#441  
Old 05-13-2006, 06:38 PM
Haha. I hope Poseidon is the biggest bomb of the summer.
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  #442  
Old 05-13-2006, 08:37 PM
MI3 is about 55% off from last Friday. That doesn't seem all that good to me. If it drops 50% when final weekend numbers are in, that might be a better than expected hold, but it still isn't good and the movie will still be a domestic disappointment. I was wrong about Poseidon, but it's easy to be right when you just use the tracking to make your guess. Nothing to be proud of.
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  #443  
Old 05-13-2006, 09:36 PM
M:I-3 performs disappointingly, and now Poseidon is about to bomb at the box-office. What will be the first blockbuster of the summer? The Davinci Code, X3?

Strider
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  #444  
Old 05-13-2006, 09:38 PM
It will be Da Vinci. I think X3 may disappoint as well. The buzz is pretty negative and many fans are pissed about Ratner directing (though that won't necessarily keep them from seeing it). Da Vinci will be a huge hit. I think that's a certainty. Hanks and Howard and controversy/non-stop news headlines and one of the biggest selling books of all-time. How could that possibly go wrong?
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  #445  
Old 05-13-2006, 09:46 PM
I agree, Madsen. I think Tom Hanks is enough for audiences to turn The Da Vinci Code into a huge success. Plus, as you said, the book is a massive best-seller, and the controversy will do nothing but convince those who have not read the book to go out and see the film.

As for X3, I don't see it performing as well as the previous two installments. But I think it'll do well enough.

Strider
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  #446  
Old 05-14-2006, 04:31 AM
M:I-III was the first blockbuster of the summer. You guys... I mean, of course it made far less money than people expected, but $50 million is still a pretty solid opening. Most other movies would die to get that kind of opening. And now it's looking to get another $20 mil or so this weekend... So it won't make $200 million in the end, but it will definitely pass $100 mil. Doesn't that mean it can be seen as a blockbuster?
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  #447  
Old 05-14-2006, 04:51 AM
Quote:
Originally posted by Monotreme
M:I-III was the first blockbuster of the summer. You guys... I mean, of course it made far less money than people expected, but $50 million is still a pretty solid opening. Most other movies would die to get that kind of opening. And now it's looking to get another $20 mil or so this weekend... So it won't make $200 million in the end, but it will definitely pass $100 mil. Doesn't that mean it can be seen as a blockbuster?
Even if M:I-3 does make $100 million, "disappointment," not "blockbuster," is the word to describe how the film performed at the box-office. It cost $150 million to make, and who knows how many millions were spent for the marketing campaign.

Box-office analysts were predicting a domestic gross between $250-300 million.

Strider

Last edited by Strider; 05-14-2006 at 04:54 AM..
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  #448  
Old 05-14-2006, 10:08 AM
Quote:
Originally posted by Monotreme
So it won't make $200 million in the end, but it will definitely pass $100 mil. Doesn't that mean it can be seen as a blockbuster?
No. $100 million is not a blockbuster anymore. Hasn't been for years. Especially when your movie costs $150 million or more to make.
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  #449  
Old 05-14-2006, 11:39 AM
Quote:
Originally posted by MadsenOMC
No. $100 million is not a blockbuster anymore. Hasn't been for years. Especially when your movie costs $150 million or more to make.
The term blockbuster all depends on the movies budget and how much it ends up making, MI3 wont be a blockbuster because it wont make back its budget in domestic box office, while movies like The 40 Year Old Virgins are counted as blockbuster on certain scales do to how low its budget was (20 mil) and how much it made (100 mil).

It all depends on the budget and overall box office cume.
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  #450  
Old 05-14-2006, 12:36 PM
http://www.boxofficemojo.com/weekend/chart/

MI3 Number 1 with a sub 50% drop.

1 Mission: Impossible III $24,514,000 -48.7% $6,039 $84,635,000

2 Poseidon $20,325,000 $5,717 $20,325,000
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  #451  
Old 05-14-2006, 02:34 PM
Ouch, looks like Poseidon got an



Ass kicking.



Please, please, PLEASE Da Vinci Code, save the Summer!
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  #452  
Old 05-14-2006, 02:41 PM
Quote:
Originally posted by NightStalkerGtx
The term blockbuster all depends on the movies budget and how much it ends up making,
It all depends on the budget and overall box office cume.
Well, yeah, obviously. When I think blockbuster, I think of movies like Poseidon and MI3. Summer event movies with massive budgets and huge marketing campaigns. As far as that type of movie goes, $100 million is not the benchmark figure anymore. Hasn't been for a while.
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  #453  
Old 05-14-2006, 05:46 PM
Quote:
Originally posted by Monotreme


Please, please, PLEASE Da Vinci Code, save the Summer!
But it's not even summer yet, maybe that's the problem.
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  #454  
Old 05-14-2006, 05:59 PM
Quote:
Originally posted by Monotreme
Ouch, looks like Poseidon got an



Ass kicking.

