#7921  
Old 10-23-2011, 12:43 AM
Might ? More like they are writing the script already.

Doesn't appear to be any PA fatigue setting in. Most likely we'll get another 3 at least
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  #7922  
Old 10-30-2011, 01:42 PM
Weekend Estimates

1. Puss in Boots- $34 million
2. Paranormal Activity 3- $18.5 million
3. In Time- $12 million
4. Footloose- $5.4 million
5. The Rum Diary- $5 million
6. Real Steel- $4.7 million
7. The Three Musketeers- $3.5 million
8. The Ides of March- $2.7 million
9. Moneyball- $2.4 million
10. Courageous- $1.8 million
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  #7923  
Old 10-30-2011, 01:59 PM
You have to wonder if Dreamworks' decision to release Puss a week earlier was the right one. On the one hand they do indeed have an extra week to make bank before all of the family films release at the end of November, but with the World Series, Halloween activities, and the crazy weather in the northeast the film definitely opened weak.

That being said, I wouldn't be surprised if the film has a relatively low drop next weekend. There will be NO competition in the family market between Tower Heist and Harold & Kumar 3, so I could see a lot of families waiting to see Puss while they go to Halloween parties, etc.
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  #7924  
Old 11-06-2011, 04:04 PM
Weekend Estimates

1. Puss in Boots- $33 million
2. Tower Heist- $25.1 million
3. A Very Harold & Kumar 3D Christmas- $13.1 million
4. Paranormal Activity 3- $8.6 million
5. In Time- $7.7 million
6. Footloose- $4.6 million
7. Real Steel- $3.4 million
8. The Rum Diary- $3 million
9. The Ides of March- $2 million
10. Moneyball- $1.9 million

Incredible hold for Puss in Boots (only down 3%). A bit underwhelming for Tower Heist, but it should have decent holds. Harold and Kumar opened to less than the last one, which is surprising given the 3D and Christmas aspects. It will probably hold better than the last one, since people may want to see it as Christmas approaches.

Last edited by Bourne101; 11-06-2011 at 04:09 PM..
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  #7925  
Old 11-13-2011, 11:18 AM
Weekend Estimates

1. Immortals- $32 million
2. Jack and Jill- $26 million
3. Puss in Boots- $25.5 million
4. Tower Heist- $13.2 million
5. J. Edgar- $11.5 million
6. A Very Harold & Kumar 3D Christmas- $5.9 million
7. In Time- $4.2 million
8. Paranormal Activity 3- $3.6 million
9. Footloose- $2.7 million
10. Real Steel- $2 million

Pretty strong for Immortals (much higher than I expected). However, a steep drop after a big $15 million Friday is a sign that it is going to fall hard in the weeks to come. Jack and Jill did about what I expected. It should fall short of the usual Sandler $100 million, but it will probably come close with strong holds throughout the holidays. Puss in Boots has turned out to be something of a monster. We will see how it holds when it goes up against some stiff direct competition in the next few weeks (Happy Feet, The Muppets, Arthur Christmas, Hugo). Tower Heist didn't hold quite as well as I thought it would and the bad week continues for Ratner. J. Edgar had a healthy PTA in less than 2000 theatres. It should make back its $35 million budget. Harold and Kumar dropped pretty hard, and doesn't look to have any staying power throughout the holidays. It's a shame since it's actually pretty damn funny.
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  #7926  
Old 11-13-2011, 03:07 PM
Immortals is another rider of the Spartacus bandwagon just like Game of Thrones.

Glad that Jack and Jill underperformed.
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  #7927  
Old 11-20-2011, 11:06 AM
Weekend estimates:

Quote:
1. The Twilight Saga: Breaking Dawn Part 1 $139,500,000
2. Happy Feet Two $22,025,000
3. Immortals $12,252,000 -62.0% ($52,980,000)
4. Jack and Jill $12,000,000 -52.0% ($41,028,000)
5. Puss in Boots $10,725,000 -56.6% ($122,313,000)
6. Tower Heist $7,000,000 -45.2% ($53,434,000)
7. J. Edgar $5,900,000 -47.4% ($20,695,000)
8. A Very Harold & Kumar 3D Christmas $2,900,000 -51.0% ($28,333,000)
9. Paranormal Activity $1,000,000 -72.3% ($102,619,000)
10. Footloose (2011) $835,000 -69.4% ($50,141,000)
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  #7928  
Old 11-20-2011, 12:37 PM
Obviously, great for Twilight, though the lower opening than New Moon indicates that this franchise isn't gaining any fan base. It'll be lucky to hit $300 million, especially since there are so many movies coming out within the next month. Terrible for Happy Feet Two. I actually thought the first movie was OK, but I have no interest in revisiting that world. Looks like others had the same feeling. Immortals dropped like a rock. Jack and Jill didn't hold very well. Puss in Boots had its first significant drop and it was a steep one. It'll probably drop hard next weekend as well. J. Edgar didn't hold very well and will probably finish with Invictus numbers.

