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Star Wars: The Force Awakens opening weekend could exceed $540 million

04.24.2015

How much money do you think STAR WARS: THE FORCE AWAKENS is going to make? Do you think it will exceed THE AVENGERS? Or TITANIC? How about AVATAR? If you ask the experts, they are all predicting that J.J. Abrams' film could break the records in multiple categories. Specifically, many are predicting a global opening weekend north of $500 million for the sequel to George Lucas' saga.

The Hollywood Reporter cites several industry analysts who have looked at the returns for FURIOUS 7, which grossed over a billion dollars globally in 19 days, and see that STAR WARS: THE FORCE AWAKENS new trailer and social media buzz is trending higher than that film did. Couple that with the fact that the epic event will open in more theaters domestically than any movie in history (over 4500 screens) and you have the makings of a record-breaking weekend.

STAR WARS: THE FORCE AWAKENS is shaping up to be a major success for Disney regardless of the quality of the film. Opening at Christmas puts it in a unique position that could end up making for repeated viewings. As of now, HARRY POTTER AND THE DEATHLY HALLOWS PART 2 ranks as the biggest global opening weekend film with $483 million while THE AVENGERS is the domestic champion with $207 million. Who knows what AGE OF ULTRON will do to this rankings, but this is definitely shaping up to be a record year at the movies.

STAR WARS: THE FORCE AWAKENS opens December 18th.

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2:18PM on 04/25/2015

I see it happening

Depending on where I am at Christmas, I'll likely be taking my family plus my mom and possibly my brother's kids. A lot of people who grew up in the 1970's will be going to see this with their kids, and possibly their grandkids as well. Given this series' history, I expect the opening to be monstrous.
Depending on where I am at Christmas, I'll likely be taking my family plus my mom and possibly my brother's kids. A lot of people who grew up in the 1970's will be going to see this with their kids, and possibly their grandkids as well. Given this series' history, I expect the opening to be monstrous.
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12:26PM on 04/25/2015
It's gonna be the highest grossing movie of the year, in my prediction.
It's gonna be the highest grossing movie of the year, in my prediction.
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11:38PM on 04/24/2015
I plan on seeing this film multiple times the weekend of December 18th, including the midnight showing on Thursday. Just take my money Hollywood.......
I plan on seeing this film multiple times the weekend of December 18th, including the midnight showing on Thursday. Just take my money Hollywood.......
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7:13PM on 04/24/2015
I'd love to see Star Wars top Avatar. Coming out in December, it should have little competition in terms of Blockbusters, which should keep it in theaters a long time (similar to Avatar, Frozen, and American Sniper).
I'd love to see Star Wars top Avatar. Coming out in December, it should have little competition in terms of Blockbusters, which should keep it in theaters a long time (similar to Avatar, Frozen, and American Sniper).
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12:42AM on 04/25/2015
It never fails to amaze me that Hollywood stacks summer blockbusters one after another (killing the 2nd & 3rd week box office of almost every film), but we've had three years in a row where HUGE movies were released at the end of the year and went a month without competition. At some point you'd think they'd notice.
It never fails to amaze me that Hollywood stacks summer blockbusters one after another (killing the 2nd & 3rd week box office of almost every film), but we've had three years in a row where HUGE movies were released at the end of the year and went a month without competition. At some point you'd think they'd notice.
12:13PM on 04/25/2015
You are exactly right, Des1. I think most studios are still concerned with that opening weekend box office # more than anything else. Probably why you see so many tv spots and clips/interviews the few weeks leading up to a release, and almost nothing a week after.
You are exactly right, Des1. I think most studios are still concerned with that opening weekend box office # more than anything else. Probably why you see so many tv spots and clips/interviews the few weeks leading up to a release, and almost nothing a week after.
5:47PM on 04/24/2015

Opening in December...

...means its weekend numbers will be muted (the highest grossing opening weekend for a December release is only $85m). If it opened anywhere close to Avenger's $200m in December (where weekend multiples are much higher), it'd be on track to make over $1bn domestically! I think more realistically, it'll set a new opening weekend record FOR A DECEMBER RELEASE ONLY (around $120m) but play well throughout the holidays to challenge the biggest blockbusters of all time.
...means its weekend numbers will be muted (the highest grossing opening weekend for a December release is only $85m). If it opened anywhere close to Avenger's $200m in December (where weekend multiples are much higher), it'd be on track to make over $1bn domestically! I think more realistically, it'll set a new opening weekend record FOR A DECEMBER RELEASE ONLY (around $120m) but play well throughout the holidays to challenge the biggest blockbusters of all time.
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5:14PM on 04/24/2015
This will make 1 billion by the end of the year,or week,or month.
This will make 1 billion by the end of the year,or week,or month.
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12:36PM on 04/26/2015
Midnight showings alone
Midnight showings alone
5:01PM on 04/24/2015
I cant believe Disney is doing Star Wars, this is terrible. They are just gonna make it all bright and have darth cader singing or something stupid. This is worse than Jar Jar Binks...

Oh, Sorry i was still stuck in 2012 for a moment. In all seriousness i never really doubted Disney. They handled Marvel very well and bringing JJ Abrams on board was a very smart move.

BTW, how are they predicting box office receipts already? The movie is almost 8 months away still. I can guess it's gonna
I cant believe Disney is doing Star Wars, this is terrible. They are just gonna make it all bright and have darth cader singing or something stupid. This is worse than Jar Jar Binks...

Oh, Sorry i was still stuck in 2012 for a moment. In all seriousness i never really doubted Disney. They handled Marvel very well and bringing JJ Abrams on board was a very smart move.

BTW, how are they predicting box office receipts already? The movie is almost 8 months away still. I can guess it's gonna make a butt load of money, but im just a schmo who really likes Star Wars. You think it's a little early to be calling the game.
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12:44AM on 04/25/2015
They're probably going to stack up the releases so it hits most of the big markets worldwide the same weekend.
They're probably going to stack up the releases so it hits most of the big markets worldwide the same weekend.
4:51PM on 04/24/2015

Yup....

Disney may make over 500 million from my repeated viewings alone.
Disney may make over 500 million from my repeated viewings alone.
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4:48PM on 04/24/2015
This year will have 2 movies break opening weekend grosses.. Avengers will trump 207 opening of the 1st then Star Wars will trump whatever that does. I do not see the movie becoming the highest grossing movie ever though... some ppl just plain dont like Star Wars.. Avatar had that feel of something new... new technology.. a big screen must see... Star Wars is Star Wars.. it will be huge, but it wont make ppl who have no interest in Star Wars go to the theaters!
This year will have 2 movies break opening weekend grosses.. Avengers will trump 207 opening of the 1st then Star Wars will trump whatever that does. I do not see the movie becoming the highest grossing movie ever though... some ppl just plain dont like Star Wars.. Avatar had that feel of something new... new technology.. a big screen must see... Star Wars is Star Wars.. it will be huge, but it wont make ppl who have no interest in Star Wars go to the theaters!
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12:45PM on 04/26/2015
I think that was the case with Episode 3. With this though I think there are more Star Wars fans that can take themselves to the theaters more than ever. I may be wrong though, you make a great point.
I think that was the case with Episode 3. With this though I think there are more Star Wars fans that can take themselves to the theaters more than ever. I may be wrong though, you make a great point.
4:43PM on 04/24/2015
Dethrone Avatar!
Dethrone Avatar!
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