#2361  
Old 05-02-2010, 01:17 PM
Predictions for the Weekend of May 7th-9th

1. Iron Man 2- $155 million
2. A Nightmare on Elm Street- $9.5 million
3. How to Train Your Dragon- $7.5 million
4. Date Night- $5.5 million
5. The Back-Up Plan- $4.25 million
6. Furry Vengeance- $3.25 million
7. The Losers- $3 million
8. Clash of the Titans- $2.75 million
9. Kick-Ass- $2.5 million
10. Death at a Funeral- $2 million

Iron Man is gonna be huge. Will it beat The Dark Knight's opening weekend? It'll be close, but I think it will be short by a few million. Nightmare will plummet.
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  #2362  
Old 05-02-2010, 08:03 PM
Summer arrives and things get interesting.

For now I'm thinking...

1) Iron Man 2 - $162 million
2) How to Train Your Dragon - $8.5 million
3) Nightmare on Elm Street - $8 million
4) Date Night - $5.5 million
5) The Back-Up Plan - $5 million
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  #2363  
Old 05-09-2010, 01:51 PM
Predictions for the Weekend of May 14th-16th

1. Iron Man 2- $60 million
2. Robin Hood- $40 million
3. Letters to Juliet- $15 million
4. Just Wright- $5 million
5. How to Train Your Dragon- $4.75 million
6. A Nightmare on Elm Street- $4.5 million
7. Date Night- $3.75 million
8. The Back-Up Plan- $2.5 million
9. Furry Vengeance- $2.25 million
10. Clash of the Titans- $1 million

Iron Man 2 should take the top spot again with around a 55% drop, give or take 5%. Robin Hood will take the #2 slot with around $40 million. Letters to Juliet should do OK as counterprogramming. Just Wright will tank.
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  #2364  
Old 05-16-2010, 07:55 PM
Predictions for the Weekend of May 21st-23rd

1. Shrek Forever After- $110 million
2. Iron Man 2- $26 million
3. Robin Hood- $18 million
4. MacGruber- $15 million
5. Letters to Juliet- $8.5 million
6. Just Wright- $4.25 million
7. How to Train Your Dragon- $3.25 million
8. Date Night- $3 million
9. A Nightmare on Elm Street- $2.5 million
10. The Back-Up Plan- $1.25 million
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  #2365  
Old 05-17-2010, 05:42 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Bourne101 View Post
Predictions for the Weekend of May 21st-23rd

1. Shrek Forever After- $110 million
What the fuck?! I fucking HOPE not! That would make it the biggest opening for an animated film ever! No way does Shrek 4 deserve that distinction!
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  #2366  
Old 05-17-2010, 12:28 PM
I won't go into too much detail but I'm gonna predict Shrek will make about 98 million OW and give MacGruber a generous 21 million opening.

I could be wrong.

I have been wrong before..
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  #2367  
Old 05-17-2010, 02:07 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Monotreme View Post
What the fuck?! I fucking HOPE not! That would make it the biggest opening for an animated film ever! No way does Shrek 4 deserve that distinction!
No it wouldn't... Shrek the Third made $121 million in its opening weekend.

And this one's in 3D, which is only going to jack up ticket sales more.

$110 million sounds about right to me... it could easily be more!
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  #2368  
Old 05-17-2010, 05:21 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by gyro_44 View Post
No it wouldn't... Shrek the Third made $121 million in its opening weekend.
It DID?!?!?!. Jesus. That's... awful. I had completely forgotten it was that successful. Damnit, things aren't looking good... if this ends up making more than Toy Story 3, I will kill somebody.
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  #2369  
Old 05-17-2010, 06:21 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Monotreme View Post
Damnit, things aren't looking good... if this ends up making more than Toy Story 3, I will kill somebody.
I wouldn't worry. It will most likely be front-loaded like the last entry and Toy Story 3 will have huge legs.
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  #2370  
Old 05-28-2010, 10:52 AM
Box Office Mojo's Predictions including monday

1. Sex and the City 2 57.4
2. Prince of Persia 53.8
3. Shrek 4 42.6
4. Iron Man 2 18.5
5. Robin Hood 13.0

These numbers seem very low to me.

1. The orginal Sex did $57. Maybe they should have done this one in 3d and we ......well you can figure out your own punch line.

2. I know the Prince of Persia is not exactly a house hold name type of flick, but it is Jerry "Almost God" Bruckheimer and I for one will check it out if it has his name attached to it and $53.8 seems really low to me. Do they figure all the Jake lovers are also Sex and the City lovers and will go for Sex over Persia?

3. Shrek 4 is the only 3D movie out in force right now and they are predicting a 40% drop with a holiday weekend and an extra day???

