#2481  
Old 05-13-2012, 01:01 PM
May 18th-20th

1. The Avengers- $57 million
2. Battleship- $40 million
3. The Dictator- $20 million
4. What to Expect When You're Expecting- $18 million
5. Dark Shadows- $13 million
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  #2482  
Old 05-21-2012, 11:31 AM
May 25th-27th

1. Men in Black III- $50 million
2. The Avengers- $33 million
3. Battleship- $13 million
4. Chernobyl Diaries- $10 million
5. The Dictator- $8 million

May 25th-28th (long weekend)

1. Men in Black III- $63 million
2. The Avengers- $42 million
3. Battleship- $17 million
4. Chernobyl Diaries- $13 million
5. The Dictator- $10 million

Last edited by Bourne101; 05-21-2012 at 11:35 AM..
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  #2483  
Old 05-21-2012, 11:51 AM
After the relative "bombs" of Dark Shadows and Battleship, I can't help but feel that moviegoers are hungry for something new. Couple that with Will Smith's recent absence, and I could see MIB3 touching the $80 million mark for the 4-day weekend.

Otherwise your #s look quality.
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  #2484  
Old 05-21-2012, 12:33 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by SpikeDurden View Post
After the relative "bombs" of Dark Shadows and Battleship, I can't help but feel that moviegoers are hungry for something new. Couple that with Will Smith's recent absence, and I could see MIB3 touching the $80 million mark for the 4-day weekend.

Otherwise your #s look quality.
MIB is a really tough one to predict. Before I hit "submit reply" I actually had it at 60/75, but then changed it at the last second. I guess my rationale is that the previous two entries opened to $51 million and $52 million respectively and the last entry came out a decade ago. On the other side of the coin, you have, as you said, the return of one of the biggest money making machines in Hollywood and a weekend that is due for a big opening. It's also getting (shockingly) decent reviews so far. I wouldn't be surprised if it hit 75-80.
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  #2485  
Old 05-21-2012, 12:34 PM
I'd be interested to hear other peoples ideas of the Avengers end total? Will it pass the duo of Cameron pictures?
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  #2486  
Old 05-21-2012, 12:51 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Lost in Space View Post
I'd be interested to hear other peoples ideas of the Avengers end total? Will it pass the duo of Cameron pictures?
At the pace it's going, it won't beat Avatar (its drops are too big). It'll beat Titanic though. It'll probably finish with around $650 million or so.

Last edited by Bourne101; 05-21-2012 at 12:53 PM..
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  #2487  
Old 06-03-2012, 02:40 PM
Rough Estimates of the Weekend of June 8:

1. Madagascar 3 - 75 million
2. Prometheus - 48 million
3. Snow White and the Huntsman - 25 million
4. Men in Black 3 - 15 million
5. The Avengers - 11 million
6. The Best Exotic Marigold Hotel - 3 million
7. Moonrise Kingdom - 2.5 million
8. Battleship - 1.8 million
9. The Dictator - 1.5 million
10. What to Expect When You're Expecting - 1.5 million

These are probably terrible and I'm not sure on theatre counts for Moonrise or Best Exotic. I am fairly certain that Madagascar 3 will open above Prometheus, though, and significantly. Not only is it a popular franchise, but there hasn't been a major film for children since The Lorax. They're itching.

Last edited by SpikeDurden; 06-03-2012 at 03:52 PM..
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  #2488  
Old 06-17-2012, 12:18 PM
Predictions for next week's new releases:

Brave- $55 million
Abraham Lincoln: Vampire Hunter- $16 million
Seeking a Friend for the End of the World- $6 million
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  #2489  
Old 06-17-2012, 03:20 PM
I hope Seeking a Friend does better than that. It's the only movie opening next week that kind of excites me, though I suppose Brave could end up being a pleasant surprise. After all, I wasn't thrilled with the trailers for Up and it ended up being a movie I absolutely fell in love with and is in fact my favorite Pixar movie. Maybe even my favorite animated movie period. We'll see.

