#361  
Old 01-08-2013, 09:33 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Matchbox225 View Post
I think the person who was hurt most here is Russell. I think he's out and it's going to be Tarantino, Anderson, and possibly Hanake fighting for Hooper's spot.

I just don't think he can make it in without DGA, unlike the other three, who have more passion. Silver Linings is more about the actors than the directing.

On the other hand, it wouldn't surprise me at all if this was our Oscar lineup and Hooper gets in.
Well, with the exception of the Avatar/Hurt Locker year, the DGA noms and the Oscar noms rarely line up perfectly.

Also found out through my tweeting a couple of interesting facts:

-Oscar ballots were already sent before DGA noms were announced
-There's about 15000 people who vote in the DGA compared to less than 400 of the directors who vote in AMPAS.

So I'm thinking Hooper isn't as liked by the few as he is by the many. I'm sticking with my Haneke predix. Guy has the "never nominated before" tagline next to his insanely impressive body of work.
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  #362  
Old 01-08-2013, 11:52 PM
Yeah, Russell is definitely still in this. It really just depends on how much the director's branch likes Silver Linings Playbook. I'd be a little surprised if the DGA list ends up matching the Academy's Best Director nominations exactly, and Hooper is certainly the weakest link, so my guess is he goes. The only problem is that I'm not exactly sure it will be Russell who replaces him. Tarantino is a possibility, but I'm sticking to my gut feeling that Django won't play as well with the Academy as some are expecting, so he's not my prediction.

I'm cautiously still picking Russell for now, but I'm actually starting to feel some sort of risk-taking urge build up inside me that wants to predict Michael Haneke. The director's branch has proven time and time again that they're capable of thinking outside the box more than most of the other branches, so the DGA lineup just seems way too obvious.

My current read on Best Director:

Definitely in, as in it would be completely shocking if they were snubbed:
Ben Affleck
Kathryn Bigelow
Steven Spielberg

Most likely in, but stranger snubs have happened:
Ang Lee

The most obvious possibilities for the fifth slot:
Tom Hooper
David O. Russell
Quentin Tarantino

Potential surprises that might be more likely than we think:
Michael Haneke
Paul Thomas Anderson
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  #363  
Old 01-09-2013, 09:28 AM
Don't have time to make all my predictions, but a few surprises that I think we might see.

- I think the Academy is going to go by the way of BAFTA and nominate Ben Affleck for Best Actor, a strong show of support to a film that I feel will take Best Picture too.
- Emmanuelle Riva will be unjustly snubbed
- Magic Mike Matthew will sneak into supporting, the Academy will do the right thing and not nominate Alan Arkin.
- Dark Knight will score 5 technical nominations
- David O. Russell, not Tom Hooper will take that final Director Spot.

My Best Picture Predictions:
Argo
Lincoln
Les Mis
Zero Dark Thirty
Silver Linings Playbook
Life Of Pi
Moonrise Kingdom
Django Unchained
The Best Exotic Marigold Hotel
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  #364  
Old 01-09-2013, 09:46 AM
I think Affleck will only get a Best Director nod and nothing for Best Actor. I think Argo's best shot at winning anything will be Alan Arkin, and I do think he'll get nominated. I hope Leonardo Dicaprio gets at least a nomination for Django Unchained - playing somewhat against type as a racist slave owner and he steals every scene he's in.

I know Daniel Day Lewis is the frontrunner, but I'm hesitant in predicting that he'll win it since no actor has ever won three Best Actor Oscars. I don't know if the Academy will want to give him the title of the best actor out of all the actors that have won the award.

And correct me if I'm wrong, but if DDL does win - it would be the first time Spielberg's directing an Oscar-winning performance.
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  #365  
Old 01-09-2013, 10:17 AM
BAFTA NOMINATIONS

BEST FILM

ARGO Grant Heslov, Ben Affleck, George Clooney
LES MISÉRABLES Tim Bevan, Eric Fellner, Debra Hayward, Cameron Mackintosh
LIFE OF PI Gil Netter, Ang Lee, David Womark
LINCOLN Steven Spielberg, Kathleen Kennedy
ZERO DARK THIRTY Mark Boal, Kathryn Bigelow, Megan Ellison

OUTSTANDING BRITISH FILM

ANNA KARENINA Joe Wright, Tim Bevan, Eric Fellner, Paul Webster, Tom Stoppard
THE BEST EXOTIC MARIGOLD HOTEL John Madden, Graham Broadbent, Pete Czernin, Ol Parker
LES MISÉRABLES Tom Hooper, Tim Bevan, Eric Fellner, Debra Hayward, Cameron Mackintosh, William Nicholson, Alain Boublil, Claude-Michel Schönberg, Herbert Kretzmer
SEVEN PSYCHOPATHS Martin McDonagh, Graham Broadbent, Pete Czernin
SKYFALL Sam Mendes, Michael G. Wilson, Barbara Broccoli, Neal Purvis, Robert Wade, John Logan

OUTSTANDING DEBUT BY A BRITISH WRITER, DIRECTOR OR PRODUCER

BART LAYTON (Director), DIMITRI DOGANIS (Producer) The Imposter
DAVID MORRIS (Director), JACQUI MORRIS (Director/Producer) McCullin
DEXTER FLETCHER (Director/Writer), DANNY KING (Writer) Wild Bill
JAMES BOBIN (Director) The Muppets
TINA GHARAVI (Director/Writer) I Am Nasrine

FILM NOT IN THE ENGLISH LANGUAGE

AMOUR Michael Haneke, Margaret Ménégoz
HEADHUNTERS Morten Tyldum, Marianne Gray, Asle Vatn
THE HUNT Thomas Vinterberg, Sisse Graum Jørgensen, Morten Kaufmann
RUST AND BONE Jacques Audiard, Pascal Caucheteux
UNTOUCHABLE Eric Toledano, Olivier Nakache, Nicolas Duval Adassovsky, Yann Zenou, Laurent Zeitoun

DOCUMENTARY

THE IMPOSTER Bart Layton, Dimitri Doganis
MARLEY Kevin Macdonald, Steve Bing, Charles Steel
McCULLIN David Morris, Jacqui Morris
SEARCHING FOR SUGAR MAN Malik Bendjelloul, Simon Chinn
WEST OF MEMPHIS Amy Berg

ANIMATED FILM

BRAVE Mark Andrews, Brenda Chapman
FRANKENWEENIE Tim Burton
PARANORMAN Sam Fell, Chris Butler

DIRECTOR

AMOUR Michael Haneke
ARGO Ben Affleck
DJANGO UNCHAINED Quentin Tarantino
LIFE OF PI Ang Lee
ZERO DARK THIRTY Kathryn Bigelow

ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY

AMOUR Michael Haneke
DJANGO UNCHAINED Quentin Tarantino
THE MASTER Paul Thomas Anderson
MOONRISE KINGDOM Wes Anderson, Roman Coppola
ZERO DARK THIRTY Mark Boal