4 and 5 I can live with those numbers. They might be too high. Esp Robin Hood

My guesses.

1 Prince of Persia I can't see less than $67
2 Sex and the City I can't see this movie taking the top spot again $62
3 Shrek 4 I can't see this movie drop so much with Mon too $57


Ave Memorial Weekend has been steady at over $225 the past 5 or 6 years and that was without a major 3D movie out. I have to believe this weekend will push for $230 or higher.
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  #2371  
Old 05-28-2010, 12:43 PM
Box Office Predictions including monday

1. Sex and the City 2 61.4
2. Prince of Persia 51.8
3. Shrek 4 46.6
4. Iron Man 2 17.5
5. Robin Hood 11.0
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  #2372  
Old 05-28-2010, 12:49 PM
Predictions for the 3-Day Weekend of May 29-30

1. Sex and the City- $50 million
2. Shrek Forever After- $43 million
3. Prince of Persia: The Sands of Time- $42 million
4. Iron Man 2- $16 million
5. Robin Hood- $11.5 million
6. Letters to Juliet- $6.75 million
7. Just Wright- $2.25 million
8. Date Night- $2.25 million
9. MacGruber- $2 million
10. A Nightmare on Elm Street- $1.25 million

Predictions for the 4-Day Memorial Day Weekend of May 28-31

1. Sex and the City 2- $61 million
2. Shrek Forever After- $52 million
3. Prince of Persia: The Sands of Time- $50 million
4. Iron Man 2- $20 million
5. Robin Hood- $14 million
6. Letters to Juliet- $9 million
7. Just Wright- $3 million
8. Date Night- $2.75 million
9. MacGruber- $2.5 million
10. A Nightmare on Elm Street- $1.75 million

Prediction for Sex and the City 2 5-Day Weekend

Sex and the City- $75 million
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  #2373  
Old 05-28-2010, 02:05 PM
I just stop by here once in a while. Bourne is the expert.
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  #2374  
Old 05-28-2010, 06:22 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Bourne101 View Post
Sex and the City- $75 million
Why
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  #2375  
Old 05-28-2010, 06:29 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Monotreme View Post
Why
God only knows. It sure as hell doesn't deserve it. I listened to Mark Kermode's rant on it this morning (one of his best in a while, check it out) and it sounds like one of the most vile and disgusting pieces of shit to hit cinemas in a while. Really made me wonder how these films do so well.
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  #2376  
Old 05-28-2010, 06:40 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Bourne101 View Post
God only knows. It sure as hell doesn't deserve it. I listened to Mark Kermode's rant on it this morning (one of his best in a while, check it out) and it sounds like one of the most vile and disgusting pieces of shit to hit cinemas in a while. Really made me wonder how these films do so well.
It looks absolutely terrible based on the trailer alone. And it's a shame, because the TV show was actually not bad. But the movies seem to have become everything that was bad and wrong about it to begin with. It seems. I haven't seen them, obviously, and never will.
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  #2377  
Old 05-30-2010, 01:03 PM
Predictions for the Weekend of June 4-6

1. Shrek Forever After- $28 million
2. Get Him to the Greek- $18 million
3. Prince of Persia: The Sands of Time- $16 million
4. Killers- $15 million
5. Marmaduke- $12 million
6. Sex and the City 2- $11 million
7. Iron Man 2- $10.5 million
8. Splice- $10 million
9. Robin Hood- $6.5 million
10. Letters to Juliet- $4 million

Last edited by Bourne101; 06-03-2010 at 06:28 PM..
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  #2378  
Old 05-31-2010, 02:30 PM
Prediction:

Jerry Bruckheimer will never release a big bucks action movie again that is NOT 3D. Double negative is OK since everyone in Hollywood will blame the lack of a 3D print for the poor showing and losing to Shrek 4 this past weekend.

Look for Pirates 4 to be in 3D. I can already feel Jack Sparrows beard in my face.

Oh yeah, Shrek 4 will not go below $30 next weekend as the only wide release 3D movie in town.
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  #2379  
Old 05-31-2010, 07:17 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Erroneous View Post
Look for Pirates 4 to be in 3D. I can already feel Jack Sparrows beard in my face.
I think it was already announced that this movie was going to be shot in 3D, a couple of months ago

Quote:
Originally Posted by Erroneous View Post
Oh yeah, Shrek 4 will not go below $30 next weekend as the only wide release 3D movie in town.
Yeah... when is Toy Story 3 coming out again? I need a movie to look forward to for the near future, damnit!
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  #2380  
Old 05-31-2010, 08:49 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Monotreme View Post
I think it was already announced that this movie was going to be shot in 3D, a couple of months ago



Yeah... when is Toy Story 3 coming out again? I need a movie to look forward to for the near future, damnit!

