#2281  
Old 07-01-2007, 10:43 AM
1. $47,227,000 Ratatouille $47,227,000
2. $33,150,000 Live Free or Die Hard $48,178,000

http://boxofficemojo.com/weekend/cha...wknd=26&p=.htm
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  #2282  
Old 07-01-2007, 11:13 AM
Rataouille performed on the lower end of exceptations, but this was always a hard sell because the premise isn't really that exciting. It should have strong legs.

Very good for DH4, after meh opening day it has performed really well and might go over 110 million domestically (The budget was 110 million). Worldwide it might go for 400 million.

Even Almight is flopping terribly, when the budget is considered.

1408 had a good sub 50% drop, horror movies are fronloaded by nature so it's doing good. A great success with a 25 million budget, should finish close to 60 million.

FF had another bad drop. It will make a small profit, but the studio is uniikely to continue the franchise.

Knocked Up had another great drop. It's reaching for a close to 150 million finish.
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  #2283  
Old 07-01-2007, 12:38 PM
Ratatouille didn't increase at all over Sat-Sun as I expected it to. Of course $47 million will be called disappointing by those comparing other Pixar releases, but I hope it manages good legs because it looks like a great film.

Very nice for Die Hard. Solid holds all weekend indicate good word of mouth already catching on. Now the question is whether it will be completely destroyed by Transformers, and I'm thinking it might take a good hit but it should keep kickin'.

With a Vengeance opened to $22 million in 1995, which adjusted for inflation would be roughly $30 million today. So Die Hard remains as popular as it was years ago, and the PG-13 rating sure didn't hurt the film.

Fantastic Four is in one hell of a free fall. It should wind up with around $135 million.
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  #2284  
Old 07-01-2007, 12:47 PM
Quote:
Originally posted by gyro_44
Very nice for Die Hard. Solid holds all weekend indicate good word of mouth already catching on. Now the question is whether it will be completely destroyed by Transformers, and I'm thinking it might take a good hit but it should keep kickin'.
Just like McClane himself.
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  #2285  
Old 07-01-2007, 04:24 PM
Kind of disappointing for Ratatouille. I was sure it would make 50+ million. I guess the premise just isn't that interesting to all people. I am sure as hell looking forward to see it though.

Live Free or Die Hard is kicking ass, just like the actual movie does, and I don't think Transformers will take it out that badly. Most people will see both, and remember, the concept of Transformers probably doesn't have as much of an appeal as Die Hard. Just my opinion though.
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  #2286  
Old 07-01-2007, 04:31 PM

Die Hard actually didn't come out swinging as hard as I thought it would. Seems like it underperformed. On the other hand I'm glad 1408 has done so well for itself. It will be making a much deserved profit. Well thats all for now GOoD JOURNEY my fellow schmoes.
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  #2287  
Old 07-02-2007, 04:08 AM
I think a lot of Die Hard fans (more than one meaning there) stayed away from the PG-13 rating; I still enjoyed the movie a lot despite it. And I think word of mouth will help it since fans are enjoying it. Here's hoping the holiday week helps it out. I hope it does well.
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  #2288  
Old 07-02-2007, 04:27 AM
Quote:
Originally posted by Bourne101
Kind of disappointing for Ratatouille. I was sure it would make 50+ million. I guess the premise just isn't that interesting to all people. I am sure as hell looking forward to see it though.

.

I think its just too many movies at once.

Why they pack the hits so close together i have no idea.