ADAPTED SCREENPLAY

ARGO Chris Terrio
BEASTS OF THE SOUTHERN WILD Lucy Alibar, Benh Zeitlin
LIFE OF PI David Magee
LINCOLN Tony Kushner
SILVER LININGS PLAYBOOK David O. Russell

LEADING ACTOR

BEN AFFLECK Argo ---> LOL
BRADLEY COOPER Silver Linings Playbook
DANIEL DAY-LEWIS Lincoln
HUGH JACKMAN Les Misérables
JOAQUIN PHOENIX The Master

LEADING ACTRESS

EMMANUELLE RIVA Amour
HELEN MIRREN Hitchcock
JENNIFER LAWRENCE Silver Linings Playbook
JESSICA CHASTAIN Zero Dark Thirty
MARION COTILLARD Rust and Bone

SUPPORTING ACTOR

ALAN ARKIN Argo
CHRISTOPH WALTZ Django Unchained
JAVIER BARDEM Skyfall
PHILIP SEYMOUR HOFFMAN The Master
TOMMY LEE JONES Lincoln

SUPPORTING ACTRESS

AMY ADAMS The Master
ANNE HATHAWAY Les Misérables
HELEN HUNT The Sessions
JUDI DENCH Skyfall
SALLY FIELD Lincoln

ORIGINAL MUSIC

ANNA KARENINA Dario Marianelli
ARGO Alexandre Desplat
LIFE OF PI Mychael Danna
LINCOLN John Williams
SKYFALL Thomas Newman

CINEMATOGRAPHY

ANNA KARENINA Seamus McGarvey
LES MISÉRABLES Danny Cohen
LIFE OF PI Claudio Miranda
LINCOLN Janusz Kaminski
SKYFALL Roger Deakins

EDITING

ARGO William Goldenberg
DJANGO UNCHAINED Fred Raskin
LIFE OF PI Tim Squyres
SKYFALL Stuart Baird
ZERO DARK THIRTY Dylan Tichenor, William Goldenberg

PRODUCTION DESIGN

ANNA KARENINA Sarah Greenwood, Katie Spencer
LES MISÉRABLES Eve Stewart, Anna Lynch-Robinson
LIFE OF PI David Gropman, Anna Pinnock
LINCOLN Rick Carter, Jim Erickson
SKYFALL Dennis Gassner, Anna Pinnock

COSTUME DESIGN

ANNA KARENINA Jacqueline Durran
GREAT EXPECTATIONS Beatrix Aruna Pasztor
LES MISÉRABLES Paco Delgado
LINCOLN Joanna Johnston
SNOW WHITE AND THE HUNTSMAN Colleen Atwood

MAKE UP & HAIR

ANNA KARENINA Ivana Primorac
HITCHCOCK Julie Hewett, Martin Samuel, Howard Berger
THE HOBBIT: AN UNEXPECTED JOURNEY Peter Swords King, Richard Taylor, Rick Findlater
LES MISÉRABLES Lisa Westcott
LINCOLN Lois Burwell, Kay Georgiou

SOUND

DJANGO UNCHAINED Mark Ulano, Michael Minkler, Tony Lamberti, Wylie Stateman
THE HOBBIT: AN UNEXPECTED JOURNEY Tony Johnson, Christopher Boyes, Michael Hedges, Michael Semanick, Brent Burge, Chris Ward
LES MISÉRABLES Simon Hayes, Andy Nelson, Mark Paterson, Jonathan Allen, Lee Walpole, John Warhurst
LIFE OF PI Drew Kunin, Eugene Gearty, Philip Stockton, Ron Bartlett, D. M. Hemphill
SKYFALL Stuart Wilson, Scott Millan, Greg P. Russell, Per Hallberg, Karen Baker Landers

SPECIAL VISUAL EFFECTS

THE DARK KNIGHT RISES Paul Franklin, Chris Corbould, Peter Bebb, Andrew Lockley
THE HOBBIT: AN UNEXPECTED JOURNEY Joe Letteri, Eric Saindon, David Clayton, R. Christopher White
LIFE OF PI Bill Westenhofer, Guillaume Rocheron, Erik-Jan De Boer
MARVEL AVENGERS ASSEMBLE Nominees TBC
PROMETHEUS Richard Stammers, Charley Henley, Trevor Wood, Paul Butterworth

SHORT ANIMATION

HERE TO FALL Kris Kelly, Evelyn McGrath
I’M FINE THANKS Eamonn O’Neill
THE MAKING OF LONGBIRD Will Anderson, Ainslie Henderson

SHORT FILM

THE CURSE Fyzal Boulifa, Gavin Humphries
GOOD NIGHT Muriel d’Ansembourg, Eva Sigurdardottir
SWIMMER Lynne Ramsay, Peter Carlton, Diarmid Scrimshaw
TUMULT Johnny Barrington, Rhianna Andrews
THE VOORMAN PROBLEM Mark Gill, Baldwin Li

THE EE RISING STAR AWARD (voted for by the public)

ELIZABETH OLSEN
ANDREA RISEBOROUGH
SURAJ SHARMA
JUNO TEMPLE
ALICIA VIKANDER

Last edited by DaMovieMan; 01-09-2013 at 10:24 AM..
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  #366  
Old 01-09-2013, 10:54 AM
Tarantino and Haneke getting in over Spielberg? I'll take it.
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  #367  
Old 01-09-2013, 11:14 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Bourne101 View Post
Tarantino and Haneke getting in over Spielberg? I'll take it.
Love it.

Also, no DeNiro in Supporting...almost makes me want to make him my alternate and put Bardem in for tomorrow, but then I remember that Skyfall is a Brit darling.
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  #368  
Old 01-09-2013, 11:51 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by DaMovieMan View Post
Love it.
He'll obviously still get an Oscar nomination, but it may say something about its chances of winning BP. Since 2000, the only film to not get a BAFTA director nomination and win a BP Oscar is Million Dollar Baby, which I'm fairly certain was not eligible for BAFTA that year because of its late release. Lincoln could still win, but Argo and Zero Dark Thirty are right there. Argo, in particular, seems to be gaining some steam.
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  #369  
Old 01-09-2013, 01:13 PM
Now that the DGA and BAFTA nominations are out, here are my FINAL Oscar predictions. I'm putting some commentary beneath the major categories.


Best Picture
Amour
Argo
Beasts of the Southern Wild
Django Unchained
Les Miserables
Life of Pi
Lincoln
Silver Linings Playbook
Zero Dark Thirty

I'm being somewhat bold and predicting Amour, but the BAFTA love today makes me think that it has been seen by enough people to get it in. I still wouldn't be surprised if Django didn't make it, but Tarantino's BAFTA nomination coupled with the movie's overall success makes me think it probably will. I'm cautiously leaving Beasts in because there are supposedly a lot of Hollywood people who really love the movie, but again, I certainly wouldn't be surprised if it didn't make it. I almost put Skyfall in my predictions, but I don't know. Other than that, I think the only other possibilities are Moonrise Kingdom and The Master, but they're looking like pretty remote possibilities to me right now.

