Earlier this week, the box office predictions I posted called for Minions & Monsters to make about $60 million over the weekend and an $85 million five-day total, the actual numbers are coming in way lower. According to Deadline’s numbers, it’s looking at only $38.5 million for the weekend. That’s a disastrous start for an Illumination movie, although the outlook is a little less dire if you consider the five-day total, which is at about $63 million. The shortfall for the film is significant, though, if you consider it didn’t even make as much as the first film did sixteen years ago, which made $56.3 million—and that’s not adjusted for inflation.
So does that mean the Minions are done? On their own—maybe. But Despicable Me 4 still managed to make about $122 million back in 2024, so Illumination will almost certainly bring them back in a fifth Despicable Me movie, but cinematically, on their own I think they’re done for the time being. It might also be that we all need a break from the Minions, with them having been part of seven movies over sixteen years, which is a lot any way you shake it. They’ve been pretty over-exposed, although the irony is that many consider Minions & Monsters to be their best outing yet.
The weekend total is so poor that it’s not even coming in that much higher than Toy Story 5 in its third weekend, with it on track for $30 million, which is a steep 58% drop-off from last weekend—with its domestic total being a great $365 million. Still, it seems to be falling off a lot faster than expected, with it unlikely to come anywhere close to Inside Out 2’s $652 million domestic total.
Third place is going to Angel Studios’ ambitious Young Washington, which is on track for about $16 million this weekend—significantly ahead of the $12 million most predicted. Its release date couldn’t have been better, with it coinciding not only with the July 4th holiday but also America250.
And then there’s Supergirl. As expected, the box office bloodbath for this superhero flick continues, with it on track to lose 73% of its audience for a $10 million weekend. The hope was that—thanks to the holiday—the drop-off wouldn’t be steep, but toxic word-of-mouth has killed this one. The only silver lining is its drop-off is better than Joker: Folie à Deux, which holds the dubious honor of falling off an unprecedented 81%. In more positive news, Steven Spielberg’s Disclosure Day will pass the century mark this weekend, with it looking at a $5.6 million weekend and a $104 million total.
What are you seeing this holiday weekend? Let us know in the comments.
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