Abraham Lincoln Vampire Hunter looks like a dud to me.
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  #2490  
Old 06-17-2012, 03:41 PM
I agree that Seeking a Friend looks like the best of the bunch next week, but Focus is dumping it in a measly 1400 theatres. I don't necessarily think it will be a bad movie because of that, but it's a weird release date for this kind of movie (an R-rated dramedy) and Focus is quite terrible at marketing, distributing and generating buzz for movies. I appreciate that they take smaller movies on, but when they have a potential success like this, they seem to never know what to do with it.

I think Brave is going to be one of Pixar's least financially successful films. The marketing has been all over the place and the reviews have universally stated that "it's OK, but one of Pixar's weaker efforts". I even heard one critic say that they saw Brave and That's My Boy back-to-back and actually enjoyed That's My Boy more. This isn't a critic that is easy on films either. It'll be more of an overseas success, if it is successful at all.

Last edited by Bourne101; 06-17-2012 at 03:44 PM..
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  #2491  
Old 06-21-2012, 11:11 AM
Predictions for the Weekend of June 22nd:

1. Brave - 60 million
2. Abraham Lincoln: Vampire Hunter - 22 million
3. Madagascar 3 - 20 million
4. Seeking a Friend for the End of the World - 12 million
5. Prometheus - 9.5 million
6. Rock of Ages - 8 million
7. Snow White and the Huntsman - 8 million
8. That's My Boy - 6.5 million
9. Men in Black 3 - 6 million
10. Marvel's The Avengers - 6 million


I may be overreaching a bit on Seeking a Friend, but I think it can be solid counter-programming in a good amount of theatres. Unfortunately because of the new openings Moonrise Kingdom will likely be pushed out of the top 10, although it should still see in increase from last weekend.
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  #2492  
Old 06-24-2012, 05:08 PM
Predictions for the Weekend of June 29th

1. Magic Mike- $45 million
2. Ted- $42 million
3. Brave- $40 million
4. Madea's Witness Protection- $22 million
5. Madagascar 3- $12 million

Last edited by Bourne101; 06-29-2012 at 03:50 PM..
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  #2493  
Old 06-29-2012, 01:26 PM
I honestly don't know what is going to happen this weekend. Ted and Magic Mike opened to $2.6 million and $2.1 million at midnight, respectively. Those are higher numbers than Men in Black III, which was from an established franchise.

Last edited by Bourne101; 06-29-2012 at 01:37 PM..
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  #2494  
Old 06-29-2012, 02:12 PM
I am glad you are back man posting here.

I am going to be bold and say $50 mil for Magic Mike. Women are going to go in droves.
I think Brave will take a huge tumble. $30
$42 seems about right for Ted
$35 for Madea. I dont know who sees these films, but people do.
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  #2495  
Old 06-29-2012, 03:18 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Erroneous View Post
I am going to be bold and say $50 mil for Magic Mike. Women are going to go in droves.
I think Brave will take a huge tumble. $30
$42 seems about right for Ted
$35 for Madea. I dont know who sees these films, but people do.
Yeah, I just re-edited my Magic Mike prediction to $45 million. This thing is selling out like crazy at a couple of theatres near me that rarely get sellouts. As for Brave, it did get an A Cinemascore and is the only kids movie out there, so I think it'll hang around. As for Madea, the last one opened to $25 million, so I'm kind of just basing it on that. It wasn't released in the summer though, so this one could very well hit high 20s or low 30s.

