooklyn's Finest- $7 million
8. Avatar- $5.75 million
9. Cop Out- $4.75 million
10. The Crazies- $3.5 million

Last edited by Bourne101; 03-10-2010 at 10:33 PM..
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  #2348  
Old 03-18-2010, 03:24 PM
Predictions for the Weekend of March 19th-12st

1. Alice in Wonderland- $40 million
2. The Bounty Hunter- $22 million
3. Diary of a Wimpy Kid- $16 million
4. Repo Men- $11 million
5. Green Zone- $7.5 million
6. She's Out of My League- $6 million
7. Shutter Island- $5.5 million
8. Avatar- $5 million
9. Our Family Wedding- $4.5 million
10. Remember Me- $4.25 million
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  #2349  
Old 03-23-2010, 01:00 PM
Predictions for the Weekend of March 26th-28th

1. How to Train Your Dragon- $50 million
2. Hot Tub Time Machine- $20 million
3. Alice in Wonderland- $17 million
4. Diary of a Wimpy Kid- $13 million
5. The Bounty Hunter- $11 million
6. She's Out of My League- $3.5 million
7. Shutter Island- $3.25 million
8. Repo Men- $3 million
9. Green Zone- $2.75 million
10. Avatar- $2 million

Last edited by Bourne101; 03-25-2010 at 08:15 PM..
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  #2350  
Old 03-30-2010, 01:48 PM
Predictions for the Weekend of April 2nd-4th

1. Clash of the Titans- $75 million
2. How to Train Your Dragon- $30 million
3. Tyler Perry's Why Did I Get Married Too?- $23 million
4. The Last Song- $15 million
5. Alice in Wonderland- $10 million
6. Hot Tub Time Machine- $8.75 million
7. The Bounty Hunter- $7.25 million
8. Diary of a Wimpy Kid- $6 million
9. She's Out of My League- $2.5 million
10. Shutter Island- $2.25 million
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  #2351  
Old 04-04-2010, 02:49 PM
Predictions for the Weekend of April 9th-11th

1. Date Night- $32 million
2. Clash of the Titans- $22 million
3. How to Train Your Dragon- $20 million
4. Tyler Perry's Why Did I Get Married Too?- $13.5 million
5. The Last Song- $8 million
6. Alice in Wonderland- $4.5 million
7. Hot Tube Time Machine- $5.25 million
8. The Bounty Hunter- $3.25 million
9. Diary of a Wimpy Kid- $3 million
10. Shutter Island- $1 million

Date Night should take the top spot. Clash of the Titans should fall pretty hard. How to Train Your Dragon should have another strong hold. Tyler Perry's latest shtick should do the usual Tyler Perry 50%+ drop. The Last Song should drop around 50%.
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  #2352  
Old 04-09-2010, 01:49 AM
I hope Date Night does not make more than $20 million. It just looks so bad to me.
Will be a hit at over $40 mil or a bust at $19.
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  #2353  
Old 04-09-2010, 09:35 AM
I think Date Night is going to be HUGE. You have two of the most popular TV stars/comedians together for the first time. And this movie will probably appeal to a huge variety of audiences. Everyone from teens to older people to couples.

Last edited by ilovemovies; 04-09-2010 at 10:08 AM..
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  #2354  
Old 04-09-2010, 09:51 AM
Yeah, I expect it to open around $30 million. Popular cast, PG-13 rating, and it's at 70% on RT. Should be a hit.
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  #2355  
Old 04-16-2010, 08:53 AM
Kick Ass- 70 mil
Dragon- 20 mil
Funeral- 18
Clash-17
Date Night-14.5
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  #2356  
Old 04-16-2010, 10:09 AM
Death $40 I really hope Chris Rock has a winner here. He is a funny man.
Kick Ass $30
Dragon $19
Clash $15
Date $12 Crash and burn bitch! No, I am not a tea party person. lol I just hate Tina Fey and think she is totally over rated. baby momma sucked moose asshole.
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  #2357  
Old 04-18-2010, 01:07 AM
Looks like a i may have overshot Kick Ass a bit
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  #2358  
Old 04-18-2010, 01:51 PM
Really wished that KA had performed better

1How to Train Your Dragon $20,000,000
2 Kick-Ass $19,750,000
3 Date Night $17,300,000
4 Death at a Funeral $17,000,000 -
5 Clash of the Titans $15,770,000
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  #2359  
Old 04-18-2010, 07:05 PM
Predictions for the Weekend of April 23rd-25th

1. How to Train Your Dragon- $16 million
2. Kick-Ass- $13.75 million
3. The Losers- $13 million
4. The Back-Up Plan- $12 million
5. Date Night- $11.75 million
6. Clash of the Titans- $9.5 million
7. Death at a Funeral- $8.5 million
8. Oceans- $7 million
9. The Last Song- $3.25 million
10. Tyler Perry's Why Did I Get Married Too?- $2 million

The Losers or The Back-Up Plan could break out and have a high teens or low twenties opening, but I'm just not seeing it right now. I think Dragon could take the top spot again. I think Kick-Ass will have a very strong hold.
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  #2360  
Old 04-25-2010, 01:03 PM
Predictions for the Weekend of April 30th-May 2nd

1. A Nightmare on Elm Street- $35 million
2. How to Train Your Dragon- $11.5 million
3. Date Night- $7 million
4. The Back-Up Plan- $6.25 million
5. Furry Vengeance- $6 million
6. Kick-Ass- $5.75 million
7. Clash of the Titans- $5.5 million
8. The Losers- $4.5 million
9. Death at a Funeral- $4.25 million
10. Oceans- $3.5 million
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