A few months ago, I would have told you that Paramount’s big-budget Street Fighter reboot was going to be a smash hit. After all, it seemed to be a faithful recreation of the classic nineties video game—right down to its nostalgic period setting. What could go wrong? Well, it turns out that Street Fighter might have some mediocre early buzz to recover from, with the film not really screening much for the press (although we did manage to see it—our review goes up at noon ET) and getting solid, if unspectacular, reactions in the first responses posted online.
Then again, Blumhouse’s Other Mommy got absolutely awful reviews and still managed to open with $27.8 million, so even if it doesn’t achieve blockbuster status, Street Fighter should top the box office this weekend with about $25 million—but probably not much more than that. Will that be enough to get it a franchise? It really depends on overseas box office, particularly in Asia, which could make all the difference.
Number two should go to 20th Century Studios’ Whalefall, which has a rising star in lead Austin Abrams (coming off Resident Evil) and has earned solid early buzz. It’s also not a franchise movie, which might give it some solid appeal to audiences looking for something new. I expect it to make about $14 million.
Number three will be a tight race between Other Mommy, which is set for a huge fall this weekend, and the A24 Elizabeth Holmes documentary You Can See Everything. I think Nathan Fielder’s well-received doc will have the edge, with it looking at a $10 million opening, even if it’s only opening on about 800 screens. Other Mommy will fall well over 70% thanks to that D+ CinemaScore, with it on track for about $8 million, while the latest adaptation of Sense and Sensibilityshould just miss out on the top five, as Verity will likely beat it with about $6 million.
Here are our predictions:
- Street Fighter: $25 million
- Whalefall: $14 million
- You Can See Everything: $10 million
- Other Mommy: $8 million
- Verity: $6 million
What are you seeing this weekend? Let us know in the comments.
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