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Expert predicts Star Wars: Episode VII will gross approximately $1.2 billion worldwide

Jul. 9, 2013by:

After the piss-poor opening weekend for THE LONE RANGER, every media outlet has been shouting about the JOHN CARTER level failure of Disney's latest project. But, as experts have predicted, Disney has barely batted an eyelash. Why is the studio so comfortable? Three answers: Pixar, Marvel, STAR WARS.

While it may be more than $150 million in losses on THE LONE RANGER, the prospects for STAR WARS: EPISODE VII and beyond far outweigh this one bump in the road. Variety says that Wall Street investors have looked at the success of both IRON MAN 3 and MONSTERS UNIVERSITY to balance out THE LONE RANGER's losses. Couple that with this prediction for 2015:

Credit Suisses Michael Senno expects Disney to generate around $733 million in profits from the seventh Star Wars, out in summer 2015. Film is expected to generate around $1.2 billion in global theatrical receipts, and more from consumer products and other revenue, Senno said. As a result, Senno set a new target price of $74 for Disneys stock to eventually reach, helping boost shares on Monday.

While those predictions would put STAR WARS: EPISODE VII around fifth place on the best grossing films of all time worldwide, but it would still be nowhere close to AVATAR on the all-time domestic charts. $733 million in profits alone is an amazing number, but could we be looking at a possible contender for the highest grossing domestic film of all time? If any movie could do it, it would be a new STAR WARS.

If Disney does STAR WARS: EPISODE VII right and redeems the franchise from the lacking prequel films, EPISODE VIII, IX, and beyond could be in position to break even these predictions. While we are still a couple of years from finding out if these estimates are even close, I would say they are erring on the cautious side.

STAR WARS: EPISODE VII opens in 2015.

Source: Variety

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4:41PM on 07/26/2013

Lol wow, thought it was 12 billion.

I don't know why, but I guess I looked at the URL first and it says [link]

Thank God that was not the real figure. $1.2 billion sounds more appropriate, but honestly that sounds too LOW now! I'm no analyst, but I think it will do better than that by a fair margin. I'm thinking closer to $2.7 billion. $2.7 billion worldwide gross, I'm calling it right here and right now! :D
I don't know why, but I guess I looked at the URL first and it says [link]

Thank God that was not the real figure. $1.2 billion sounds more appropriate, but honestly that sounds too LOW now! I'm no analyst, but I think it will do better than that by a fair margin. I'm thinking closer to $2.7 billion. $2.7 billion worldwide gross, I'm calling it right here and right now! :D
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10:36PM on 07/09/2013
Episode I grossed $1,027,044,677. Episode VII should have that beat handily.
Episode I grossed $1,027,044,677. Episode VII should have that beat handily.
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+3
10:03PM on 07/09/2013

Disney should just make another team up movie

Coming Summer 2017. John Carter teams up with the Lone Ranger (and Tonto) to search for a magic cube that grants them audiences.
Coming Summer 2017. John Carter teams up with the Lone Ranger (and Tonto) to search for a magic cube that grants them audiences.
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1:03AM on 07/10/2013
It'll be worth it just to hear Johnny Depp say "cube" a whole lot in his Tonto voice.
It'll be worth it just to hear Johnny Depp say "cube" a whole lot in his Tonto voice.
3:52AM on 07/10/2013
Make that the Cosmic Cube, and you can add in the Avengers.
Make that the Cosmic Cube, and you can add in the Avengers.
3:53AM on 07/10/2013
Make that the Cosmic Cube, and you can add in the Avengers.
Make that the Cosmic Cube, and you can add in the Avengers.
+2
7:30PM on 07/09/2013
Nobody knows what a movie would gross two years later. There are people who - even I - can predict the scale of a movie's box-office gross but only weeks before the release date, when it is clear how much the people are interested in the film of matter.

In 1999, nobody thought superhero movies would rule the following decade and half. In 2007, nobody thought that romantic vampires would make so many fangirls. Untill its second (!) weekend, nobody thought Avatar would be the #1 Movie of All
Nobody knows what a movie would gross two years later. There are people who - even I - can predict the scale of a movie's box-office gross but only weeks before the release date, when it is clear how much the people are interested in the film of matter.