Die Hard and Ratatouille last week, Trasnformers this week, and Harry Potter next. All aiming for about that PG-13 crowd.
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  #2289  
Old 07-02-2007, 04:31 AM
Box Office Smells a Rat


Fox's Live Free or Die Hard, starring Bruce Willis, took in $9.1 million when it premiered on Wednesday -- good, but hardly overwhelming -- leading box-office analysts to predict that the stand-out movie this weekend will be the new Disney cartoon starring a rodent whose name is Remy, not Mickey. There is wide disagreement among them about how much Ratatouille is likely to earn, with many expecting it to be the lowest-grossing movie for a Pixar movie ever, falling below last year's Cars, which debuted with $60.1 million.


ratty is getting some of pixars best reviews.but most argee it will make less then a bugs life.and they put that down to the more "adult "storyline.as for die hard i haven`t seen it but i thought it might do as well as mission impossible 3 so who knows may`be $120-130 mill in the US which is ok it will make it the highest grossing dh plus it will get its budget of $110 mill back.then with overseas and dvd it should do ok.but i think the pg13 rating really did hurt it abit.
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  #2290  
Old 07-02-2007, 05:29 AM
Considering how much better Ratatouille is then Cars, it will be a travesty if it doesn't at least match Cars' domestic gross. But I can't see it happening with Transformers in one week and Harry Potter in two, Ratatouille is a completely different movie, but the other two are going to draw in too much audience for it to happen.
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  #2291  
Old 07-02-2007, 09:57 AM

I think Ratatouille was dead before it even started. I don't think the marketing for it was the best and yeah I could see it becoming Pixar's lowest grossing movie even before the box office totals were in. Maybe the budget wasn't too much though. Well thats all for now GOoD JOURNEY my fellow schmoes.
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  #2292  
Old 07-02-2007, 10:25 AM
I have a feeling that Ratatouille will not be the lowest grossing pixar movie ever. Besides Harry Potter (which really isn't a kids movie anyway), there are really no other kids movies being released this summer. It should have strong holds each week and should surpass A Bug's Life, which grossed 163 million domestically. If it really pulls its socks up it may be able to surpass the first Toy Story as well. I think it will definitely pass A Bug's Life, and has a small chance of passing Toy Story.
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  #2293  
Old 07-02-2007, 11:01 AM
I don't think the PG13 hurt DH 4 at all , it may have helped sell a lot more DVD's though as you just know there will be a directors cut with all the cursing etc. One way or another this movie will be a money maker for the studio which means....DH 5 in a year or 2 , its inevitable.
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  #2294  
Old 07-02-2007, 11:01 AM
Double post
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  #2295  
Old 07-02-2007, 02:57 PM
So far Spidey 3 is tops this "summer".
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  #2296  
Old 07-03-2007, 01:08 PM
Monday numbers:

1. TRANSFORMERS PARAMOUNT 8,880,000
2. RATATOUILLE 7,560,000
3. LIVE FREE OR DIE HARD 4,205,000
4. EVAN ALMIGHTY 2,150,000
5. 1408 1,560,000
6. FANTASTIC FOUR: RISE OF THE SILVER SURFER 1,185,000
7. KNOCKED UP 1,080,000
8. OCEAN'S THIRTEEN WARNER 790,000
9. PIRATES OF THE CARIBBEAN: AT WORLD'S END 745,000
10. SICKO 605,000

The Transformers number is quite good, seeing as how there were only 8pm showings (ala Pirates, which made $13.2 million with its similar opening). I believe that number doesn't include midnight showings, which will counted toward Tuesday's gross. I would guess AT LEAST $18-20 million for Transformers today, but I wonder how extremely frontloaded this could be? Seems like the fanboy geek-gasm movie of the year.

Rataouille also had a great day, probably in large part due to Canada Day up here.
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  #2297  
Old 07-03-2007, 01:37 PM
I'm anxious to see how big transformers is and how die hard does this upcoming weekend.
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  #2298  
Old 07-03-2007, 01:40 PM
Quote:
Originally posted by gyro_44
Monday numbers:

1. TRANSFORMERS PARAMOUNT 8,880,000
2. RATATOUILLE 7,560,000
3. LIVE FREE OR DIE HARD 4,205,000
4. EVAN ALMIGHTY 2,150,000
5. 1408 1,560,000
6. FANTASTIC FOUR: RISE OF THE SILVER SURFER 1,185,000
7. KNOCKED UP 1,080,000
8. OCEAN'S THIRTEEN WARNER 790,000
9. PIRATES OF THE CARIBBEAN: AT WORLD'S END 745,000
10. SICKO 605,000

The Transformers number is quite good, seeing as how there were only 8pm showings (ala Pirates, which made $13.2 million with its similar opening). I believe that number doesn't include midnight showings, which will counted toward Tuesday's gross. I would guess AT LEAST $18-20 million for Transformers today, but I wonder how extremely frontloaded this could be? Seems like the fanboy geek-gasm movie of the year.