Last edited by Bourne101; 06-29-2012 at 03:47 PM..
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  #2496  
Old 07-01-2012, 12:39 PM
3-Day Predictions for the Weekend of July 6th

1. The Amazing Spider-Man- $70 million
2. Ted- $30 million
3. Brave- $20 million
4. Magic Mike- $18 million
5. Katy Perry: Part of Me- $15 million
6. Tyler Perry's Madea's Witness Protection- $11 million
7. Savages- $10 million
8. Moonrise Kingdom- $7 million
9. Prometheus- $3.25 million
10. Abraham Lincoln: Vampire Hunter- $3 million

Last edited by Bourne101; 07-09-2012 at 12:10 PM..
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  #2497  
Old 07-09-2012, 12:18 PM
Predictions for the Weekend of July 13th

1. Ice Age: Continental Drift- $60 million
2. The Amazing Spider-Man- $33 million
3. Ted- $21 million
4. Brave- $12 million
5. Savages- $8 million
6. Magic Mike- $7.5 million
7. Tyler Perry's Madea's Witness Protection- $5 million
8. Moonrise Kingdom- $4.5 million
9. Madagascar 3: Europe's Most Wanted- $4 million
10. Katy Perry: Part of Me- $3.5 million

One week away from the big one.

Last edited by Bourne101; 07-09-2012 at 12:29 PM..
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  #2498  
Old 07-15-2012, 12:41 PM
Everything is going to suffer huge drops next weekend, and I'll predict that TDKR opens right at the $200 million mark. I think it will come very close to topping The Avengers, but simply won't be able to because of the lack of 3D screens.

I'm excited to see what happens.
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  #2499  
Old 07-15-2012, 04:19 PM
Predictions for the Weekend of July 20th

1. The Dark Knight Rises- $210 million
2. Ice Age: Continental Drift- $27 million
3. The Amazing Spider-Man- $18 million
4. Ted- $15 million
5. Brave- $7 million
6. Magic Mike- $6 million
7. Savages- $5 million
8. Moonrise Kingdom- $3.25 million
9. Tyler Perry's Madea's Witness Protection- $3 million
10. Katy Perry: Part of Me- $2 million
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  #2500  
Old 07-15-2012, 07:01 PM
that's what I am talking about mr bourne!

210 for mr knight. awesome
18 for spiderman..... wow
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  #2501  
Old 07-15-2012, 07:25 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Erroneous View Post
210 for mr knight. awesome
Yeah, I could be off, but I just have this feeling that it will be massive. The Avengers had the 3D advantage, but it didn't have the number of sell-out shows that TDKR is bound to have.

Quote:
Originally Posted by Erroneous View Post
18 for spiderman..... wow
It's possible that it might not drop that much due to spillover from sold out TDKR showings, but I've never been certain just how big of an effect that creates.

Last edited by Bourne101; 07-15-2012 at 07:32 PM..
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  #2502  
Old 07-15-2012, 07:33 PM
Back in May I didn't think TDKR had a chance to top The Avengers 207 million opening....I'm starting to believe though. That would be awesome!
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  #2503  
Old 07-15-2012, 11:34 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Bourne101 View Post
Yeah, I could be off, but I just have this feeling that it will be massive. The Avengers had the 3D advantage, but it didn't have the number of sell-out shows that TDKR is bound to have.



It's possible that it might not drop that much due to spillover from sold out TDKR showings, but I've never been certain just how big of an effect that creates.
I hope you are right across the board
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  #2504  
Old 07-29-2012, 03:29 PM
Predictions for the Weekend of August 3rd

1. The Dark Knight Rises- $35 million
2. Total Recall- $30 million
3. Diary of a Wimpy Kid: Dog Days- $20 million
4. Ice Age: Continental Drift- $9.5 million
5. The Watch- $6.5 million
6. Step Up Revolution- $6 million
7. Ted- $5.5 million
8. The Amazing Spider-Man- $4 million
9. Brave- $3 million
10. Magic Mike- $1.5 million

Haven't seen any recent tracking on Recall, so I'm not sure about that one. It doesn't look like it will be a hit though (especially with that massive budget).
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  #2505  
Old 08-05-2012, 01:03 PM
Predictions for the Weekend of August 10th