Best Director
Ben Affleck, Argo
Kathryn Bigelow, Zero Dark Thirty
Michael Haneke, Amour
Ang Lee, Life of Pi
Steven Spielberg, Lincoln

If Tom Hooper couldn't get nominated at the BAFTA's (the group that was most likely to go all-in for Les Mis), I don't think even a DGA nomination could help him get in here. Russell is still a possibility, but I'm starting to think that movie peaked too early. Tarantino is probably a stronger contender than I would have thought a few weeks ago, but I still don't see him quite making it. A potential shocker would be Paul Thomas Anderson, but I really don't see it.


Best Actor
Bradley Cooper, Silver Linings Playbook
Daniel Day-Lewis, Lincoln
Hugh Jackman, Les Miserables
Joaquin Phoenix, The Master
Denzel Washington, Flight

And so I'm leaving poor John Hawkes out of my predictions. My decision is based on two things: the SAG was the ONLY group that snubbed Phoenix, so I'm not sure he's as weak as we think; and secondly, the ballot system is preferential, and I don't see Hawkes getting a lot of #1 votes, whereas Phoenix definitely will. I'm not reading too much into Affleck's BAFTA nomination, but just know that if he does get nominated at the Oscars, the race is over, and Argo is winning Best Picture.

Best Actress
Jessica Chastain, Zero Dark Thirty
Jennifer Lawrence, Silver Linings Playbook
Emmanuelle Riva, Amour
Quvenzhane Wallis, Beasts of the Southern Wild
Naomi Watts, The Impossible

I still have a gut feeling that Cotillard will be snubbed, despite her pretty much perfect precursor showing. I expect Wallis is the weakest link here, but since I'm predicting Beasts for a Best Picture nomination, I figure I should include her here. But of course, there's always Helen Mirren to consider, and although she's by far the laziest choice they could make here, that's exactly what has me worried she might actually make it. But I'm going to be optimistic and say she doesn't.

Best Supporting Actor
Alan Arkin, Argo
Robert De Niro, Silver Linings Playbook
Philip Seymour Hoffman, The Master
Tommy Lee Jones, Lincoln
Christoph Waltz, Django Unchained

I really came close to putting Bardem in, but I couldn't decide whether to take out Waltz or De Niro. With Argo only gaining buzz lately (especially with the BAFTA nominations), I don't see Arkin being left out. It's definitely worth noting that De Niro has now been snubbed by both the BAFTA's and the Golden Globes, but I'm going to keep him in just based on the Academy's track record of nominating the people they really admire. I don't know. This is definitely a hard category to predict. I think even Bryan Cranston or John Goodman could sneak in. Matthew McConaughey is still in the game too. All that being said, I'd actually be slightly surprised at this point if DiCaprio got in, since I think a (small) consensus has finally formed that Waltz, in fact, is the favorite from that movie. And I really don't think they're both getting nominated, so my view is that it's either Waltz or neither. DiCaprio's not getting in. And as to the few people predicting a surprise nomination for Eddie Redmayne: no. Just no. The BAFTA's didn't do it. The Academy definitely won't either.

Best Supporting Actress
Judi Dench, Skyfall
Sally Field, Lincoln
Anne Hathaway, Les Miserables
Helen Hunt, The Sessions
Maggie Smith, The Best Exotic Marigold Hotel

I'm going with Dench. She has the industry love, and I think she'll capitalize on the Skyfall love since she's in a much weaker category than Bardem. Kidman, Adams, and even Dowd are still significant threats here, but they all also have a lot of disadvantages. My only reservation about going with these predictions is that, if I'm right, 9 out of the 10 nominated actors in the supporting categories will be previous winners, which just doesn't seem right. But I'm sticking with it.

Best Original Screenplay
Amour
Django Unchained
The Intouchables
Moonrise Kingdom
Zero Dark Thirty

I know I should be predicting The Master, and as much as I'd personally like to see it nominated, I just have a hard time visualizing it getting nominated for three major awards when a lot of people in the Academy reportedly didn't like the movie, and I'm already predicting Phoenix and Hoffman, so I'm leaving it out here. The Intouchables is my surprise pick for the year. It's not something I feel confident about, but I just have a hunch. Looper is still a possibility too.

Best Adapted Screenplay
Argo
Beasts of the Southern Wild
Life of Pi
Lincoln
Silver Linings Playbook

The more I think about it, the less I think The Perks of Being a Wallflower will go all the way, so I'm leaving it out. That being said, either Beasts or Life of Pi could be replaced by it. I'm struggling to even think of another alternative though.

Best Animated Feature
Brave
Frankenweenie
The Painting
ParaNorman
Wreck-It Ralph

Alt: Rise of the Guardians

Best Documentary Feature
The Gatekeepers
How to Survive a Plague
The Imposter
Mea Maximum Culpa: Silence in the House of God
Searching for Sugar Man

Alt: The House I Live In

Best Foreign Language Film
Amour (Austria)
The Intouchables (France)
Kon-Tiki (Norway)
No (Chile)
A Royal Affair (Denmark)

Alt: The Deep (Iceland)

Best Film Editing
Argo
Life of Pi
Lincoln
Skyfall
Zero Dark Thirty

Alt: Django Unchained

Best Cinematography
Anna Karenina
Life of Pi
Lincoln
The Master
Skyfall

Alt: Django Unchained or Zero Dark Thirty

Best Costume Design
Anna Karenina
Django Unchained
Les Miserables
Lincoln
A Royal Affair

Alt: Snow White and the Huntsman

Best Production Design
Anna Karenina
Django Unchained
Les Miserables
Life of Pi
Lincoln

Alt: Skyfall

Best Makeup and Hairstyling
The Hobbit: An Unexpected Journey
Lincoln
Men in Black 3

Alt: Les Miserables

Best Visual Effects
The Avengers
Cloud Atlas
The Hobbit: An Unexpected Journey
Life of Pi
Prometheus

Alt: John Carter

Best Sound Mixing
Django Unchained
Les Miserables
Life of Pi
Skyfall
Zero Dark Thirty

Alt: The Avengers

Best Sound Editing
The Avengers
The Dark Knight Rises
Django Unchained
Life of Pi
Skyfall

Alt: Zero Dark Thirty

Best Original Score
Anna Karenina
Argo
Cloud Atlas
Life of Pi
Lincoln

Alt: Beasts of the Southern Wild

Best Original Song
"From Here to the Moon and Back," Joyful Noise
"Learn Me Right," Brave
"Skyfall," Skyfall
"Still Alive," Paul Williams Still Alive
"Suddenly," Les Miserables

Alt: "Ancora Qui," Django Unchained


Movies with the most nominations according to my predictions:

Lincoln- 12
Life of Pi- 10
Django Unchained- 7
Les Miserables- 7
Argo- 6
Skyfall- 6
Zero Dark Thirty- 6
Amour- 5
Silver Linings Playbook- 5
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  #370  
Old 01-09-2013, 01:28 PM
My Predictions:

Best Picture
Argo
Lincoln
Les Miserables
Silver Linings Playbook
Zero Dark Thirty
Life of Pi
Django Unchained
Beasts of the Southern Wild
Moonrise Kingdom

