Box Office Predictions: Garfield and Furiosa will lead a slow weekend

The Garfield Movie seems set to take the top spot from George Miller’s Furiosa in what should be a slow weekend at the box office.

Last Updated on June 3, 2024

Garfield Furiosa

Furiosa vs. Garfield, round 2! Last weekend saw one of the closest box office battles of the summer, with Furiosa: A Mad Max Saga only narrowly inching out a victory over The Garfield Movie (by less than a million bucks). With very little in the way of competition this weekend, the orange, animated feline is set to overtake Miller’s post-apocalyptic actioner, thanks mainly to weekend family matinees.

Given how mediocre Furiosa’s box office start was (with many predicting it killed the chance of us ever getting Mad Max: The Wasteland), all eyes will be on the film’s hold this weekend. Given the reviews and word of mouth, I predict a 40% decline, which would put it in the $16-17 million range. To note, during its run, Mad Max: Fury Road never posted a drop over 50% until late in its run. Hopefully, word of mouth means the film will have a decent enough finish at the box office, although Garfield will certainly make more money. I’m expecting that one to make $18 million. 

The one sliver of good news for the holdovers at the box office is that nothing’s really opening this weekend that has a shot at a top-five finish, with the drama Ezra not really getting much the way of publicity despite good reviews for its star-studded cast (our review will be up tomorrow). Disney’s Young Woman and the Sea, starring Daisy Ridley, is only getting a limited release. Paramount’s IF should be able to hold on to third place with $10 million, while Kingdom of the Planet of the Apes will likely make about $8 million, with Fall Guy in fifth place with $3 million.

As such, the box office reporting this week will be a bit of a drag, unless something unexpected happens, like Furiosa suddenly turning into a word of mouth hit. Things should pick up next weekend with the release of Bad Boys: Ride or Die, which is getting great word-of-mouth.

Here are our predictions:

  1. The Garfield Movie: $18 million
  2. Furiosa: $16 million
  3. IF: $10 million
  4. Kingdom of the Planet of the Apes: $8 million
  5. The Fall Guy: $3 million

What do you think will rule the box office this weekend? Let us know in the comments!

About the Author

Chris Bumbray began his career with JoBlo as the resident film critic (and James Bond expert) way back in 2007, and he has stuck around ever since, being named editor-in-chief in 2021. A voting member of the CCA and a Rotten Tomatoes-approved critic, you can also catch Chris discussing pop culture regularly on CTV News Channel.