While The Descendants hasn't been reported yet, I expect it will come in at #9.
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  #7929  
Old 11-25-2011, 09:00 AM
Wednesday Estimates

1. The Twilight Saga: Breaking Dawn - Part 1- $12.5 million
2. The Muppets- $6.6 million
3. Happy Feet 2- $2.9 million
4. Arthur Christmas- $2.4 million
5. Jack and Jill- $1.9 million
6. Immortals- $1.8 million
7. Hugo- $1.7 million
8. Puss in Boots- $1.6 million
9. Tower Heist- $1.2 million
10. The Descendants- $985,000

Thursday Estimates

1. The Twilight Saga: Breaking Dawn - Part 1- $7.8 million
2. The Muppets- $5.9 million
3. Hugo- $2.4 million
4. Happy Feet 2- $2.1 million
5. Immortals- $1.9 million
6. Jack and Jill- $1.9 million
7. Arthur Christmas- $1.9 million
8. Tower Heist- $1.5 million
9. Puss in Boots- $1.3 million
10. The Descendants- $1.1 million

So while everything else is dropping like a motherfucker on Thursday, Hugo has a significant increase, coming in at #3 and it's only in 1200 theatres. I don't know if WOM has ever worked so quickly.

Last edited by Bourne101; 11-25-2011 at 12:33 PM..
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  #7930  
Old 11-25-2011, 03:54 PM
That's an encouraging sign for Hugo, but that huge budget still puts a damper on things.
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  #7931  
Old 11-25-2011, 04:44 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Lazy Boy View Post
That's an encouraging sign for Hugo, but that huge budget still puts a damper on things.
Indeed the budget is huge, but I can definitely see Hugo having strong legs throughout the Holiday season, and I could even see it opening in more theatres. It is a truly fantastic film, and I think once awards nominations start getting handed out and Hugo does pretty well in that department the box office will increase even more.

I'm also glad The Muppets is doing well. It's a very enjoyable film.
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  #7932  
Old 11-27-2011, 12:09 PM
3-Day Weekend Estimates

1. The Twilight Saga: Breaking Dawn - Part 1- $42 million
2. The Muppets- $29.5 million
3. Happy Feet Two- $13.4 million
4. Arthur Christmas- $12.7 million
5. Hugo- $11.4 million
6. Jack and Jill- $10.3 million
7. Immortals- $8.8 million
8. Puss in Boots- $7.5 million
9. Tower Heist- $7.3 million
10. The Descendants- $7.2 million

5-Day Thanksgiving Weekend Estimates

1. The Twilight Saga: Breaking Dawn - Part 1- $62.3 million
2. The Muppets- $42 million
3. Happy Feet Two- $18.3 million
4. Arthur Christmas- $17 million
5. Hugo- $15.5 million
6. Jack and Jill- $14.1 million
7. Immortals- $12.5 million
8. Puss in Boots- $10.4 million
9. Tower Heist- $10.2 million
10. The Descendants- $9.3 million

Pretty great for Hugo, especially since it is only in 1200 theatres. The Descendants is looking like it is going to break out.
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  #7933  
Old 11-27-2011, 12:51 PM
that's a good opening of The Muppets considering that's probably what Muppets From Space made in its run back in 96
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  #7934  
Old 11-27-2011, 04:04 PM
yep. The Muppets will have the godlike small drops and hit over 100 million. It could even stay in the top 5 with the weak movies coming out next week.
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  #7935  
Old 12-11-2011, 11:38 AM
Weekend Estimates

1. New Year's Eve- $13.7 million
2. The Sitter- $10 million
3. The Twilight Saga: Breaking Dawn Part 1- $7.9 million
4. The Muppets- $7.1 million
5. Arthur Christmas- $6.6 million
6. Hugo- $6.1 million
7. The Descendants- $4.8 million
8. Happy Feet Two- $3.8 million
9. Jack and Jill- $3.2 million
10. Immortals- $2.4 million