Alternate(s): Amour, Skyfall, The Master, The Best Exotic Marigold Hotel, The Impossible

Best Director
Steven Spielberg, Lincoln
Ben Affleck, Argo
Kathryn Bigelow, Zero Dark Thirty
Ang Lee, Life of Pi
David O. Russell, Silver Linings Playbook

Alternate(s): Quentin Tarantino, Django Unchained; Tom Hooper, Les Miserables; Michael Haneke, Amour

Best Actor
Daniel Day-Lewis, Lincoln
John Hawkes, The Sessions
Hugh Jackman, Les Miserables
Denzel Washington, Flight
Bradley Cooper, Silver Linings Playbook

Alternate: Joaquin Phoenix, The Master; Ben Affleck, Argo

Best Actress
Jessica Chastain, Zero Dark Thirty
Jennifer Lawrence, Silver Linings Playbook
Emmanuelle Riva, Amour
Naomi Watts, The Impossible
Quvenzhane Wallis, Beasts of the Southern Wild

Alternate(s): Marion Cotilliard, Rust and Bone; Helen Mirren, Hitchcock

Best Supporting Actor
Tommy Lee Jones, Lincoln
Alan Arkin, Argo
Christoph Waltz, Django Unchained
Robert DeNiro, Silver Linings Playbook
Philip Seymour Hoffman, The Master

Alternate(s): Leonardo DiCpario, Django Unchained; Javier Bardem, Skyfall; Matthew McConoughey, Magic Mike

Best Supporting Actress
Anne Hathaway, Les Miserables
Sally Field, Lincoln
Helen Hunt, The Sessions
Amy Adams, The Master
Maggie Smith, The Best Exotic Marigold Hotel

Alternate(s): Nicole Kidman, The Paperboy; Judi Dench, Skyfall; Ann Dowd, Compliance

Best Original Screenplay
Mark Boal, Zero Dark Thirty
Quentin Tarantino, Django Unchained
Rian Johnson, Looper
Michael Haneke, Amour
Paul Thomas Anderson, The Master

Alternate(s): Wes Anderson & Roman Coppola, Moonrise Kingdom; John Gatins, Flight

Best Adapted Screenplay
Tony Kushner, Lincoln
Chris Terrio, Argo
David O. Russell, Silver Linings Playbook
David Magee, Life of Pi,
Stephen Chbosky, The Perks of Being a Wallflower

Alternate: Benh Zeitlin and Lucy Alibar, Beasts of the Southern Wild
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  #371  
Old 01-09-2013, 01:58 PM
I find it really funny that Emmanuelle Riva will almost certainly get in, and Jean-Louis Trintignant chances are slim to none. They're equally excellent performances -- I actually found Trintignant more impressive -- but it basically boils down to a difference in competition. The Academy always strains to find Best Actress nominees and always finds a way to snub to most deserving of Best Actor nominees. The explanation is obviously simple: men are given the better roles.
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  #372  
Old 01-09-2013, 02:18 PM
I like those BAFTA noms, especially The Hunt for Best Foreign, West of Memphis for best doco and all the noms for The Master, although no Best Picture
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  #373  
Old 01-09-2013, 02:20 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Gordon View Post
I find it really funny that Emmanuelle Riva will almost certainly get in, and Jean-Louis Trintignant chances are slim to none. They're equally excellent performances -- I actually found Trintignant more impressive -- but it basically boils down to a difference in competition. The Academy always strains to find Best Actress nominees and always finds a way to snub to most deserving of Best Actor nominees. The explanation is obviously simple: men are given the better roles.
Agreed.
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  #374  
Old 01-09-2013, 02:50 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Hucksta G View Post
I like those BAFTA noms, especially The Hunt for Best Foreign, West of Memphis for best doco and all the noms for The Master, although no Best Picture
And no directing

....

As for the Riva v. Trintignan...yeah, they both certainly deserve it but Riva's job was the tougher of the two. She had to believably play the stroke victim and did a superb job at it.

What worries me more than anything is that Wallis gets in and Riva (or Cotillard for that matter) miss out. THAT would be ridiculous.

Final Predictions:

BEST PICTURE

Zero Dark Thirty
Lincoln
Life of Pi
Argo
Silver Linings Playbook
Les Miserables
Amour
Django Unchained
Beasts of the Southern Wild
The Dark Knight Rises [NO GUTS NO GLORY!]

ALT: Moonrise Kingdom

BEST ACTOR

Daniel Day-Lewis – Lincoln
Hugh Jackman – Les Miserables
John Hawkes – The Sessions
Denzel Washington – Flight
Bradley Cooper – Silver Linings Playbook

ALT: Joaquin Phoenix – The Master [convinced that he might actually get shafted. So funny (sad) if you think about the reviews that came out when the Master began screening]

BEST ACTRESS

Jennifer Lawrence – Silver Linings Playbook
Emmanuelle Riva – Amour
Marion Cotillard – Rust and Bone
Jessica Chastain – Zero Dark Thirty
Naomi Watts – The Impossible

ALT: Quvenzhane Wallis – Beasts of the Southern Wild [I refuse to believe that they would nominate a child over any of the above 5]

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR

Tommy Lee Jones – Lincoln
Philip Seymour Hoffman – The Master
Christoph Waltz – Django Unchained [thanks to the BAFTAS, Waltz has clearly been more loved than the, better, DiCaprio]
Alan Arkin – Argo
Robert De Niro – Silver Linings Playbook

ALT: Leonardo DiCaprio – Django Unchained

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS

Anne Hathaway – Les Miserables
Sally Field – Lincoln
Amy Adams – The Master
Helen Hunt – The Sessions
Maggie Smith – Best Exotic Marigold Hotel

ALT: Ann Dowd – Compliance

BEST DIRECTOR

Steven Spielberg – Lincoln [snubbed by the Brits, it ain't happenin' with AMPAS]
Ben Affleck – Argo
Kathryn Bigelow – Zero Dark Thirty
Michael Haneke – Amour [still sticking with Haneke, even though the DGA noms are itching to make me choose Hooper, but I really don't think he'll get in]
Ang Lee – Life of Pi

ALT: Quentin Tarantino – Django Unchained

BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY

Lincoln
Life of Pi
Silver Linings Playbook
The Perks of Being a Wallflower
Argo

ALT: Beasts of the Southern Wild

BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY

Zero Dark Thirty
Django Unchained
The Master
Amour
Moonrise Kingdom

ALT: Looper

BEST ANIMATED MOVIE

Frankenweenie
Brave
Wreck-it-Ralph
The Painting
ParaNorman

ALT: Rise of the Guardians

BEST DOCUMENTARY

The Gatekeepers
The Imposter
Searching for Sugar Man
How to Survive a Plague
The Invisible War