Rataouille also had a great day, probably in large part due to Canada Day up here.
Transformers should make around 18 million today, 12 million tomorrow and 8 million on Thursday for a 3 day + pre-show total of about 47 million. Could be less though. I could see it making around 14 or 15 million today.


Last edited by Bourne101; 07-03-2007 at 01:45 PM..
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  #2299  
Old 07-03-2007, 02:57 PM
boxofficemojo.com actually has Transformers at 8.1 million. I know it's not a big difference, but it is a difference.
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  #2300  
Old 07-03-2007, 05:40 PM
Quote:
Originally posted by Bourne101
Transformers should make around 18 million today, 12 million tomorrow and 8 million on Thursday for a 3 day + pre-show total of about 47 million. Could be less though. I could see it making around 14 or 15 million today.
I think you could be seriously underestimating the movie. The Tuesday number could be as high as $25 or $30 million, and I wouldn't be shocked.

But I do think it will be very frontloaded. We will see how frontloaded soon.
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  #2301  
Old 07-03-2007, 07:20 PM
Quote:
Originally posted by gyro_44
I think you could be seriously underestimating the movie. The Tuesday number could be as high as $25 or $30 million, and I wouldn't be shocked.
There is no way the Tuesday number will be that high. No way. I think my 18 million prediction for today is almost spot on. I guess we will see tomorrow.
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  #2302  
Old 07-04-2007, 09:35 AM
Early Transformers Tuesday projections have it in the $28-31 million range.

So it this holds true, it's a monster.
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  #2303  
Old 07-04-2007, 09:43 AM
Quote:
Originally posted by gyro_44
Early Transformers Tuesday projections have it in the $28-31 million range.

So it this holds true, it's a monster.
That is fucked! But we will have to see if it is true. If so, this movie is going to make some serious bank.
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  #2304  
Old 07-04-2007, 09:59 AM
Does anyone else find it utterly mind boggling that Evan Almighty cost more to make then Transformers did?
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  #2305  
Old 07-04-2007, 10:10 AM
Quote:
Originally posted by Shockwave
Does anyone else find it utterly mind boggling that Evan Almighty cost more to make then Transformers did?
Lol, yeah.
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  #2306  
Old 07-04-2007, 11:16 AM
Quote:
Originally posted by Shockwave
Does anyone else find it utterly mind boggling that Evan Almighty cost more to make then Transformers did?
My mind is indeed boggled.

I'm surprised Transformers is listed at $150 million. Would have thought at least $180-200 million. I think some of these studios are fudging their budget numbers.
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  #2307  
Old 07-04-2007, 11:18 AM
Oh, and Paramount has released their official estimate for Tranformers' Tuesday:

$27.4 million
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  #2308  
Old 07-04-2007, 11:43 AM
Quote:
Originally posted by gyro_44
My mind is indeed boggled.

I'm surprised Transformers is listed at $150 million. Would have thought at least $180-200 million. I think some of these studios are fudging their budget numbers.
That was my thoughts as well.
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  #2309  
Old 07-04-2007, 12:22 PM
Tuesday Estimates

1. Transformers- $27.5 million
2. Ratatouille- $8 million
3. Live Free or Die Hard- $4.5 million
4. License to Wed- $2.21 million
5. Evan Almighty- $2.2 million
6. 1408- $1.5 million
7. Knocked Up- $1.1 million
8. Fantastic Four: Rise of the Silver Surfer- $1 million
9. Ocean's Thirteen- $.9 million
10. Sicko- $.8 million

I underestimated Transformers, but I am not sure how fast it will fall. I would expect similar numbers today as it is July 4th. Ratatouille is showing that it will be sticking around and its underwhelming first weekend didn't really mean all that much. Live Free or Die Hard still continues to kick ass even in the presence of the Transformers. License to Wed is pretty much a failure, although it made more than I thought it would.