Holy fucking bomb for New Year's Eve. The Sitter also didn't do so well, but has a measly budget.
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  #7936  
Old 12-11-2011, 01:41 PM
Yeah. New Year's Eve actually did worse than Narnia last year. That's just incredible.
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  #7937  
Old 12-11-2011, 01:55 PM
Happy Feet 2 didn't do as great as the first one. Jack and Jill still at the top 10. Shameful isn't it?
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  #7938  
Old 12-11-2011, 08:22 PM
So happy that New Year's Eve underperformed. Looked insufferable.
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  #7939  
Old 12-18-2011, 04:19 PM
I was like at Mission Impossible's numbers then I realized it only opened in a few hundred theaters.
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  #7940  
Old 12-18-2011, 05:59 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by MovieBuff07 View Post
I was like at Mission Impossible's numbers then I realized it only opened in a few hundred theaters.
Same here. Its numbers are actually very impressive considering its limited release.
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  #7941  
Old 12-18-2011, 08:20 PM
Mission Impossible will be number one next weekend because it has the best reviews out there and it looks really fun.
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  #7942  
Old 12-22-2011, 05:25 PM
(Very Delayed) Weekend Estimates

1. Sherlock Holmes: A Game of Shadows- $39.6 million
2. Alvin and the Chipmunks: Chipwrecked- $23.2 million
3. Mission: Impossible - Ghost Protocol- $12.8 million
4. New Year's Eve- $7.3 million
5. The Sitter- $4.6 million
6. The Twilight Saga: Breaking Dawn Part 1- $4.2 million
7. Hugo- $3.7 million
8. Arthur Christmas- $3.6 million
9. The Muppets- $3.5 million
10. Young Adult- $3.4 million

Well, the slump continues. Poor outings for Sherlock and Alvin. However, MI's huge take in only 400 IMAX theatres provides a bit of optimism for Christmas box-office.

Wednesday Estimates

1. Mission: Impossible - Ghost Protocol- $8.9 million
2. The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo- $5.1 million
3. Sherlock Holmes: A Game of Shadows- $4.3 million
4. Alvin and the Chipmunks: Chipwrecked- $3.5 million
5. The Adventures of Tintin- $2.3 million
6. New Year's Eve- $1 million
7. Arthur Christmas- $667,892
8. The Muppets- $586,401
9. The Sitter- $553,978
10. The Twilight Saga: Breaking Dawn Part 1- $515,186

Well, that's quite good for MI, and Dragon Tattoo's number is comparable to True Grit's number on the same day last year. Sherlock continues to struggle and while Alvin is having solid weekday holds, it's still not performing very well. Tintin is also putting up pretty weak numbers, indicating that it's more of an overseas thing.

This weekend brings us We Bought a Zoo, The Darkest Hour, and War Horse. Zoo could end up being a sleeper hit, but is has no chance of putting up MI type numbers. War Horse could compete with MI, but it's only being released in 2300 theatres (seriously, who the fuck made this decision), so it looks like MI is going to be the big one this holiday season.
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  #7943  
Old 12-22-2011, 10:54 PM
Glad to see the Mission Impossible bounce back up since the third film, from what I remember, under performed for some reason.
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  #7944  
Old 12-23-2011, 09:53 PM
Thursday Estimates

1. Mission Impossible: Ghost Protocol- $6.4 million
2. Sherlock Holmes: A Game of Shadows- $4.7 million
3. Alvin and the Chipmunks: Chipwrecked- $3.9 million
4. The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo- $3.4 million
5. The Adventures of Tintin- $2.4 million

Well that is slightly disappointing for Dragon Tattoo, even of its drop from Wednesday is small considering the Wednesday number includes Tuesday 7PM numbers. With an A Cinemascore, however, I can see it picking up and holding strong as the holidays progress.
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  #7945  
Old 12-24-2011, 11:56 AM
Friday estimates

1. Mission Impossible: Ghost Protocol - 9.7 mil
2. Sherlock Holmes: A Game of Shadows - 6.7 mil
3. Alvin and the Chipmunks: Chip-wrecked - 5.4 mil
4. The Girl With the Dragon Tattoo - 4.6 mil
5. The Adventures of Tintin - 3.5 mil
6. We Bought a Zoo - 3 mil
7. New Year's Eve - 1.3 mil
8. Arthur Christmas - 1 mil
9. The Muppets - .95 mil
10. Hugo - .7 mil

Tattoo went up a little bit. I don't know at this stage if it will build on WOM or live up to the publicity hype (even with the "A" cinemascore). Christmas Eve and Day are usually terrible for box office. Tintin is disappointing domestically, but doing well internationally so it will be okay. Zoo opened with a thud, despite the two attempts at sneaking it and the incessant "heartwarming" TV ads. I sort of knew it when I saw the sneak two weeks ago and the theater was, how shall I put it gently, less than half full.