ALT: Mea Maxima Culpa

BEST FOREIGN FILM

The Intouchables
Amour
War Witch
A Royal Affair
No

ALT: Kon-Tiki

BEST FILM EDITING

Zero Dark Thirty
Lincoln
Argo
Silver Linings Playbook
Les Miserables

ALT: Skyfall

BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY

The Master
Life of Pi
Anna Karenina [cinematographers reminded me about this gorgeously shot adapation. ZD30 is gritty goodness, but AK is masterful]
Lincoln
Skyfall

ALT: Zero Dark Thirty

BEST PRODUCTION DESIGN

Lincoln
Anna Karenina
Les Miserables
Django Unchained
The Hobbit

ALT: Prometheus

BEST COSTUME

Les Miserables
Django Unchained
Anna Karenina
Lincoln
Snow White and the Huntsman

ALT: A Royal Affair

BEST HAIR & MAKE UP

The Hobbit
Lincoln
Les Miserables

ALT: Looper

BEST ORIGINAL SONG

“Skyfall” – Skyfall
“Suddenly” – Les Miserables
“Ancora Qui” – Django Unchained
——If there’s more than 3——
“Learn Me Right” – Brave
“Everybody Needs a Best Friend” – Ted

ALT: “Song of the Lonely Mountain” – The Hobbit

BEST SCORE

Beasts of the Southern Wild
Lincoln
Anna Karenina
Cloud Atlas
The Master

ALT: The Dark Knight Rises

BEST SOUND EDITING

The Dark Knight Rises
Skyfall
Zero Dark Thirty
The Avengers
Les Miserables

ALT: Django Unchained

BEST SOUND MIXING

The Dark Knight Rises
Skyfall
Zero Dark Thirty
The Avengers
Les Miserables

ALT: Life of Pi

BEST VISUAL EFFECTS

Life of Pi
The Hobbit
The Avengers
Prometheus
The Dark Knight Rises

ALT: The Impossible
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  #375  
Old 01-09-2013, 02:55 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Gordon View Post
I find it really funny that Emmanuelle Riva will almost certainly get in, and Jean-Louis Trintignant chances are slim to none. They're equally excellent performances -- I actually found Trintignant more impressive -- but it basically boils down to a difference in competition. The Academy always strains to find Best Actress nominees and always finds a way to snub to most deserving of Best Actor nominees. The explanation is obviously simple: men are given the better roles.
Spot on.
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  #376  
Old 01-09-2013, 08:49 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Gordon View Post
I find it really funny that Emmanuelle Riva will almost certainly get in, and Jean-Louis Trintignant chances are slim to none. They're equally excellent performances -- I actually found Trintignant more impressive -- but it basically boils down to a difference in competition. The Academy always strains to find Best Actress nominees and always finds a way to snub to most deserving of Best Actor nominees. The explanation is obviously simple: men are given the better roles.
I was talking to a friend a while ago who was wondering why the Academy still segregated their acting nominees by gender. He thought it was kind of an outdated system that implied an inherent difference between male and female actors. My response was that the different categories for men and women was not a sexist segregation, but rather a way to help out actresses. My bottom line question to him was, "If there were only categories for Best Leading Performance and Best Supporting Performance with no split between male and female, how many women do you think would be nominated each year?" This year in particular, I'm not sure a single female performance would be nominated in the lead category if there were no gender split. So yes, it really is the case that there are simply more good roles for men than women in the movies, and it's unfortunate but true.
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  #377  
Old 01-09-2013, 08:52 PM
Final Predictions

In order of likelihood

Best Picture
Argo
Lincoln
Zero Dark Thirty
Les Miserables
Life of Pi
Silver Linings Playbook
If there are 7: Django Unchained
If there are 8: Moonrise Kingdom
If there are 9: Beasts of The Southern Wild (I think this will be our list with 9)
If there are 10: Amour

Other Strong Possibilities: Skyfall
Dark Horses: The Master, The Intouchables

Best Director
Steven Spielberg – Lincoln
Ben Affleck – Argo
Kathryn Bigelow - Zero Dark Thirty
Ang Lee – Life of Pi
Tom Hooper – Les Miserables

Other Strong Possibilities: Michael Haneke – Amour, David O. Russell – Silver Linings Playbook, Quentin Tarantino – Django Unchained

Best Actor
Daniel Day-Lewis – Lincoln
Denzel Washington – Flight
John Hawkes – The Sessions
Hugh Jackman – Les Miserables
Bradley Cooper – Silver Linings Playbook

Other Strong Possibilites: Joaquin Phoenix – The Master
Dark Horses: Jean-Louis Trintignant – Amour, Richard Gere – Arbitrage, Ben Affleck – Argo

Best Actress
Jennifer Lawrence -Silver Linings Playbook
Jessica Chastain – Zero Dark Thirty
Emannuelle Riva - Amour
Naomi Watts - The Impossible
Quvenzhane Wallis – Beasts of the Southern Wild

Other Strong Possibilities: Marion Cotillard – Rust and Bone, Helen Mirren –Hitchcock
Dark Horses: Rachel Weisz –The Deep Blue Sea, Keira Knightly – Anna Karenina

Best Supporting Actor
Tommy Lee Jones – Lincoln
Phillip Seymour Hoffman – The Master
Robert De Niro -Silver Linings Playbook
Alan Arkin - Argo
Leonardo DiCaprio – Django Unchained

Other Strong Possibilities: Javier Bardem –Skyfall, Christoph Waltz – Django Unchained
Dark Horses: Dwight Henry – Beasts of the Southern Wild, Samuel L. Jackson –Django Unchained, Matthew McConaughey – Magic Mike

Best Supporting Actress
Anne Hathaway – Les Miserables
Sally Field – Lincoln
Helen Hunt – The Sessions
Maggie Smith – Best Exotic Marigold Hotel
Nicole Kidman –The Paperboy

Other Strong Possibilities: Amy Adams – The Master, Judi Dench -Skyfall
Dark Horses: Ann Dowd – Compliance, Samantha Barks – Les Miserables

Best Adapted Screenplay
Lincoln
Argo
Silver Linings Playbook
Life of Pi
Beasts of the Southern Wild

Other Strong Possibilities: The Perks of Being A Wallflower, Les Miserables, The Sessions
Dark Horses: The Best Exotic Marigold Hotel, Anna Karenina, Bernie

Best Original Screenplay
Zero Dark Thirty
Moonrise Kingdom
Django Unchained
The Master
Amour

Other Strong Possibilities: Looper, Flight, The Intouchables, Middle of Nowhere
Dark Horses: Arbitrage, Seven Psychopaths

Best Cinematography
Life of Pi
Skyfall
Zero Dark Thirty
Anna Karenina
The Master

Other Strong Possibilities: Lincoln, Les Miserables, Django Unchained
Dark Horse: The Dark Knight Rises

Best Editing
Argo
Zero Dark Thirty
Lincoln
Life of Pi
Les Miserables

Other Strong Possibilities: Skyfall, Django Unchained, Silver Linings Playbook
Dark Horses: The Dark Knight Rises, Cloud Atlas

Best Animated Film
Wreck-it-Ralph
Frankenweenie
Paranorman
Brave
The Rabbi’s Cat

Other Strong Possibilities: Hotel Transylvania, The Painting, The Lorax
Dark Horses: Ice Age: Continental Drift, Madagascar 3

