Killers of the Flower Moon: Martin Scorsese’s latest opus is tracking toward a $24M opening

More tracking services are catching up with Martin Scorsese‘s Killers of the Flower Moon, and we’ve got a better idea of how the Paramount and Apple Original Films epic will open at the box office. According to the latest analytics, Killers of the Flower Moon could open in the $24M neighborhood when it gallops into theaters on October 20. Estimates suggest the film appeals to men and women over 25, with Scorsese fans of all ages likely to “diaper up” for the three-hour-plus drama.

Despite a production cost of $200M, a $20M return on Killers during opening weekend would be considered a win. Scorsese’s latest film is another anticipated project willing to compete with Taylor Swift: The Eras Tour concert film and David Gordon Green’s The Exorcist: Believer at the October box office. Swift’s epic concert film will likely pull $100M+ in its opening weekend, with Swifties willing to return for multiple screenings throughout October.

Directed by Scorsese and written for the screen by Eric Roth and Scorsese, based on David Grann’s best-selling book of the same name, Killers of the Flower Moon is set in 1920s Oklahoma and depicts the serial murder of members of the oil-wealthy Osage Nation, a string of brutal crimes that came to be known as the Reign of Terror.

Leonardo DiCaprio (Titanic, The Departed), Robert De Niro (Raging Bull, Cape Fear), Lily Gladstone (First Cow, Certain Woman), Jesse Plemons (The Power of the Dog, The Irishman), Cara Jade Myers (Rutherford Falls, Proximity), JaNae Collins (Reservation Dogs, Furky), Jillian Dion (Legion, Alaska Daily), John Lithgow (Cliffhanger, Third Rock From the Sun), Brendan Fraser (The Whale, Doom Patrol), and Tantoo Cardinal (Wind River, Dances with Wolves) star as primary cast members.

Hailing from Apple Studios, Killers of the Flower Moon was produced alongside Imperative Entertainment, Sikelia Productions, and Appian Way. Producers are Scorsese, Dan Friedkin, Bradley Thomas, and Daniel Lupi, with DiCaprio, Rick Yorn, Adam Somner, Marianne Bower, Lisa Frechette, John Atwood, Shea Kammer and Niels Juul serving as executive producers.

Following its global theatrical run, the film will debut on Apple TV+. The wide theatrical release of Killers of the Flower Moon will also include IMAX theatres, for which the film will be digitally re-mastered into the image and sound quality of The IMAX Experience with proprietary IMAX DMR (Digital Re-mastering) technology.