Just as it should have.
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  #455  
Old 05-14-2006, 07:05 PM
Quote:
Originally posted by slasherfan
But it's not even summer yet, maybe that's the problem.
That's my biggest theory behind this. Hollywood is pushing to get summer hits out earlier to make the big bucks and be the first.

Problem is, They tried releasing MI3 may 5th, when at least where I'm from, school doesn't get out till June 15th. Here in Arizona, school still has a couple more weeks to go. Is hollywood that stupid to release these big action movies before summer?
I know it affected me last week because I had to write a 10pg essay for college, and had to skip out on MI3.

Although I think the Da Vinci Code will still do better than Poseidon and maybe MI3, it's still a week early for summer time here in Arizona, and back in the NorthWest, it's still another month away!

Take your heads out of your asses 'hollywood' !
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  #456  
Old 05-14-2006, 08:48 PM
I'm not sure how Da Vinci will do. The awareness is definitly there, and with the Hanks/Howard combo, I think it will be a huge success. Still, I think X3 is going to have the bigger opening weekend.
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  #457  
Old 05-14-2006, 09:24 PM
Only a miserable, pathetic $20 million for Poseidon, and it wasn't even the number one film at the box-office.

What a disaster. It deserves it.

Strider
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  #458  
Old 05-14-2006, 09:44 PM
Quote:
Originally posted by EDsoulsurvive*
I'm not sure how Da Vinci will do.
For what it's worth, Sony is expecting/predicting an opening between $60 million and $70 million.
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  #459  
Old 05-15-2006, 10:32 AM
M:I-3 hit 214 million worldwide, and should end up around 400. The 2nd biggest market in the workd, Japan, is a question mark, but a respectable 50+ million gross in there should raise it close to 400 million. Cruise movies always tend to do well in there.

Awful for Poseidon. It will never make a profit, not even with DVD. If it's lucky, it crawls to 50 million domestically and 150 million worldwide.
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  #460  
Old 05-15-2006, 10:33 AM
BTW, Da Vinci Code will be HUGE. Even here in Filnland the pre-sales are through the roof. Should hit at least 200 million domestically and 500 million worldwide. Might go much further than that.
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  #461  
Old 05-15-2006, 08:00 PM
I'm starting to think Da Vinci's opening will not disappoint. Everyone is talking about it; the buzz is definitly there.
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  #462  
Old 05-15-2006, 08:19 PM
Expect an openig in the lows 70's I have it pegged at 72 mil.

Highest it can go.

90 mil (dont see much more then that)

Lowest it can go.

40 mil (no way its getting under 40)
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  #463  
Old 05-15-2006, 09:41 PM
I predict The Da Vinci Code will open with $60-65 million.
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  #464  
Old 05-15-2006, 09:49 PM
Here is my predictions

1. See No Evil -$87 million
2. Over The Hedge- $64 Million
3..De Vinchi- $55 million.
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  #465  
Old 05-15-2006, 11:25 PM
Geez, I would never have expected POSEIDON to get panned that hard.

I think DA VINCI is going to be a big moneymaker, so long as the public isn't scared off by Hank's haircut. All of this "controversy" is pure poppycock (lord do I suddenly feel gayer having said that word), everyone and their Mom has had that book recommended to them over the last three years, it features an excellent cast and, unlike POSEIDON, an effective ad campaign. And if anything the "controversy" is going to spark more interest in the flick the same as it did for the book. It also has the advantage of being neither a sequel nor a remake, something unique among the summer releases this year.
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  #466  
Old 05-16-2006, 05:57 AM
Quote:
Originally posted by slasherfan
Here is my predictions

1. See No Evil -$87 million
I hope you're kidding, right?
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  #467  
Old 05-16-2006, 06:52 AM
Quote:
Originally posted by Monotreme
I hope you're kidding, right?
YES
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  #468  
Old 05-17-2006, 07:31 PM
does anyone else realize this film has made $217.5 million world-wide? Yeah only 89 million in the US but worldwide collection should cover the 150 million dollar budget and marketing. It was compared to Batman Begins opening, I think it will aswell, it wont be in the spotlight of #1 but will drag on to make the 150 back
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  #469  
Old 05-17-2006, 07:36 PM
Quote:
Originally posted by thebzzisback
does anyone else realize this film has made $217.5 million world-wide? Yeah only 89 million in the US but worldwide collection should cover the 150 million dollar budget and marketing. It was compared to Batman Begins opening, I think it will aswell, it wont be in the spotlight of #1 but will drag on to make the 150 back
I did know that about a week ago when it was posted on BOM, We all knew it was going to make its money back world-wide, but the piont is it's still a let down in the domestic box office.
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  #470  
Old 05-18-2006, 12:25 AM
MOST movies make their money back sooner or later, once you add up overseas recpeipts, DVD sales, and PPV rentals. Even THE ISLAND make back it's budget last year. But the domestic box office is still the acid test of a film's success in the eyes of a studio. They don't invest a hundred million dollars into a movie because they want middlin' profits over an eight month period, they expect huge cashflow in the first three weeks.