Best Foreign Film
Amour
The Intouchables
A Royal Affair
No
War Witch

Other Strong Possibilities: Beyond The Hills, Sister, Kon-Tiki, The Deep

Best Documentary Film
Searching for Sugar Man
The Imposter
The Gatekeepers
How To Survive A Plague
This is Not A Film

Other Strong Possibilities: The Invisible War, Ai Weiwei: Never Sorry, Bully, The House I Live In
Dark Horses: 5 Broken Cameras, Mea Maxima Culpa, Chasing Ice, Ethel, Detropia, The Waiting Room

Of things that have a fair chance of happening but are not assured, I'm most hoping Michael Haneke (for Director and Original Screenplay), Joaquin Phoenix, Emmanuelle Riva and Quevenzhane Wallis, Christoph Waltz, Looper (for its Original Screenplay), The Master (for Cinematography), and Searching for Sugar Man and The Imposter (for Documentary) are in the race and that Tom Hooper and Nicole Kidman are out. Of the unlikely things that would make my day, I'm rooting hard for 5 Broken Cameras to make in the doc category, Seven Psychopaths to place for its original screenplay, and Hugh Jackman and the Les Miserables tech team to be ignored.

Last edited by QUENTIN; 01-09-2013 at 09:11 PM..
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  #378  
Old 01-09-2013, 10:17 PM
Nice picks Q. We just disagree on wanting Wallis in (over Cotillard?) but 5 Broken Cameras is an amazing doc.

I wanna put my BPs in order because it's very possible that we won't get 10.

1.Lincoln
2.Zero Dark Thirty
3.Argo
4.Silver Linings Playbook
5.Les Miserables
6.Life of Pi
7.Django Unchained
8.Beasts of the Southern Wild
9.Amour
10.The Dark Knight Rises
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  #379  
Old 01-10-2013, 01:44 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Tkeyjw View Post
I was talking to a friend a while ago who was wondering why the Academy still segregated their acting nominees by gender. He thought it was kind of an outdated system that implied an inherent difference between male and female actors. My response was that the different categories for men and women was not a sexist segregation, but rather a way to help out actresses. My bottom line question to him was, "If there were only categories for Best Leading Performance and Best Supporting Performance with no split between male and female, how many women do you think would be nominated each year?" This year in particular, I'm not sure a single female performance would be nominated in the lead category if there were no gender split. So yes, it really is the case that there are simply more good roles for men than women in the movies, and it's unfortunate but true.

In that system, most years it would be 4 guys and whatever Meryl Streep did that year.
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  #380  
Old 01-10-2013, 06:43 AM
Less than an hour till the nominations are announced. Here are my probably way off predictions ( ) predictions.


BEST PICTURE:

Argo
Beasts of the Southern Wild
Django Unchained
Flight
Les Miserables
Life of Pi
Lincoln
Silver Linings Playbook
Skyfall
Zero Dark Thirty


Everybody seems to be in agreement that this was such a strong year for movies that there will definitely be 10 nominees. I'm gonna gamble and say Skyfall WILL make it in. Nothing would thrill me more than to see The Dark Knight Rises come in, but I think there is only room for one major action movie and that will likely go to Skyfall rather than TDKR.

If Skyfall doesn't make it in other possibilities include Michael Heneke's Amour, The Impossible, Wes Anderson's Moonrise Kingdom, The Best Exotic Marigold Hotel and Paul Thomas Anderson's The Master.



BEST DIRECTOR:

Ben Affleck, Argo
Ang Lee, Life of Pi
David O. Russell, Silver Linings Playbook
Steven Spielberg, Lincoln
Kathryn Bigelow, Zero Dark Thirty


I'm gonna go a head and predict Russell makes it in over Les Miserables' Tom Hooper. Though also not to be counted out is Michael Heneke. Heck, it's even possible that Quentin Tarantino or Paul Thomas Anderson make it in. Heck, I wouldn't even entirely count out Sam Mendes even though he's admittedly a dark horse.


Best Actor:

Bradley Cooper, Silver Linings Playbook
Daniel Day Lewis, Lincoln
Hugh Jackman, Les Miserables
Joaquin Phoenix, The Master
Denzel Washington, Flight

There are 6 major contenders but only 5 slots. The sixth contender, and the one I'm predicting to be left out, is John Hawkes for his wonderful performance in The Sessions. If I'm wrong, then they may leave out Cooper, though I believe that movie was loved by a lot of people and therefore think Cooper will be safe. It's also possible that Phoenix could be left out, but I'm betting that won't happen.


BEST ACTRESS:

Jessica Chastain, Zero Dark Thirty
Marion Cotillard, Rust and Bone
Jennifer Lawrence, Silver Linings Playbook
Naomi Watts, The Impossible
Rachel Weisz, The Deep Blue Sea


Chastain and Lawrence are a definite lock. And Watts and Cotillard are a pretty safe bet. That leaves just one slot left. Many people are predicting it will be a battle between the very young (Quvenzhane Wallis in Beasts of the Southern Wild) and the very old (Emmanuelle Riva in Amour) but I'm gonna make a bold prediction that it's neither of them. Instead I predict that 5th slot will go to surprise contender Weisz, who has already been a surprise in a couple of other awards nominations.


BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR:

Alan Arkin, Argo
Robert De Niro, Silver Linings Playbook
Phillip Seymour Hoffman, The Master
Tommy Lee Jones, Lincoln
Christoph Waltz, Django Unchained


Like the best actor category, there are 6 major contenders and only 5 slots, but there is caveat to that. It is entirely possible that there could be a surprise 7th contender in Javier Bardem in Skyfall. But I don't think that's going to happen. As for the other one, there is also Leonardo Dicaprio for Django Unchained. I'm predicting he doesn't get in, but if he does, I fear it may be at De Niro's expense. I hope not though. It could be at Waltz's expense too, but I also hope that's not the case. I really want both Waltz and De Niro to make it. They are both fantastic.


BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS:

Amy Adams, The Master
Judi Dench, Skyfall
Sally Field, Lincoln
Anne Hathaway, Les Miserables
Helen Hunt, The Sessions


Dench is probably wishful thinking on my part. But she was fantastic in her final Bond outing and deserves to make it. In her place will likely be either Maggie Smith for The Best Exotic Marigold Hotel or Anne Dowd for Compliance.


BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY:

Django Unchained
Flight
Looper
Moonrise Kingdom
Zero Dark Thirty

Other possibilities: The Master, Amour


BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY:

Argo
Life of Pi
Lincoln
The Perks of Being a Wallflower
Silver Linings Playbook

Other possibility: Beasts of the Southern Wild


BEST ANIMATED FEATURE:

Brave
Frankenweenie
ParaNorman
The Secret World Arrietty
Wreck it Ralph

Nothing would please me more than to see Brave snubbed in this category, but alas, I don't think it will happen.


BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY:

Life of Pi
Lincoln
The Master
Skyfall
Zero Dark Thirty

Other possibility: Anna Karenina, The Hobbit, Django Unchained, Prometheus, Les Miserables, The Impossible


BEST PRODUCTION DESIGN:

Anna Karenina
The Hobbit: An Unexpected Journey
Les Miserables
Lincoln
Prometheus

Other possibilities: Django Unchained, Skyfall, John Carter, Cloud Atlas.


BEST COSTUME DESIGN:

Anna Karenina
Django Unchained
Les Miserables
Lincoln
Snow White and the Huntsman

Other possibilities: John Carter, A Royal Affair, Cloud Atlas.


BEST HAIR AND MAKEUP:

The Hobbit: An Unexpected Journey
Lincoln
Men in Black 3

Other possibilities: Les Miserables, Looper, John Carter.


BEST VISUAL EFFECTS:

The Avengers
Cloud Atlas
The Hobbit
Life of Pi
Prometheus

Other possibilities: The Impossible, The Dark Knight Rises, The Amazing Spider-Man, Skyfall.



That's all I'm gonna predict. A couple of notes:


- I hope Skyfall gets nominated for best original song. Adele's Skyfall is a great tune. Same with the song from Ted, "Everybody Needs a Best Friend."

- I hope John Carter gets nominated for it's awesome score. Michael Giacchino is the man!
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  #381  
Old 01-10-2013, 07:43 AM
Wow, Jacki Weaver! Two time, two time Oscar nominee!

No Tarantino for Director. Hooper didn't make it either.

Four acting nominees, plus pic and director make me realize that (a) the word about actors really loving SLP was really true or (b) Harvey Weinstein, bought and paid for Oscars.

Joaquin Phoenix made it. Poor John Hawkes.

My prediction for Q. Wallis in Best Actress paid off. Unfortunately, that means Beasts made it into Best Picture and Director as well.

Amour makes a really, really strong showing in Picture, Director, Actress and Original Screenplay.

Moonrise Kingdom gets a token Original Screenplay nod, at least. Sigh. Yeah, that godawful script for Flight was soooo much better than Looper.

As I'm typing this up, I just realized that Bigelow and Affleck did not make Best Director either. My jaw just hit the floor. I guess Zeitlen was a better filmmaker than Bigelow, huh?

Last edited by Lazy Boy; 01-10-2013 at 07:59 AM..
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  #382  
Old 01-10-2013, 07:56 AM
Yep, Affleck and Bigelow's snub were definitely the biggest snubs of the day.

Silver Linings Playbook had a very strong show. Could that mean that the best picture race is between Silver Linings Playbook and Lincoln?
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  #383  
Old 01-10-2013, 07:59 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by ilovemovies View Post
Silver Linings Playbook had a very strong show. Could that mean that the best picture race is between Silver Linings Playbook and Lincoln?
Yep, I think that's exactly it. Maybe Life Of Pi and its hard not see the huge amount of love they have for Beasts of the Southern Wild, nominating Benh Zeitlin over Ben Affleck and Bigelow.
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  #384  
Old 01-10-2013, 08:02 AM
I would love it if Life of Pi won. It's easily the best out of the 9 films nominated. Although I haven't seen Beasts of the Southern Wild or Amour. And I still have yet to see Les Miz and Zero Dark Thirty.

I predicted best actor correctly. I had Phoenix in, John Hawkes out. Although I think Hawkes was better.

Worst nomination of the morning: The Pirates! Band of Misfits getting in for best animated feature.

Man, I thought Ben Affleck was the frontrunner to win best director and he wasn't even nominated. I'm still stunned by that.

Last edited by ilovemovies; 01-10-2013 at 08:07 AM..
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  #385  
Old 01-10-2013, 08:11 AM
WTF? Jackman nominated for Best Actor?

Tough field for Adapted Screenplay and Original Screenplay. Not sure how Zero Dark Thirty can be deemed an original screenplay and that could ruin Quentin's chance of picking an Oscar for Django.

Last edited by kobe8byrant; 01-10-2013 at 08:16 AM..
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  #386  
Old 01-10-2013, 08:16 AM
- that best picture lineup is actually not to bad, despite my extreme hate for Les Mis and my extreme reservations on Lincoln, the fact that Amour, Beasts and Django are all included is fantastic.

- best director was an absolute stunner. Leaving Affleck and Bigelow out?!?! no one would have called that, weirdly i am not angry though, because Haneke and Zeitlin both made fantastic films and deserve to be there. Wouldn't have minded Spielberg being the one left out though.

- best actor, thats pretty cold snubbing John Hawkes amazing performance for another typical Denzel performance. but hey! Phoenix is in!!!

- best actress, again we get the great, with Riva getting in. But, snubbing Cotillard breathtaking performance is cold.

- best supporting actor, would have been nice to see either DiCaprio, McConaughey, Dwight Henry or Samuel L. instead of Arkin, but still another solid list.

- best supporting actress, the most overrated performance of the year was Sally Field, but she was never not going to be a nominee. But the huge show of love for Silver Linings continues with Weaver grabbing a nom.
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  #387  
Old 01-10-2013, 08:19 AM
What the fuck just happened.
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  #388  
Old 01-10-2013, 08:25 AM
Best Foreign Language Picture is a joke as Amour surely has to win or else how can it be among Best Pictures and not win Best Foreign Language?

And fuck me on the snub on Affleck.
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  #389  
Old 01-10-2013, 08:28 AM
So, based on these noms, I'm predicting to win:

Lincoln (or SLP)
Spielberg
DDL
Lawrence
Jones
Hathaway

I give the voting block a lot of credit; there was a passion for Phoenix that by all accounts I didn't feel was there initially. Reports of certain members finding him "grossly overindulgent" (according to Tapley), etc. Really glad he got in, as well as Hoffman and Adams.

Last edited by Lazy Boy; 01-10-2013 at 08:31 AM..
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  #390  
Old 01-10-2013, 08:35 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by JCR View Post
I've just put 50 quid (US $81 currently) on Affleck.



He's screwed.
Well, I don't mean to say I told you so, but the moment I bet on something it does usually mean they're completely fucked. Damn.

Pleased for Haneke though.
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  #391  
Old 01-10-2013, 08:35 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by DaMovieMan View Post
What the fuck just happened.
Lincoln just won itself Best Picture and Best Director.
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  #392  
Old 01-10-2013, 08:38 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Bourne101 View Post
Lincoln just won itself Best Picture and Best Director.
I wouldn't count out Silver Linings though. Although Lincoln is the movie with the most nominations and that usually puts it a head. But I wouldn't be surprised if Silver Linings got a lot of love.