In 1999, nobody thought superhero movies would rule the following decade and half. In 2007, nobody thought that romantic vampires would make so many fangirls. Untill its second (!) weekend, nobody thought Avatar would be the #1 Movie of All time. And untill recently, studios for some reason, thought it would be a good idea to spend a $200M+ budget on John Carter, Battleship, Jack the Giant Slayer, and The Lone Ranger. I wonder what Michael Senno predicted for these movies.
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9:08PM on 07/09/2013
Pretty sure the point here is built-in fan base. I could have told you in 2006 that Twilight would strike it rich, because of the insane fan base the books had garnered plus the fact that it could easily reach a wide audience. You have a point with the others and they are exceptions, but Star Wars has a fan base that ranges from the very old to the very young. It is safe to say that it will make this much unless they really don't know what they are doing... which is possible.
Pretty sure the point here is built-in fan base. I could have told you in 2006 that Twilight would strike it rich, because of the insane fan base the books had garnered plus the fact that it could easily reach a wide audience. You have a point with the others and they are exceptions, but Star Wars has a fan base that ranges from the very old to the very young. It is safe to say that it will make this much unless they really don't know what they are doing... which is possible.
9:58PM on 07/09/2013
i believe people DID expect Avatar to be that successful. i mean, it was James Cameron's follow up to Titanic (which was like the previous biggest movie or whatever). .
i believe people DID expect Avatar to be that successful. i mean, it was James Cameron's follow up to Titanic (which was like the previous biggest movie or whatever). .
6:53PM on 07/09/2013

$1.2 is a lowball

Think about it: that's Iron Man 3. Do you really think Iron Man 3 had as much hype behind it as this will have? Star Wars will have the benefit of bringing back the three core characters of arguably the most iconic film franchise ever made, with most likely stellar reviews (unlike the prequels). I think enough time has passed that hype won't be deflated by the lacklustre reaction to the other three. They still made tons of money even without the advent of 3D and good reviews. I think $1.6 - $2
Think about it: that's Iron Man 3. Do you really think Iron Man 3 had as much hype behind it as this will have? Star Wars will have the benefit of bringing back the three core characters of arguably the most iconic film franchise ever made, with most likely stellar reviews (unlike the prequels). I think enough time has passed that hype won't be deflated by the lacklustre reaction to the other three. They still made tons of money even without the advent of 3D and good reviews. I think $1.6 - $2 bil worldwide is more likely, and if this had been released after Avatar when 3D was still trendy I bet it would have beaten it.
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10:00PM on 07/09/2013
true dat. the dedicated Star Wars fanbase spans like three generations. episide vii would be something that both my dad and my son would want to see. (that is, if i had a son. or a dad. forever alone.)
true dat. the dedicated Star Wars fanbase spans like three generations. episide vii would be something that both my dad and my son would want to see. (that is, if i had a son. or a dad. forever alone.)
4:58PM on 07/09/2013

Just my opinion....

and I may be way off base on this, but if they're already drooling over the prospects of how much this movie is going to make, drooling enough to make semi-official statements the estimated gross, before they even have any actors/actresses locked up, without a script in place, without a story, with only the director announced...well I have to wonder, are they making this because it could potentially be good or because it's going to make boatloads of money? Obviously it's a business and all
and I may be way off base on this, but if they're already drooling over the prospects of how much this movie is going to make, drooling enough to make semi-official statements the estimated gross, before they even have any actors/actresses locked up, without a script in place, without a story, with only the director announced...well I have to wonder, are they making this because it could potentially be good or because it's going to make boatloads of money? Obviously it's a business and all movies are made to make money. But Marvel puts thought and care into their products. Warner Bros does the same. Many others do as well. But to me, this just shows where their mindset is right now. They look at Star Wars not as a universe that can be expanded upon, but as 3 movies that will completely dominate the box office as well as promotional items, toys, etc. And if that causes the movie to suffer from bad acting, bad cgi, bad story, lack of respect for the source material and the original trilogy (basically any of the complaints that the prequels have caused), well that's a damn shame. SIncerely hoping that won't be the case though. This just raises my eyebrows a little, is all.
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4:32PM on 07/09/2013
For the hype its generating,it should do atleast $1.5 bil + .
For the hype its generating,it should do atleast $1.5 bil + .
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3:58PM on 07/09/2013

With Michael Arndt writing the script,

I have a good feeling about it already. I just hope the suits stay out of the way and let the creatives do their thing.
I have a good feeling about it already. I just hope the suits stay out of the way and let the creatives do their thing.
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2:57PM on 07/09/2013
If its good, it'll make even more than that.
If its good, it'll make even more than that.
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2:27PM on 07/09/2013

In other news...

The sky is blue.
The sky is blue.
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12:06AM on 07/10/2013
Wonderful comment! :)
Wonderful comment! :)
2:24PM on 07/09/2013

interesting

So is this the official Las Vegas over/under? If so, I'm betting the house on the over easily.
So is this the official Las Vegas over/under? If so, I'm betting the house on the over easily.
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+2
2:19PM on 07/09/2013

Where does it say it will make $733 domestically?

It just said they'd make that it profit, i.e. the budget plus worldwide marketing will probably come to $400-500 million and if it grosses $1.2 Billion worldwide that equals about $700 million in profit.
It just said they'd make that it profit, i.e. the budget plus worldwide marketing will probably come to $400-500 million and if it grosses $1.2 Billion worldwide that equals about $700 million in profit.
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