I won't see it in 3D unless it is worth it. I am not on the site so much these days. Thanks for the info
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  #2381  
Old 06-06-2010, 04:25 PM
Predictions for the Weekend of June 11-13

1. The A-Team- $42 million
2. The Karate Kid- $35 million
3. Shrek Forever After- $15 million
4. Get Him to the Greek- $11 million
5. Killers- $7.5 million
6. Prince of Persia: The Sands of Time- $7 million
7. Sex and the City 2- $6 million
8. Marmaduke- $6.25 million
9. Iron Man 2- $4 million
10. Splice- $3.25 million

The A-Team should take the weekend, with The Karate Kid close behind. Shrek should have another good hold. Get Him to the Greek should have a similar drop to FSM. Killers should drop around 50%, as should PoP and SATC2.
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  #2382  
Old 06-06-2010, 09:14 PM
Predictions for the Weekend of June 11-13

1. The Karate Kid- $39 million
2. The A-Team- $38 million
3. Shrek Forever After- $12 million
4. Get Him to the Greek- $9 million
5. Prince of Persia: The Sands of Time- $7 million
6. Sex and the City 2- $6 million
7. Killers- $ 5.5 million
8. Marmaduke- $5 million
9t. Iron Man 2- $3 million
9t. Splice- $3 million
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  #2383  
Old 06-15-2010, 07:37 PM
Predictions for the Weekend of June 18-20

Toy Story 3- $120 million
The Karate Kid- $30 million
Jonah Hex- $15 million
The A-Team- $13.5 million
Shrek Forever After- $8 million
Get Him to the Greek- $6.5 million
Killers- $4.25 million
Prince of Persia: The Sands of Time- $3.5 million
Marmaduke- $3.25 million
Sex and the City 2- $2.75 million

Toy Story is obviously taking the top spot. Some are anticipating low-100s, some are anticipating a near record-breaker. I'm somewhere in the middle. The Karate Kid should have a solid hold. Jonah Hex is likely to bomb, and I'm being nice with my $15 million prediction.

Last edited by Bourne101; 06-15-2010 at 07:39 PM..
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  #2384  
Old 06-20-2010, 04:20 PM
Predictions for the Weekend of June 25-27

1. Toy Story 3- $70 million
2. Grown Ups- $35 million
3. Knight and Day- $25 million
4. The Karate Kid- $17 million
5. The A-Team- $7.75 million
6. Get Him to the Greek- $4.25 million
7. Prince of Persia: The Sands of Time- $4 million
8. Killers- $3.25 million
9. Shrek Forever After- $2.75 million
10. Jonah Hex- $2.25 million

Toy Story 3 will easily take the top spot again. Grown Ups should do the usual Sandler opening. Word on the street is that Knight and Day is gonna flop big time. I still think there's a chance it could do well, but for now I'm going with the safe "meh" opening of $25 million. It's also opening on Wednesday, so that'd be about $35 million for the 5-day.
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  #2385  
Old 06-27-2010, 12:38 PM
Predictions for the Weekend of July 2-4

1. The Twilight Saga: Eclipse- $75 million
2. The Last Airbender- $40 million
3. Toy Story 3- $38 million
4. Grown Ups- $18 million
5. Knight and Day- $11 million
6. The Karate Kid- $9 million
7. The A-Team- $3 million
8. Get Him to the Greek- $2 million
9. Shrek Forever After- $1.5 million
10. Prince of Persia: The Sands of Time- $1.25 million

The Twilight Saga Eclipse 5-day prediction (Wednesday opening)- $160 million
The Last Airbender 4-day prediction (Thursday opening)- $50 million
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  #2386  
Old 06-27-2010, 02:55 PM
This next weekend will be interesting. I believe the two new movies have completely different target markets.
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  #2387  
Old 07-04-2010, 03:29 PM
Predictions for the Weekend of July 9-11

1. Despicable Me- $40 million
2. The Twilight Saga: Eclipse- $28 million
3. Predators- $25 million
4. The Last Airbender- $18 million
5. Toy Story 3- $17 million
6. Grown Ups- $10 million
7. Knight and Day- $6 million
8. The Karate Kid- $5.5 million
9. The A-Team- $2 million
10. Cyrus- $1 million

I will be back with updates for Despicable Me and Predators later in the week once I get a feel for the buzz, as well as Cyrus once I find out its theatre count.