I think the fact that Spielberg has 2 Oscars already could mean they could decide to give it to Russell.
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  #393  
Old 01-10-2013, 08:39 AM
Most nominations for a Bond film ever? DKR zero noms. Silver Lingings with all the major categories. No QT, Affleck or Bigelow directing nod which is very surprising.
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  #394  
Old 01-10-2013, 08:57 AM
Kathryn Bigelow not getting a Best Director nomination is the biggest crock of shit since Ryan Gosling got snubbed for Drive and Blue Valentine.
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  #395  
Old 01-10-2013, 08:58 AM
HERE ARE THE OFFICIAL NOMINATIONS

85th Academy Awards Nominations

Best Picture

Amour
Argo
Beasts Of The Southern Wild
Django Unchained
Les Miserables
Life Of Pi
Lincoln
Silver Linings Playbook
Zero Dark Thirty

Best Director

Michael Haneke – Amour
Behn Zeitlin - Beasts of the Southern Wild
Ang Lee – Life of Pi
Steven Spielberg – Lincoln
David O. Russell – Silver Linings Playbook

Best Actor In A Leading Role

Denzel Washington – Flight
Hugh Jackman – Les Miserables
Daniel Day-Lewis – Lincoln
Joaquin Phoenix – The Master
Bradley Cooper – Silver Linings Playbook

Best Actress In A Leading Role

Emmanuelle Riva – Amour
Quvenzhane Wallis – Beasts Of The Southern Wild
Naomi Watts – The Impossible
Jennifer Lawrence – Silver Linings PLaybook
Jessica Chastain – Zero Dark Thirty

Best Actor In A Supporting Role

Alan Arkin – Argo
Christoph Waltz – Django Unchained
Tommy Lee Jones – Lincoln
Philip Seymour Hoffman – The Master
Robert De Niro – Silver Linings Playbook

Best Actress In A Supporting Role

Anne Hathaway – Les Miserables
Sally Field – Lincoln
Amy Adams – The Master
Helen Hunt – The Sessions
Jacki Weaver – Silver Linings Playbook

Best Original Screenplay

Michael Haneke – Amour
Quentin Tarantino – Django Unchained
John Gatins – Flight
Wes Anderson & Roman Coppola – Moonrise Kingdom
Mark Boal – Zero Dark Thirty

Best Adapted Screenplay

Chris Terrio – Argo
Lucy Alibar, Benh Zeitlin – Beasts of the Southern Wild
David Magee – Life Of Pi
Tony Kushner – Lincoln
David O. Russell – Silver Linings Playbook

Best Foreign Language Film

Amour
Kon-Tiki
No
A Royal Affair
War Witch

Best Animated Feature Film

Brave
Frankenweenie
ParaNorman
The Pirates
Wreck-It Ralph

Best Original Song

“Before My Time” – Chasing Ice
“Pi’s Lullaby” – Life Of Pi
“Everybody Needs a Best Friend” – Ted
“Suddenly” – Les Miserables
“Skyfall” – Skyfall

Best Cinematography

Seamus McGarvey – Anna Karenina
Robert Richardson – Django Unchained
Claudio Miranda – Life Of Pi
Janusz Kaminski – Lincoln
Roger Deakins – Skyfall

Best Film Editing

William Goldenberg – Argo
Tim Squyres – Life Of Pi
Michael Kahn – Lincoln
Jay Cassidy and Crispin Struthers – Silver Linings Playbook
William Goldenberg, Dylan Tichenor - Zero Dark Thirty

Best Costume Design

Jacqueline Durran – Anna Karenina
Paco Delgado – Les Miserables
Joanna Johnston – Lincoln
Eiko Ishioka – Mirror Mirror
Colleen Atwood – Snow White and the Huntsman

Best Documentary Feature

5 Broken Cameras
The Gatekeepers
How To Survive A Plague
The Invisible War
Searching For Sugar Man

Best Visual Effects

The Hobbit: An Unexpected Journey
Life Of Pi
Marvel’s The Avengers
Prometheus
Snow White And The Huntsman

Best Production Design

Sarah Greenwood, Katie Spencer – Anna Karenina
Dan Hennah, Ra Vincent, Simon Bright – The Hobbit: An Unexpected Journey
Eve Stewart – Les Miserables
David Gropman, Anna Pinnock – Life Of Pi
Rick Carter, Jim Erickson, Peter T Frank – Lincoln

Best Original Score

Dario Marianelli – Anna Karenina
Alexandre Desplat – Argo
Mychael Danna – Life Of Pi
John Williams – Lincoln
Thomas Newman – Skyfall

Best Make Up

Hitchcock
The Hobbit: An Unexpected Journey
Les Miserables

Best Sound Editing

Argo
Django Unchained
Life Of Pi
Skyfall
Zero Dark Thirty

Best Sound Mixing

Argo
Les Miserables
Life Of Pi
Lincoln
Skyfall

Best Documentary Short Film

Inocente
Kings Point
Mondays At Racine
Open Heart
Redemption

Best Animated Short

Adam And Dog
Fresh Guacamole
Head Over Heels
Maggie Simpson In The Longest Daycare
Paperman

Best Live-Action Short Film

Asad
Buzkashi Boys
Curfew
Death Of A Shadow
Henry

Last edited by P1NSTR1PEZ; 01-10-2013 at 09:13 AM..
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  #396  
Old 01-10-2013, 09:20 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by JCR View Post
Well, I don't mean to say I told you so, but the moment I bet on something it does usually mean they're completely fucked. Damn.

Pleased for Haneke though.
Gutted.

I really want to stick £50 on Amour picking up Best Foreign Film, but I'm wary of No being a contender.

*Looked at the odds, it's not worth betting on Amour*

Last edited by viceus; 01-10-2013 at 09:39 AM..
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  #397  
Old 01-10-2013, 09:22 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by ilovemovies View Post
I wouldn't count out Silver Linings though. Although Lincoln is the movie with the most nominations and that usually puts it a head. But I wouldn't be surprised if Silver Linings got a lot of love.

I think the fact that Spielberg has 2 Oscars already could mean they could decide to give it to Russell.
I can't see Russell winning. I can see the possibility of a split (Silver Linings for BP and Lincoln for BD), but Russell didn't even get a DGA nomination.
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  #398  
Old 01-10-2013, 09:22 AM
Too bad Affleck and Bigelow have been snubbed in favor of Beasts, one of the years worst. I find it bizarre that The Master has been nixed for Best Picture and Direction, yet all three actors have been nominated. Strange.
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  #399  
Old 01-10-2013, 09:27 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by viceus View Post
I find it bizarre that The Master has been nixed for Best Picture and Direction, yet all three actors have been nominated. Strange.
I guess it just didn't connect for them, but I'm glad they at least recognized the tremendous performances. While Tommy Lee Jones will probably win supporting, it would be awesome if it went to Hoffman instead.
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  #400  
Old 01-10-2013, 09:38 AM
You guys are forgetting that Life of Pi has 11 nominations. ELEVEN! That's one below Lincoln's 12, which surprised everyone.

It's Life of Pi VS. Lincoln for Best Picture. Forget Silver Linings Playbook, Weinstein isn't winning three in a row.

I'm still fucking REELING from the Affleck and Bigelow snubs. I thought I was dreaming that shit when I saw it. Zeitlin?!?!?!

And don't even get me started on picking A CHILD over Marion Cotillard's harrowing performance in Rust and Bone. I mean, what the fuck is going on here seriously.

At least Amour and Anna Karenina got the love they both deserve
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