Last edited by Lazy Boy; 12-24-2011 at 12:05 PM..
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  #7946  
Old 12-24-2011, 12:06 PM
Not a great increase for Tattoo. I'll wait for its Christmas Day number before drawing too many conclusions though.
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  #7947  
Old 12-24-2011, 02:02 PM
Not good for The Adventures of Tintin. Alvin and The Chipmunks at #3 spot, WTF? Tom Cruise's lastest won't surprise me if there's another Mission Impossible sequel greenlit. Memo to Guy Ritchie:enough of Sherlock Holmes and bring us that RocknRolla sequel!
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  #7948  
Old 12-24-2011, 09:32 PM
Go Mission: Impossible. I wish the best for Girl with the Dragon Tattoo (looks good for it so far) and I wish Tintin were doing better (it's quite a wonderful film), but honestly, I'm just happy if people are going out in droves to see the most entertaining film of the year. Ghost Protocol should re-set a standard for blockbuster action movies which has unfortunately slipped quite drastically these past few years, and people going out and responding to its excellence is only a good thing. I also personally think that true, 15-perf IMAX should be the future of cinema, and not 3D, so as long as films like Ghost Protocol validate that point, perhaps Hollywood types will see the light.
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  #7949  
Old 12-25-2011, 01:57 PM
Weekend estimates:

Quote:
1. Mission: Impossible - Ghost Protocol $26,535,000 +107.5% ($58,970,000)
2. Sherlock Holmes: A Game of Shadows $17,800,000 -55.1% ($76,554,000)
3. Alvin and the Chipmunks: Chipwrecked $13,325,000 -42.7% ($50,265,000)
4. The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo $13,000,000 ($21,400,000)
5. The Adventures of Tintin $9,125,000 ($17,132,000)
6. We Bought a Zoo $7,800,000
7. New Year's Eve $3,005,000 -58.9% ($32,342,000)
8. Arthur Christmas $2,700,000 -24.0% ($44,200,000)
9. The Twilight Saga: Breaking Dawn Part 1 $2,100,000 -50.0% ($270,900,000)
10. Hugo $2,025,000 -45.4% ($43,652,000)
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  #7950  
Old 12-25-2011, 04:59 PM
While on the surface those numbers look miserable, keep in mind that Christmas Eve is a notoriously shitty day for box-office. When Christmas Eve falls on a Saturday, the films tend to have an increase on the next weekend from their Christmas weekend total. A prime example of this would be back in 2005 when Fun with Dick and Jane opened to a disappointing $14 million, but went on to gross $110 million.

Also, while Dragon Tattoo is putting up disappointing numbers so far, it did increase from Saturday to Sunday by 133%, which made it top Alvin. No other film (other than NYE) came even close to increasing by that much. Tintin only increased by 32%.
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  #7951  
Old 12-25-2011, 06:17 PM
I'd also like to add that I'm happy to see Tinker Tailor Soldier Spy doing very well in limited release - and the same goes for Pina, which I haven't seen yet but am really excited to sometime soon.
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  #7952  
Old 12-25-2011, 08:15 PM
I'm actually hoping the Girl with the Dragon Tattoo doesn't make THAT much money at the box office. If its a huge success then that means that Fincher will be directing two more of those fuckin films when he should be doing Black Hole or 20,000 Leagues (I've given up on him doing Rendezvous with Rama).
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  #7953  
Old 12-25-2011, 11:31 PM
So The Darkest Hour didn't even make the top 10? Ouch!
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  #7954  
Old 12-25-2011, 11:55 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by ilovemovies View Post
So The Darkest Hour didn't even make the top 10? Ouch!
Both The Darkest Hour and War Horse opened on Sunday, and weekend estimates are computed based on only Friday/Saturday #s and what the films are expected to make on Sunday.