1. The Bourne Legacy- $40 million
2. The Campaign- $26 million
3. The Dark Knight Rises- $23 million
4. Hope Springs- $20 million
5. Total Recall- $11 million
6. Diary of a Wimpy Kid: Dog Days- $8 million
7. Ice Age: Continental Drift- $5.5 million
8. Ted- $4 million
9. The Watch- $3.5 million
10. Step Up Revolution- $3 million
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  #2506  
Old 08-12-2012, 05:30 PM
Predictions for the Weekend of August 17th:

1. The Expendables 2 - 36 million
2. The Bourne Legacy - 22 million
3. ParaNorman - 18 million
4. The Campaign - 17 million
5. The Dark Knight Rises - 13 million
6. Hope Springs - 10 million
7. The Odd Life of Timothy Green - 7 million
8. Diary of a Wimpy Kid: Dog Days - 4.5 million
9. Ice Age: Continental Drift - 4.5 million
10. Total Recall - 3.5 million

Expendables 2 could open higher than that, but I'll be conservative for now. Word of mouth on Bourne is mixed but I don't think it will have a huge drop. ParaNorman could go higher, but it definitely looks a little strong for more conservative families and doesn't have a Disney or Tim Burton name attached to it to help with that. Frankly I think it looks fantastic.
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  #2507  
Old 08-12-2012, 06:42 PM
Predictions for the Weekend of August 17th

1. The Expendables 2- $40 million
2. The Bourne Legacy- $20 million
3. The Campaign- $16 million
4. ParaNorman- $14 million
5. The Dark Knight Rises- $13 million
6. Hope Springs- $10 million
7. The Odd Life of Timothy Green- $8 million
8. Diary of a Wimpy Kid: Dog Days- $5 million
9. Ice Age: Continental Drift- $4.5 million
10. Sparkle- $4 million

I don't even know what Sparkle is, so...
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  #2508  
Old 08-12-2012, 07:01 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Bourne101 View Post
Predictions for the Weekend of August 17th

1. The Expendables 2- $40 million
2. The Bourne Legacy- $20 million
3. The Campaign- $16 million
4. ParaNorman- $14 million
5. The Dark Knight Rises- $13 million
6. Hope Springs- $10 million
7. The Odd Life of Timothy Green- $8 million
8. Diary of a Wimpy Kid: Dog Days- $5 million
9. Ice Age: Continental Drift- $4.5 million
10. Sparkle- $4 million

I don't even know what Sparkle is, so...
Oh, I completely forgot about Sparkle. It has Whitney Houston and Cee-Lo and Jordin Sparks in it. Could crack the bottom of the top ten, I guess. It will be in 2,200 theatres.
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  #2509  
Old 09-16-2012, 03:44 PM
Predictions for the Weekend of September 21st

1. Trouble with the Curve- $22 million
2. Dredd- $14 million
3. End of Watch- $13 million
4. House at the End of the Street- $12 million
5. The Master- $10 million
6. Finding Nemo 3D- $9 million
7. Resident Evil: Retribution- $8 million
8. The Possession- $2.75 million
9. Lawless- $2.5 million
10. ParaNorman- $2 million

Last edited by Bourne101; 09-16-2012 at 03:46 PM..
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  #2510  
Old 09-25-2012, 06:41 PM
September 28th-30th

1. Hotel Transylvania- $28 million
2. Looper- $17 million
3. End of Watch- $8.5 million
4. Trouble with the Curve- $7.5 million
5. Won't Back Down- $6 million
6. House at the End of the Street- $5 million
7. Finding Nemo 3D- $4.75 million
8. The Master- $3.75 million
9. Dredd- $3.5 million
10. Resident Evil: Retribution- $3.25 million
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  #2511  
Old 11-18-2012, 01:43 PM
Predictions for November 23-25

1. The Twilight Saga: Breaking Dawn Part 2- $43 million
2. Rise of the Guardians- $35 million
3. Skyfall- $25 million
4. Life of Pi- $16 million
5. Lincoln- $14 million
6. Wreck-It Ralph- $11 million
7. Red Dawn- $9 million
8. Flight- $5.5 million
9. Silver Linings Playbook- $5 million
10. Argo- $3 million
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