You know, the more Wolfgang Petersen movies I see, the more I'm thinking it's a good thing he never made SUPERMAN vs BATMAN. Although ENEMY MINE is still the shit. Is he really directing ENDER'S GAME? Lord help us.

Last edited by Ender; 05-18-2006 at 12:28 AM..
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  #471  
Old 05-18-2006, 05:43 AM
1. DaVinci Code- $38 Million
2. Over The Hedge- $18 Million
3. Poseidon- $13 Million
4. Mission Impossible 3- $10.5 Million
5. See No Evil- $8.4 Million
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  #472  
Old 05-18-2006, 07:49 AM
Quote:
Originally posted by XCoRyX
1. DaVinci Code- $38 Million
2. Over The Hedge- $18 Million
3. Poseidon- $13 Million
4. Mission Impossible 3- $10.5 Million
5. See No Evil- $8.4 Million
I hope this happens, See No Evil would be the only one to walk out a winner.



1.Over The Hedge- $64
2. Da Vinchi Code- $35
3. Mission Impossible 3- $15
4. Poseidon- $12
5. RV- $6
6. See No Evil- $4
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  #473  
Old 05-18-2006, 08:55 AM
Quote:
Originally posted by XCoRyX
1. DaVinci Code- $38 Million
2. Over The Hedge- $18 Million
3. Poseidon- $13 Million
4. Mission Impossible 3- $10.5 Million
5. See No Evil- $8.4 Million
Are these real guesses? Why are you lowballing Da Vinci and Hedge so much? Both of them are going to have those numbers by Saturday afternoon if not sooner. And Poseidon will fall much more than that. Word of mouth is going to be bad. It'll drop more than MI3. See No Evil is only in 1,100 theaters. It will be lucky to make half that. Sorry. Not trying to pick on you, but I think you are way, way off.
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  #474  
Old 05-18-2006, 10:16 AM
Da Vinci Code - $90 million
Over The Hedge - $60 million
See No Evil - who gives a fuck?
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  #475  
Old 05-18-2006, 07:13 PM
Quote:
Originally posted by Jon Lyrik
See No Evil - who gives a fuck? [/B]
ME!!!
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  #476  
Old 05-19-2006, 03:10 AM
Quote:
Originally posted by MadsenOMC
Are these real guesses? Why are you lowballing Da Vinci and Hedge so much? Both of them are going to have those numbers by Saturday afternoon if not sooner. And Poseidon will fall much more than that. Word of mouth is going to be bad. It'll drop more than MI3. See No Evil is only in 1,100 theaters. It will be lucky to make half that. Sorry. Not trying to pick on you, but I think you are way, way off.
hey its a message board thats why these things are made..i think the thing is i'm always predicting bigger openings and so many things are disappointing anymore that i've lowered my expectations alot more. Of course i'll be wrong, thats just the typical XCoRyX prediction ahaha.
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  #477  
Old 05-20-2006, 10:39 AM
According to moviecitynews, Sony will release a Friday estimate of at least $30 million today.
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  #478  
Old 05-20-2006, 11:30 AM
That's good news for the studio. Theatres in my area were not very crowded. I expected it to under perform. Then again, the multiplier should be somewhere between 2.5 and 3 right? Because it should be frontloaded. Still that puts the opening weekend between $75 and $90 million dollars.

But the bad reviews become a problem now. Because the opening weekend audience was probably seeing it regardless of reviews. Now word of mouth might kill any chance of legs.
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  #479  
Old 05-20-2006, 11:31 AM
Not bad for an incredibly boring movie , dunno what Ron Howard was thinking when he made this.
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  #480  
Old 05-20-2006, 11:35 AM
Friday Numbers (SBD)


1. DA VINCI CODE 30,134,000 8,068 30,134,000

2. OVER THE HEDGE 11,128,000 2,742 11,128,000

3. MISSION: IMPOSSIBLE 3 3,420,000 991 93,921,000

4. POSEIDON WARNER BROS. 2,986,000 840 29,381,000

5. SEE NO EVIL 1,653,000 1,315 1,653,000

6. RV SONY 2,925 1,350,000 462 n/a 46,163,000

7. JUST MY LUCK 1,121,000 441 7,902,000

8. AMERICAN HAUNTING 543,000 429 12,222,000

9. UNITED 93 430,000 329 26,983,000

10. STICK IT 300,000 273 22,996,000
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