Thus neither of those films yet have reported grosses and wouldn't be included on that list.
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  #7955  
Old 12-26-2011, 12:11 AM
Oh, yeah. I forgot they opened today. I don't know why I forgot about War Horse considering that it's a film I'm extremely looking forward to and think it looks fantastic.
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  #7956  
Old 12-26-2011, 02:44 PM
I'm not that worried about Tin Tin's numbers because the movie has already made a boatload of money overseas. Surprisingly, it opened in the U.S. after most other countries. That's rare as hell, right?
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  #7957  
Old 12-26-2011, 03:00 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by ilovemovies View Post
Oh, yeah. I forgot they opened today. I don't know why I forgot about War Horse considering that it's a film I'm extremely looking forward to and think it looks fantastic.
The Darkest Hour is estimated to make 5.5 million between Sunday and Monday. War Horse is estimated to make 15 million between Sunday and Monday, which is quite good. I expect War Horse to do similar business to True Grit last year. And yes, it is fantastic as far as I'm concerned.
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  #7958  
Old 12-28-2011, 04:19 PM
4 Day Weekend Actuals

1. Mission: Impossible - Ghost Protocol- $44.1 million
2. Sherlock Holmes: A Game of Shadows- $31 million
3. Alvin and the Chipmunks: Chipwrecked- $19.5 million
4. The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo- $19.5 million
5. The Adventures of Tintin- $15.1 million
6. We Bought a Zoo- $14.6 million
7. War Horse- $14.5 million
8. New Year's Eve- $5.2 million
9. The Darkest Hour- $5.1 million
10. Hugo- $3.3 million

No surprises here based on the 3 day estimates, but it is notable that War Horse made almost $15 million in two days. That's very good, especially considering it's only in 2300 theatres.

Tuesday Estimates

1. Mission: Impossible - Ghost Protocol- $9.6 million
2. Sherlock Holmes: A Game of Shadows- $7.3 million
3. Alvin and the Chipmunks: Chipwrecked- $6.8 million
4. The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo- $4.7 million
5. The Adventures of Tintin- $4.6 million
6. We Bought a Zoo- $4.3 million
7. War Horse- $4.2 million
8. New Year's Eve- $1.7 million
9. The Darkest Hour- $1.5 million
10. The Muppets- $1 million

Quite a few people seem to be counting out Dragon Tattoo and saying it will finish with $60-70 million. That's nonsense. I'd say it's on pace for $90-100 million and maybe more depending on WOM. It'll have nearly $40 million by the end of tomorrow, and will make $15+ million on the weekend, so that already brings it to approximately $55 million. As kids and teens go back to school, Alvin, Sherlock, and Zoo will fall. There are some adult films coming out in January, but none will have the WOM that DT has (except maybe The Grey, which I hear it fantastic). It might not be the $200 million hit that some expected, but in hindsight, that was a ridiculous expectation. We're in the midst of a pretty huge box-office slump and it's not a tough film to swallow, especially around Christmas.

Oh, and War Horse had a pretty big drop, but that may have something to do with its release date. It'll probably pick up on the weekend.

Last edited by Bourne101; 12-29-2011 at 05:43 PM..
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  #7959  
Old 12-29-2011, 05:45 PM
Wednesday Estimates

1. Mission: Impossible - Ghost Protocol- $8.5 million
2. Alvin and the Chipmunks: Chipwrecked- $6.6 million
3. Sherlock Holmes: A Game of Shadows- $6.5 million
4. The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo- $4.2 million
5. The Adventures of Tintin- $4.1 million
6. We Bought a Zoo- $4 million
7. War Horse- $3.7 million
8. New Year's Eve- $1.7 million
9. The Darkest Hour- $1.3 million
10. The Muppets- $1 million
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  #7960  
Old 12-30-2011, 02:03 PM
Thursday Numbers

1. Mission: Impossible - Ghost Protocol- $8.2 million
2. Alvin and the Chipmunks: Chipwrecked- $6.5 million
3. Sherlock Holmes: A Game of Shadows- $6.3 million
4. The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo- $4.2 million
5. The Adventures of Tintin- $4.1 million
6. We Bought a Zoo- $4 million
7. War Horse- $3.6 million
8. New Year's Eve- $1.8 million
9. The Darkest Hour- $1.2 million
10. The Muppets- $1 million
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