It will be interesting to see how Transformers can keep up.
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  #2310  
Old 07-04-2007, 12:24 PM
Im glad Rat and Die Hard are doing well, both rocked.

Im wondering how Harry Potter is going to effect things.
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  #2311  
Old 07-04-2007, 12:26 PM

That opening day for Transformers is phenomenal. For a Tuesday anyways. I take back what I said about Ratatouille. It might actually end up banking more than A Bug's Life. Maybe I underestimated it. Well thats all for now GOoD JOURNEY my fellow schmoes.
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  #2312  
Old 07-04-2007, 12:34 PM
Quote:
Originally posted by Shockwave
Im wondering how Harry Potter is going to effect things.
I'm not really sure. It will most likely take away some business from Transformers. I expect it to have an opening day of around 30-35 million. It will hold up longer than Transformers too.
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  #2313  
Old 07-04-2007, 01:32 PM
Obviously great for Transformers. While most movies generally increase on July 4, I wouldn't expect it to maintain that high number. It might drop to $22-23 million or so.

Happy to see Rat and Die Hard holding on.

And why is no one commenting on Liscense to Wed? Hmmm, I wonder... maybe because it's DOA?
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  #2314  
Old 07-04-2007, 02:47 PM
I almost had a heart attack when I saw that figure.
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  #2315  
Old 07-04-2007, 03:05 PM
Glad to see Transformers doing well. I was so pissed at how everyone on this board would always underestimate it's grossing power, acting as if everyone holds the blind hatred to Bay that many people on here do.
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  #2316  
Old 07-04-2007, 03:16 PM
Quote:
Originally posted by LordSimen
Glad to see Transformers doing well. I was so pissed at how everyone on this board would always underestimate it's grossing power, acting as if everyone holds the blind hatred to Bay that many people on here do.
It is doing well, but it has only been out for one day. We will have to see how it holds up to see if it has the grossing power that it looks like it is going to have.
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  #2317  
Old 07-04-2007, 03:23 PM
Quote:
Originally posted by LordSimen
Glad to see Transformers doing well. I was so pissed at how everyone on this board would always underestimate it's grossing power, acting as if everyone holds the blind hatred to Bay that many people on here do.
I doubt most people even care who directed it, as much as its TRANSFORMERS.

Im shocked by the number of people ive talked to that think SPIELBERG did it.
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  #2318  
Old 07-04-2007, 03:24 PM
Quote:
Originally posted by Shockwave
I doubt most people even care who directed it, as much as its TRANSFORMERS.

Im shocked by the number of people ive talked to that think SPIELBERG did it.
Exactly. So many people were saying "Transformers is gonna bomb, it's gonna do horrible" yet no one took into account that it's the freakin' Transformers, a franchise that's been vastly populary since the 80's and many people grew up on them. It's going to do well. Right now looks like it's even going to do better than well.
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  #2319  
Old 07-04-2007, 07:57 PM
i thought it transformers might gross 70 mill in its 1st 3 days but if it keeps this up might be just under 80 mill.

i`m happy dh4 is sticking around.robin williams needs to go back on the booze because his movies since he`s been of have been crap.

Last edited by yorrick brown; 07-04-2007 at 08:09 PM..
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  #2320  
Old 07-05-2007, 01:43 AM
Quote:
Originally posted by Shockwave
Im shocked by the number of people ive talked to that think SPIELBERG did it.

Oh god I wish Spielberg directed this movie. The movie would have been SO much cooler if he had.


I'm glad Die Hard is hanging on. I really help it continues to have legs. And while Transformers will MOST DEFINITELY beat it this week, I hope Die Hard will beat it overall and have better legs. I have to say, I wouldn't mind seeing Transformers drop like a rock after it's first week. And it might too since it goes up against Harry Potter next week.
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