Last edited by Bourne101; 07-09-2010 at 12:24 PM..
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  #2388  
Old 07-11-2010, 07:48 PM
Predictions for the Weekend of July 16-18

1. Inception- $80 million
2. Despicable Me- $40 million
3. The Sorcerer's Apprentice- $20 million
4. Toy Story 3- $16.5 million
5. The Twilight Saga: Eclipse- $16 million
6. Predators- $12.5 million
7. Grown Ups- $11 million
8. The Last Airbender- $8.5 million
9. Knight and Day- $5 million
10. The Karate Kid- $4 million
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  #2389  
Old 07-12-2010, 12:09 AM
I REALLY want Inception to do amazing! I mean, more so than anyone can anticipate. It might be asking too much, but I REALLY want Inception to Dark Knight type numbers.
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  #2390  
Old 07-12-2010, 11:03 AM
I really wanted Eclipse to fall flat this week.

Why is the movie still popular?
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  #2391  
Old 07-12-2010, 07:46 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Bourne101 View Post
Predictions for the Weekend of July 16-18

1. Inception- $80 million
I've read some tracking numbers at a little bit less, around 50-60 million. It could conceivably start off like that and build throughout the summer if word of mouth is good. Possibly relative to the Batman Begins opening and eventual box office on the Chris Nolan scale of openings? The Prestige was sandwiched between Begins and The Dark Knight, and that only had a $15 million weekend.

The concept does look fascinating enough to bring more people than I'm estimating, so there's me lowballing again.
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  #2392  
Old 07-15-2010, 03:03 PM
As we get closer to Inception's opening, the more and more I think this movie is going to explode. The hype is now pretty much through the roof and the movie is the talk of the town.

I think it could do in the range Bourne is predicting. It could do more.

I guess I'd be quite surprised if it opens to less than $65 million.
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  #2393  
Old 07-15-2010, 06:08 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Lazy Boy View Post
I've read some tracking numbers at a little bit less, around 50-60 million. It could conceivably start off like that and build throughout the summer if word of mouth is good. Possibly relative to the Batman Begins opening and eventual box office on the Chris Nolan scale of openings? The Prestige was sandwiched between Begins and The Dark Knight, and that only had a $15 million weekend.

The concept does look fascinating enough to bring more people than I'm estimating, so there's me lowballing again.
Yeah, I saw the tracking on the weekend and while it may very well be right I am going with my gut on this one. I can just see this one exploding and maybe even opening to more than I have predicted. It has no competition and the buzz could not be any bigger. The reviews have also been phenomenal. I think audiences are waiting for a film to truly blow them away this summer, and this is it. There's nothing left after this.
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  #2394  
Old 07-16-2010, 12:53 AM
Inception - 100 million
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  #2395  
Old 07-18-2010, 05:17 PM
Predictions for the Weekend of July 23-25

1. Inception- $40 million
2. Salt- $32 million
3. Despicable Me- $20 million
4. The Sorcerer's Apprentice- $9 million
5. Toy Story 3- $7 million
6. The Twilight Saga: Eclipse- $6.75 million
7. Grown Ups- $6.5 million
8. Ramona & Beezus- $6 million
9. The Last Airbender- $4 million
10. Predators- $3 million

Last edited by Bourne101; 07-21-2010 at 09:44 PM..
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  #2396  
Old 07-21-2010, 09:23 PM
Going by the other action type movies this summer, I think Salt is in a lot of trouble. $25 tops. I hope Inception does well.
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  #2397  
Old 07-21-2010, 09:46 PM
Inception is going to be #1 again, it's been pulling good numbers all day this week. Salt is going to flop.
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  #2398  
Old 07-22-2010, 12:40 PM
I see you upped your Inception prediction there Bourne... good idea, given how it has been behaving this week.

My predicts:

1. Inception - $38 million
2. Salt - $35 million
3. Despicable - $18.5 million

Could be close between Salt and Inception, although the great WOM on the latter could hurt the former. But also, Salt could take away some of the second weekend audience from Inception.
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  #2399  
Old 07-22-2010, 06:17 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by gyro_44 View Post
I see you upped your Inception prediction there Bourne... good idea, given how it has been behaving this week.
Yeah, it had to be done. It is performing outrageously this week. As for Salt, I think $30+ million is pretty much guaranteed, but I'm leaning more toward low-30s.
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  #2400  
Old 07-30-2010, 09:23 AM
Predictions for the Weekend of July 30-August 1

1. Inception- $30 million
2. Dinner for Schmucks- $22 million
3. Cats & Dogs: The Revenge of Kitty Galore- $20 million
4. Salt- $18 million
5. Despicable Me- $16 million
6. Charlie St. Cloud- $15 million
7. Toy Story 3- $6.5 million
8. The Sorcerer's Apprentice- $6 million
9. Grown Ups- $5 million
10. Ramona and Beezus- $4.5 million
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